TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Cavaliers vs. Clippers: O/U 223.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$87,580
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$92,728

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $87,580 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x434c…c096backed Over46c52,500$24,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,149.961315.4%2 W · 11 L-3.4wins-0.26per pick41cpaid-57.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x52b4…34a8backed Under54c10,000$5,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,60048347.2%228 W · 255 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under54c9,553$5,157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,395.89,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Under54c8,228$4,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,777.753,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8aba…4961backed Under54c5,000$2,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,3007150.7%36 W · 35 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+22.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7935…1f9abacked Under52c4,577$2,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,196.92250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under55c4,046$2,212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,834.718,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Under77c3,258$2,505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$753.6183039.4%327 W · 503 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x683a…274ebacked Over35c2,180$771 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$771.418536.8%68 W · 117 L-11.8wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xcb42…48ccbacked Under53c1,887$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$886.792748.1%13 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…f3fcbacked Over48c1,800$864 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$864250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under56c1,630$921 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$709.452,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x88cb…ea5abacked Over48c1,577$757 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$756.92250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e3a…3246backed Under54c1,457$787 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$670.2319954.8%109 W · 90 L+12.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9ff8…5794backed Over48c1,200$576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$576250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under55c1,131$617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.083,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over47c1,085$507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507.424,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f89…8ed0backed Under52c961.54$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.545042%21 W · 29 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-14.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6fb6…fa2cbacked Under52c942.31$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452.3121852.8%115 W · 103 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed Under76c912.1$693 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.3421642.1%91 W · 125 L-0.3wins0.00per pick42cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under47c909.33$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.534,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over48c799.99$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.9984342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under65c688.18$447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.12,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c9e…bba8backed Under55c593$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.994755.3%26 W · 21 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under54c534.3$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.943,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd36a…ecf5backed Under65c505$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.25367.9%36 W · 17 L+4.5wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+17.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Over45c491.57$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.2169149.1%339 W · 352 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over40c442.6$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.163,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under53c421.9$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.573,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb781…0adcbacked Under56c404.18$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.235052%26 W · 24 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Over44c398.18$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.2526839.2%105 W · 163 L-0.7wins0.00per pick39cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Under54c361$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.061,71544.5%764 W · 951 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Over48c336$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.282,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1abf…6024backed Under55c300$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1352231.8%7 W · 15 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Under58c265.41$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.411,44458.1%839 W · 605 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c6c…ce09backed Under76c263.1$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.112865.6%84 W · 44 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad08…67a5backed Under75c253.33$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.331060%6 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc832…ed2bbacked Under53c233.19$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.182245.5%10 W · 12 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick37cpaid+21.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb53c…c76ebacked Over47c221.29$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10548740.7%198 W · 289 L-13.0wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e4b…1ff9backed Over47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10016347.2%77 W · 86 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x11f2…a7a0backed Under66c212.11$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.4419050.5%96 W · 94 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Over48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10063447.5%301 W · 333 L-19.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed Over35c204.72$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.1847349%232 W · 241 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x92cf…8b35backed Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,11052%577 W · 533 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f3e…e4a3backed Under52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9641052%213 W · 197 L-1.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b23…e20fbacked Over51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10249938.9%194 W · 305 L-23.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Under54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.1945542.4%193 W · 262 L-0.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over48c167.1$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.682,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc140…ac80backed Under54c164.81$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.8114947%70 W · 79 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Under63c130.17$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.161,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under62c109.07$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.51,78653.2%950 W · 836 L+52.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under53c106.36$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.933,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x47e5…9b73backed Under52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4842551.3%218 W · 207 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x23cc…4f5abacked Over47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4718157.5%104 W · 77 L+21.1wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+24.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd637…be9abacked Under53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4716052.5%84 W · 76 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe88b…fa5abacked Under67c100$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3343246.1%199 W · 233 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe47b…1b4bbacked Over46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4635739.8%142 W · 215 L-25.0wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-18.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd44d…389dbacked Under51c99.99$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.9941354%223 W · 190 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea10…a070backed Under54c99$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.5437652.4%197 W · 179 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under52c94.63$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.074,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Under54c76.09$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3556646.5%263 W · 303 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d58…8accbacked Under66c65$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.335851.7%185 W · 173 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under56c62.31$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.661,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf5f…fc90backed Over48c60$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.81631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.4wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-35.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under72c55.21$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.2195452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c94…1b47backed Under56c53.96$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.969050%45 W · 45 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd125…f654backed Over48c52.08$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252763%17 W · 10 L+3.5wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+29.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x75dc…4f82backed Under66c52.05$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.755751.9%289 W · 268 L+1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5fb3…88c1backed Under69c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.561253.1%325 W · 287 L-20.0wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xacbc…e374backed Under66c46.24$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.722152.4%11 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick55cpaid+14.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ed6…bbabbacked Under55c45.45$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.4532853%174 W · 154 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b71…0e06backed Under70c45.4$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.423756.8%21 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick57cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under65c43$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.052,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32d4…a6b4backed Over49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x055b…028bbacked Over49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick49cpaid-44.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b54…ea13backed Under56c40$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.637959.4%225 W · 154 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6533…0f9cbacked Under55c40$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1849358.6%289 W · 204 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbed1…1094backed Under56c40$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.65865.5%38 W · 20 L+4.8wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+15%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xec89…8de0backed Under56c39.27$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.275860.3%35 W · 23 L+5.8wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+15.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa8e7…ab94backed Under52c38.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.464436.4%16 W · 28 L-4.5wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-24.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over48c38$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.245,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09bf…fd00backed Under58c37.7$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.898100%8 W · 0 L+3.6wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+84.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x1466…3bfbbacked Under54c37.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.0419649%96 W · 100 L+0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed Under51c35$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.1571245.8%326 W · 386 L+1.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Over46c34.2$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.711,02947.7%491 W · 538 L-13.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1750…c64fbacked Over49c32.65$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc653…bb8cbacked Under51c31.43$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.440960.6%248 W · 161 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf229…245dbacked Over48c31.25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b83…b79abacked Over49c30.61$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x95be…9968backed Under52c28.85$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.8533552.8%177 W · 158 L-0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf628…ba6fbacked Over49c28.07$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.758440.5%34 W · 50 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-11.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd91b…24a6backed Over49c26.53$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+23.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe98b…d3bebacked Under53c23.58$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.0811553%61 W · 54 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb665…0a43backed Under52c22.33$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.755234.6%18 W · 34 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d25…3a3bbacked Under53c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Under64c18.81$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.7819051.6%98 W · 92 L+0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.