NBA · resolved market
Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xada64d12f272ec6fc57c682f6ff6f22d773fb5c59c0b09d4415f0f03e21383ef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cavaliersof Cavaliers, Clippers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,000
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,238
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,000 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Cavaliers | 55c | 5,539$3,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,514.6 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc37…2f65backed Clippers | 44c | 4,545$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Clippers | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,879.98 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Clippers | 47c | 2,667$1,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,258.41 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Cavaliers | 55c | 2,329$1,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,047.95 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Clippers | 47c | 2,194$1,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,031.1 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb63…3800backed Clippers | 48c | 2,036$977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$977.14 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…32c2backed Cavaliers | 52c | 1,969$1,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$945 | 415 | 53.3%221 W · 194 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed Cavaliers | 52c | 1,600$832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768 | 1,085 | 63.6%690 W · 395 L | +86.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe5df…382dbacked Clippers | 46c | 1,508$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 163 | 35.6%58 W · 105 L | -12.2wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Cavaliers | 53c | 1,475$782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693.25 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Cavaliers | 53c | 1,408$746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.64 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…405cbacked Clippers | 45c | 1,324$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.98 | 434 | 53.2%231 W · 203 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Cavaliers | 55c | 1,098$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.06 | 589 | 51.3%302 W · 287 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…2d1abacked Cavaliers | 53c | 1,000$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.12 | 489 | 57.5%281 W · 208 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Cavaliers | 52c | 984.98$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.79 | 480 | 54.2%260 W · 220 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cavaliers | 77c | 953.74$732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.11 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Clippers | 46c | 917.13$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.88 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Clippers | 48c | 520.83$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 509 | 54.8%279 W · 230 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53aa…07fcbacked Clippers | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Clippers | 45c | 416$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.2 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Cavaliers | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Clippers | 45c | 323.21$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.38 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Cavaliers | 52c | 313.23$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.8 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Clippers | 48c | 300$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.8 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a91…1769backed Clippers | 48c | 291.67$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 321 | 50.8%163 W · 158 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Cavaliers | 54c | 252$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.3 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Clippers | 24c | 225.8$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.17 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Clippers | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 634 | 47.5%301 W · 333 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4683…1218backed Cavaliers | 56c | 205.6$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.6 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe0…027abacked Cavaliers | 53c | 200$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf3f7…8a43backed Cavaliers | 56c | 190.52$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.83 | 61 | 63.9%39 W · 22 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Clippers | 48c | 165.72$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.01 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Clippers | 47c | 136$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.49 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Cavaliers | 55c | 126.34$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.27 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6677…575cbacked Clippers | 48c | 119.84$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.52 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc56b…fe0abacked Clippers | 48c | 114.44$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.93 | 279 | 43%120 W · 159 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d58…8accbacked Cavaliers | 53c | 113.21$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.21 | 358 | 51.7%185 W · 173 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Cavaliers | 57c | 109.37$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.36 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a50…ea80backed Clippers | 45c | 104.31$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.94 | 145 | 33.1%48 W · 97 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32e8…72ccbacked Clippers | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -9.8wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xe42d…62febacked Clippers | 48c | 72.92$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 213 | 52.1%111 W · 102 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa15…95e3backed Clippers | 48c | 57.6$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.65 | 212 | 43.4%92 W · 120 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Clippers | 48c | 53.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.43 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Clippers | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 506 | 51.2%259 W · 247 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Clippers | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 470 | 45.1%212 W · 258 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a90…8218backed Cavaliers | 53c | 49.06$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.06 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Clippers | 47c | 42.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 1,264 | 45.8%579 W · 685 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x752e…ecbfbacked Clippers | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -6.8wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0d21…08d3backed Clippers | 48c | 42.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.24 | 251 | 43%108 W · 143 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3526…8b74backed Clippers | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 147 | 51.7%76 W · 71 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc228…f268backed Cavaliers | 52c | 38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.24 | 99 | 45.5%45 W · 54 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e8…3a5dbacked Clippers | 49c | 36.73$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 548 | 54.2%297 W · 251 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa596…ce69backed Cavaliers | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 97 | 64.9%63 W · 34 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a5…fb44backed Cavaliers | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 125 | 61.6%77 W · 48 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7280…fbd1backed Clippers | 47c | 31.92$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e97…727fbacked Clippers | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Cavaliers | 55c | 31.64$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.24 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95be…9968backed Clippers | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 335 | 52.8%177 W · 158 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6b2…fba9backed Clippers | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -7.3wins | -0.27per pick | 49cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xf628…ba6fbacked Cavaliers | 55c | 30.69$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.81 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabdd…2d96backed Cavaliers | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 602 | 67.3%405 W · 197 L | +46.2wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb29…0b62backed Clippers | 44c | 28.45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.52 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…7af9backed Clippers | 44c | 25.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x926c…a86bbacked Clippers | 48c | 24.58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -6.2wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xea8a…a5bbbacked Cavaliers | 53c | 21.7$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12e3…a336backed Clippers | 48c | 21.54$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -6.3wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)Cavaliers won
- Cavaliers vs. ClippersCavaliers won
- Cavaliers vs. Clippers: 1H MoneylineCavaliers won
- Cavaliers vs. Clippers: 1H O/U 108.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Clippers: O/U 221.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Clippers: O/U 222.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Clippers: O/U 223.5Under won
- Ivica Zubac: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Jarrett Allen: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Jaylon Tyson: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- John Collins: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- John Collins: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Kawhi Leonard: Points O/U 26.5No won
- Kawhi Leonard: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)Cavaliers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.