TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x32e8…72cc

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
112
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: World Politics, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category World Politics at 56 out of 100; worst NBA at 34.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST4425%11 W · 33 L-9.8wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-50.3%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
NBA — the 44 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Cavaliers vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$47.12
Spread: Kings (-1.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Spread: Spurs (-10.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+85.2%+$34.76
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 222.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Spread: Spurs (-9.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$38.39
Spread: Pelicans (-4.5)backed Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+108.3%+$54.17
Pelicans vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+139.3%+$151.85
Nuggets vs. Knicksbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$70.6
Celtics vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Timberwolves vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$94.94
Spread: Suns (-2.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$93.43
Spread: Suns (-3.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Spread: Warriors (-2.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$35.7
Spread: Warriors (-4.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$96.05
76ers vs. Warriors: O/U 219.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$34
76ers vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$147.55
76ers vs. Warriors: O/U 218.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$23.81
76ers vs. Warriors: O/U 221.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Spread: Celtics (-6.5)backed Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$10.24
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+96.1%+$37.57
Spread: Celtics (-7.5)backed Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$11.52
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+92.3%+$92.31
Showing 25 of 44 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST1668.8%11 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.12per pick57cpaid+18%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Florida International Golden Panthers vs. Middle Tennessee Blue Raidersbacked Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$15
South Dakota Coyotes vs. Kansas City Roosbacked Kansas City Roos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$13.76
Lipscomb Bisons vs. Austin Peay Governorsbacked Austin Peay Governors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+43.4%+$19.63
Butler Bulldogs vs. Providence Friarsbacked Providence Friars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+93.4%+$21.66
Creighton Bluejays vs. Georgetown Hoyasbacked Georgetown Hoyas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+106%+$28.4
New Mexico State Aggies vs. Louisiana Tech Bulldogsbacked New Mexico State Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+100%+$18.82
Liberty Flames vs. Delaware Fightin' Blue Hensbacked Liberty Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+37%+$5.56
Youngstown State Penguins vs. Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodonsbacked Youngstown State Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+36%+$5.4
Arkansas State Red Wolves vs. Coastal Carolina Chanticleersbacked Arkansas State Red Wolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+127.3%+$57.92
Texas A&M Aggies vs. Alabama Crimson Tidebacked Alabama Crimson Tide · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+40.2%+$4.47
Navy Midshipmen vs. Lafayette Leopardsbacked Navy Midshipmen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+52.9%+$19.11
Furman Paladins vs. East Tennessee State Buccaneersbacked Furman Paladins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$41.89
Michigan State Spartans vs. Minnesota Golden Gophersbacked Michigan State Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$25.3
Tulsa Golden Hurricane vs. Florida Atlantic Owlsbacked Tulsa Golden Hurricane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+35.8%+$13.24
Western Carolina Catamounts vs. UNCG Spartansbacked UNCG Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+116.4%+$23.28
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Nebraska Cornhuskersbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$37.39
All 16 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST1450%7 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oilers vs. Flames: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+104.1%+$41.63
Wild vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$15.31
Bruins vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+72.5%+$10.71
Blackhawks vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20.86
Wild vs. Predators: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Penguins vs. Islanders: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Penguins vs. Islandersbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Blue Jackets vs. Devilsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+100%+$100
Capitals vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+75.4%+$75.44
Maple Leafs vs. Flames: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+85.2%+$9.6
Red Wings vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Sharks vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+102.8%+$70.26
Sabres vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Senators vs. Penguinsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+85.2%+$38.84
All 14 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 4, 2026, EST850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-24.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick32cpaid-32.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+266.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+65.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-02-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+44.9%+$12.46
Udinese Calcio vs. AS Roma: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+86.9%+$13.97
All 2 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$14.1
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+39%+$72.3
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+13.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$63.64
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-37.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Valencia CF vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+25%+$3.69
RCD Mallorca vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$67.78
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$21.26
Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$15.35
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Seahawks (-5.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$38.65
Will "Tití Me Preguntó" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$30.42
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+123.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-02-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+123.3%+$27.21
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+93.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+93.9%+$32.49
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-02-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$22
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.