TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Cavaliers vs. Clippers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Cavaliersof Cavaliers, Clippers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,411,849
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,468,280

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,411,849 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x07b8…8e25backed Cavaliers58c354,250$205,465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148,784.9523257.8%134 W · 98 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5877…d894backed Clippers42c193,602$81,313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81,312.889043.3%39 W · 51 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4bd7…373ebacked Cavaliers58c173,205$99,865 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73,340.099350.5%47 W · 46 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ff2…dbbdbacked Cavaliers58c170,000$98,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71,4003534.3%12 W · 23 L-6.0wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-39.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x44d4…1970backed Clippers42c114,000$47,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47,88016752.1%87 W · 80 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Clippers42c91,697$38,513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38,512.741,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Clippers1c85,594$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.571,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Clippers42c80,000$33,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,599.9540446.8%189 W · 215 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Clippers45c77,767$34,942 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34,942.442,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb57a…b8c3backed Cavaliers57c76,369$43,630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32,738.6319653.6%105 W · 91 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4488…6568backed Cavaliers49c47,200$23,128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,072250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18d6…ba4dbacked Clippers51c47,200$24,072 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,072250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44f7…266fbacked Clippers1c38,235$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.824573.5%16 W · 441 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Clippers0c38,000$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$567211%7 W · 714 L-2.6wins0.00per pick1cpaid-32.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d5c…4302backed Cavaliers59c37,995$22,422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,572.6310952.3%57 W · 52 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Cavaliers55c37,052$20,379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,673.591,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Clippers7c35,135$2,459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,459.471,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed Clippers42c32,918$13,826 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,825.5530845.8%141 W · 167 L-12.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b9a…5f69backed Clippers1c32,635$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.785213.8%20 W · 501 L+0.6wins0.00per pick4cpaid-36.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6fd…f43ebacked Cavaliers58c30,895$17,919 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,975.8310746.7%50 W · 57 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Cavaliers53c29,417$15,728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,6891,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d58…9a15backed Clippers24c24,495$5,851 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,850.679336.6%34 W · 59 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x777d…5143backed Clippers42c23,810$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,000.219754.3%107 W · 90 L+12.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+20.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x12f1…8e70backed Clippers43c23,256$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,0004725.5%12 W · 35 L-12.4wins-0.26per pick52cpaid-52.6%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x938f…f13fbacked Clippers42c20,022$8,409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,409.245349.1%26 W · 27 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10d0…a31bbacked Clippers42c20,001$8,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,400.424235.7%15 W · 27 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-16.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe12a…67efbacked Cavaliers58c20,000$11,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,40015841.1%65 W · 93 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfce1…9ce7backed Clippers46c20,000$9,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,299.9835450.8%180 W · 174 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe258…2330backed Cavaliers58c20,000$11,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,399.9723245.3%105 W · 127 L+0.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x906f…88b4backed Cavaliers56c19,994$11,197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,797.5822453.1%119 W · 105 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Clippers18c17,902$3,183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,183.484,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Clippers2c17,577$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.531,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Cavaliers58c17,500$10,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,3501,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4a4…3117backed Clippers1c15,233$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.628616.4%47 W · 239 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick16cpaid-24.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Clippers44c14,330$6,352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,352.194,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Clippers42c13,198$5,584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,583.684,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Clippers0c12,675$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.458820%0 W · 882 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Clippers42c12,306$5,201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,20131644.6%141 W · 175 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb66…2f53backed Clippers45c12,184$5,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,50020849.5%103 W · 105 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Clippers18c11,253$2,066 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,066.171,00334.7%348 W · 655 L-44.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xedc8…cca9backed Cavaliers58c10,000$5,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,20020551.2%105 W · 100 L+8.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Clippers45c10,000$4,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,519.9487750.2%440 W · 437 L-19.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe734…8f6abacked Clippers42c10,000$4,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,199.9419150.8%97 W · 94 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Clippers43c9,405$4,022 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,021.533,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa051…54ebbacked Clippers45c8,901$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,00015435.7%55 W · 99 L+0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Clippers43c8,251$3,510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,509.942,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Clippers41c7,884$3,232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,232.3266250.8%336 W · 326 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Clippers2c7,704$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.711,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5077…4e7cbacked Cavaliers56c7,703$4,327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,375.859733%32 W · 65 L-6.3wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-30.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8791…4c9abacked Clippers4c6,722$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29018031.7%57 W · 123 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick33cpaid+0.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3bb1…3e03backed Cavaliers57c6,500$3,725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,775.482147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8717…32c2backed Cavaliers54c6,500$3,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,96041553.3%221 W · 194 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02ee…6605backed Cavaliers71c6,478$4,576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,902.1611251.8%58 W · 54 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Cavaliers57c6,388$3,660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,728.022,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Cavaliers55c6,263$3,445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,818.351,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Clippers1c6,189$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.041,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Clippers6c6,100$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3701,39026%361 W · 1,029 L-5.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Clippers42c6,098$2,562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,562.142,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64e9…eb4cbacked Cavaliers58c6,000$3,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,52035251.1%180 W · 172 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked Clippers42c5,693$2,391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,39124942.2%105 W · 144 L-9.6wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Clippers45c5,500$2,475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,474.9958449.7%290 W · 294 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe29e…fa35backed Cavaliers66c5,282$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,782.134136.1%123 W · 218 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd63…a39abacked Clippers5c5,200$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26012437.9%47 W · 77 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4059…23dabacked Clippers0c5,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101234.9%6 W · 117 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick7cpaid+19.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Cavaliers58c5,000$2,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,10077348.5%375 W · 398 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Clippers44c5,000$2,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,224.9786641.5%359 W · 507 L-2.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa61f…7993backed Clippers6c4,800$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.7261747.8%295 W · 322 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Cavaliers55c4,665$2,552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,112.572,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f43…c0c2backed Clippers26c4,555$1,184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,184.2923435.9%84 W · 150 L-9.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-16.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Cavaliers78c4,465$3,461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,004.2189444.4%397 W · 497 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc44d…935cbacked Cavaliers55c4,400$2,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,98017162.6%107 W · 64 L+10.1wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+20.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe5df…382dbacked Clippers43c4,347$1,869 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,869.3716335.6%58 W · 105 L-12.2wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-17.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x61e0…4b62backed Clippers43c4,183$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,80052760%316 W · 211 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc64a…df67backed Clippers47c4,162$1,956 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,956.141553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7635…63f6backed Clippers42c4,144$1,744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,743.9821440.7%87 W · 127 L-16.2wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-23.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Clippers42c4,000$1,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,68082442.2%348 W · 476 L-3.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Clippers44c4,000$1,780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,779.9865939.5%260 W · 399 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe3a2…1053backed Cavaliers58c3,980$2,308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,671.61560%9 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid+4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Cavaliers57c3,729$2,126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,603.51,19746.7%559 W · 638 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x19ff…d0d0backed Cavaliers58c3,697$2,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,546.678246.3%38 W · 44 L+6.1wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+24%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbf51…4a30backed Cavaliers55c3,636$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,636.3676746.4%356 W · 411 L-16.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8dae…125cbacked Clippers2c3,600$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.92835.7%10 W · 18 L-0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Clippers45c3,567$1,608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,607.512,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Cavaliers58c3,556$2,063 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,493.651,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0cc8…e458backed Cavaliers60c3,553$2,148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,405.128634.9%30 W · 56 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-15.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Clippers45c3,500$1,575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,57545850.4%231 W · 227 L+11.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3fa5…4f56backed Clippers42c3,196$1,342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,342.423661.1%22 W · 14 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x622e…07abbacked Clippers42c3,050$1,281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,28117356.1%97 W · 76 L+8.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+4.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xee03…4963backed Cavaliers58c3,000$1,740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2601573.3%11 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.14per pick60cpaid+15%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd4c1…5cd2backed Clippers42c3,000$1,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,260862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Clippers45c3,000$1,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,349.9179549.7%395 W · 400 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf22f…6d67backed Clippers6c2,881$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.86250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a2a…e498backed Clippers46c2,808$1,292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,291.671625%4 W · 12 L-3.2wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-52.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6ddd…f58dbacked Cavaliers53c2,799$1,494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,305.121764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+28.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Clippers43c2,754$1,184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,184.1246632.6%152 W · 314 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x89da…a6c2backed Clippers5c2,689$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.041034.9%5 W · 98 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick7cpaid-39.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc583…e29dbacked Clippers9c2,581$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.231241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-30.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff5b…c583backed Clippers47c2,556$1,196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,195.5720847.6%99 W · 109 L-7.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x309f…9282backed Clippers25c2,545$636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$636.299852%51 W · 47 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc33a…3da3backed Cavaliers59c2,542$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,042.379741.2%40 W · 57 L0.0wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.