NBA · resolved market
Cavaliers vs. Clippers: O/U 222.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc03e660d8039e46188a785ae44112d7f7cabe7a6ecfd43a5438dd0e814eef09b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,218
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,206
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,218 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf38b…b601backed Over | 49c | 1,518$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +3.7wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 51c | 881.48$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.93 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 50c | 631.25$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.62 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 27c | 425$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.75 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 73c | 420$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.4 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 52c | 232.08$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.62 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 47c | 150$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.5 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 339 | 49.9%169 W · 170 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb42a…4493backed Under | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Under | 47c | 76.42$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 489 | 56.4%276 W · 213 L | +31.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 50c | 75.95$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.69 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 52c | 67.84$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.56 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 25c | 66.49$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.49 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 48c | 41.66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.49 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Over | 47c | 35.84$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.84 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e8…3a5dbacked Over | 51c | 35.29$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 548 | 54.2%297 W · 251 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27d2…b0f8backed Over | 48c | 33.33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8415…dfe1backed Under | 51c | 28.69$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 196 | 47.4%93 W · 103 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Over | 48c | 25.87$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cavaliers vs. Clippers: O/U 222.5this page
- 1H Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)Cavaliers won
- Cavaliers vs. ClippersCavaliers won
- Cavaliers vs. Clippers: 1H MoneylineCavaliers won
- Cavaliers vs. Clippers: 1H O/U 108.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Clippers: O/U 221.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Clippers: O/U 223.5Under won
- Ivica Zubac: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Jarrett Allen: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Jaylon Tyson: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- John Collins: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- John Collins: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Kawhi Leonard: Points O/U 26.5No won
- Kawhi Leonard: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)Cavaliers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.