TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Navy Midshipmen vs. Lafayette Leopards

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Navy Midshipmenof Navy Midshipmen, Lafayette Leopards
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$33,455
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$35,119

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,455 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xab32…62d9backed Navy Midshipmen65c3,500$2,275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2251100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa043…435ebacked Lafayette Leopards35c3,500$1,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,22520%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6238…0523backed Navy Midshipmen66c2,112$1,396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$716.0316755.7%93 W · 74 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Navy Midshipmen68c1,744$1,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.822,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Lafayette Leopards35c1,678$587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$587.374051.5%381 W · 359 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Navy Midshipmen73c1,618$1,187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$430.551,05855.8%590 W · 468 L+34.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9405…c071backed Lafayette Leopards37c1,221$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.6244549.4%220 W · 225 L-14.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa632…4c96backed Lafayette Leopards37c1,216$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45056444.1%249 W · 315 L+2.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Navy Midshipmen65c1,184$770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.415851.9%82 W · 76 L-8.4wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf606…440abacked Lafayette Leopards37c1,081$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40018349.2%90 W · 93 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Lafayette Leopards37c1,041$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.2274649.2%367 W · 379 L+1.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Navy Midshipmen65c1,023$668 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.623,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Lafayette Leopards34c860.74$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.82,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff81…44c9backed Navy Midshipmen64c790.72$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.727448.6%36 W · 38 L-5.7wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-17.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Navy Midshipmen63c737.52$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.4912,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a72…f81dbacked Navy Midshipmen70c677.88$472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.4687047.2%411 W · 459 L-23.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Lafayette Leopards35c677.14$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2371,23147%578 W · 653 L-17.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Lafayette Leopards34c585.96$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.859442.6%40 W · 54 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe622…ea5ebacked Navy Midshipmen66c450$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15337142.6%158 W · 213 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Lafayette Leopards32c444.67$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.2999045.6%451 W · 539 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed Lafayette Leopards24c363.91$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.5938345.4%174 W · 209 L-18.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Navy Midshipmen65c355.19$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.322,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x19f8…98f9backed Navy Midshipmen65c307.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.6948462.8%304 W · 180 L-0.5wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6e3…6dfebacked Navy Midshipmen71c281.55$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.5527450%137 W · 137 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd77d…b01cbacked Lafayette Leopards38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10018851.6%97 W · 91 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcce5…7eb2backed Lafayette Leopards38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007454.1%40 W · 34 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a61…7017backed Navy Midshipmen65c235.12$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.02250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-23.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Lafayette Leopards36c224.82$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.13,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Lafayette Leopards36c224.31$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.7550745.2%229 W · 278 L+0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Navy Midshipmen79c187.21$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.385,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84a4…21c4backed Lafayette Leopards36c172.22$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$622373.9%17 W · 6 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6041…3326backed Lafayette Leopards30c170.21$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.06933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-40.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e52…9078backed Navy Midshipmen67c150$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.51346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd561…9423backed Navy Midshipmen67c149.71$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.71560%3 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick68cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c9e…bba8backed Navy Midshipmen74c148$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.9314643.2%63 W · 83 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Lafayette Leopards35c146.69$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.3420026%52 W · 148 L+0.2wins0.00per pick26cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb295…d1e7backed Lafayette Leopards33c141.44$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.5418230.8%56 W · 126 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9773…67e8backed Lafayette Leopards34c130$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.25337.7%20 W · 33 L-4.4wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-13.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Lafayette Leopards36c121.43$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.442,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Navy Midshipmen65c115.4$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.3997447.9%467 W · 507 L-2.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x260b…1ab1backed Lafayette Leopards28c114$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.92366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick34cpaid+86.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Lafayette Leopards35c110$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.964,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Navy Midshipmen68c90$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.893447.9%447 W · 487 L-19.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5101…4a4fbacked Lafayette Leopards37c81.08$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3022656.2%127 W · 99 L+14.1wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+11.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Lafayette Leopards30c79.83$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.1615238.8%59 W · 93 L+6.3wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x11f2…a7a0backed Navy Midshipmen74c69.68$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.279259.8%55 W · 37 L+6.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+13.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xad13…d3abbacked Lafayette Leopards38c63.16$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2420234.2%69 W · 133 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Navy Midshipmen67c62.16$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.241,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27d2…b0f8backed Lafayette Leopards37c59.46$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227839.7%31 W · 47 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-13.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a29…c0b6backed Navy Midshipmen68c58.82$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.822161.9%13 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick72cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Lafayette Leopards35c56.6$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6637835.7%135 W · 243 L-0.6wins0.00per pick36cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32e8…72ccbacked Navy Midshipmen65c55.24$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.111668.8%11 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.12per pick57cpaid+18%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x72ea…d4f2backed Lafayette Leopards37c54.05$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2021746.1%100 W · 117 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a64…6769backed Lafayette Leopards38c52.63$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2017950.8%91 W · 88 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Lafayette Leopards36c50.15$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.251,07046.9%502 W · 568 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3101…e57fbacked Lafayette Leopards30c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152040%8 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+17%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Lafayette Leopards34c50$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Lafayette Leopards26c49.62$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.841,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50fc…ba9abacked Lafayette Leopards34c48$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.324445.5%20 W · 24 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Lafayette Leopards36c47.32$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.9362451.1%319 W · 305 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3eff…ae12backed Lafayette Leopards37c43.32$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.0342339.2%166 W · 257 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4575…9628backed Lafayette Leopards26c42.3$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-20.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Navy Midshipmen69c41.34$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.0118147%85 W · 96 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Lafayette Leopards27c38.74$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3529012.1%35 W · 255 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick14cpaid-53.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb834…e4c1backed Navy Midshipmen68c37.39$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.968350.6%42 W · 41 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cf9…142bbacked Navy Midshipmen66c37$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.583860.5%23 W · 15 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+14.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xacac…bd06backed Navy Midshipmen66c36$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.241942.1%8 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-22.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcdad…9eaebacked Lafayette Leopards31c35$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8517241.3%71 W · 101 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+11.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xacfe…e682backed Lafayette Leopards36c34.97$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.64666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2b5…694ebacked Navy Midshipmen66c33$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.223557.1%20 W · 15 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6cea…5013backed Lafayette Leopards31c32.26$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101070%7 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.23per pick47cpaid+49.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd120…19fcbacked Navy Midshipmen65c30.77$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.775832.8%19 W · 39 L-6.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-37.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x7b12…7a77backed Navy Midshipmen65c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.552353.5%280 W · 243 L-17.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-5.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xac3f…1966backed Lafayette Leopards37c29$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7325152.6%132 W · 119 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7500…ae85backed Navy Midshipmen66c24$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.163372.7%24 W · 9 L+5.5wins+0.17per pick56cpaid+32.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe315…3911backed Navy Midshipmen72c22.19$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.1421651.4%111 W · 105 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0cb5…6a69backed Navy Midshipmen66c21$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.143959%23 W · 16 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x59d8…643ebacked Navy Midshipmen67c19.4$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.41190.9%10 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.17per pick74cpaid+25.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe10d…3590backed Navy Midshipmen64c18.75$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.75666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+42%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7807…a44fbacked Navy Midshipmen64c16.22$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.842100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+40.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Navy Midshipmen67c14.99$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.953,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.