NBA · resolved market

Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x20dcf1df1208a07aff127a92c4dfcf25c5c8d719a89bb9fed41448131e25e0d9

Rebuilt 16 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Cavaliersof Cavaliers, Clippers
Resolved: Feb 5, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $138,530
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $143,483

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $138,530 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xee61…debfbacked Cavaliers	50c	25,552$12,778 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,774.02	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Clippers	49c	19,840$9,818 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,818.12	2,666	48%1,279 W · 1,387 L	-8.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Cavaliers	53c	13,512$7,107 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,404.72	857	42.6%365 W · 492 L	-15.6wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Clippers	50c	13,298$6,584 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,584.2	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x12f1…8e70backed Clippers	49c	10,184$4,990 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,989.99	47	25.5%12 W · 35 L	-12.4wins	-0.26per pick	52cpaid	-52.6%equal weight	31-0.17 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Cavaliers	49c	7,500$3,660 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,840	461	45.6%210 W · 251 L	-6.7wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked Clippers	48c	6,500$3,120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,120	242	52.5%127 W · 115 L	+18.7wins	+0.08per pick	45cpaid	+13.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Clippers	50c	6,000$2,996 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,995.68	1,556	52.8%822 W · 734 L	+40.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Cavaliers	51c	6,000$3,060 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,939.99	1,820	52.1%948 W · 872 L	+48.5wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Cavaliers	51c	3,706$1,889 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,817.34	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xdbca…b7b7backed Clippers	49c	3,461$1,696 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,696.1	250	49.2%123 W · 127 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xafdc…c2a2backed Cavaliers	48c	3,179$1,526 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,653.17	21	61.9%13 W · 8 L	+2.6wins	+0.13per pick	49cpaid	+25.5%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Cavaliers	52c	2,850$1,482 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,367.86	657	50.1%329 W · 328 L	+10.8wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Cavaliers	49c	2,671$1,313 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,358.3	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Clippers	48c	2,649$1,272 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,271.73	1,046	51.1%534 W · 512 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x56fc…733ebacked Cavaliers	52c	2,411$1,255 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,155.61	98	57.1%56 W · 42 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Clippers	49c	2,245$1,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,100	1,910	54.3%1,038 W · 872 L	+25.2wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc44d…935cbacked Cavaliers	48c	2,080$998 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,081.6	171	62.6%107 W · 64 L	+10.1wins	+0.06per pick	57cpaid	+20.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Clippers	51c	2,000$1,020 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,020	877	50.2%440 W · 437 L	-19.7wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Clippers	50c	1,949$966 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$966.35	2,753	50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L	+47.0wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2c7…2e93backed Clippers	53c	1,814$962 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$961.54	211	52.6%111 W · 100 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Cavaliers	51c	1,675$854 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$820.83	1,908	54.5%1,040 W · 868 L	+53.7wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x96bc…7fb4backed Clippers	49c	1,550$760 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$759.5	236	44.1%104 W · 132 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3b46…121dbacked Cavaliers	52c	1,538$800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$738.46	315	51.7%163 W · 152 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Cavaliers	51c	1,522$776 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$745.78	1,667	52.7%878 W · 789 L	+45.5wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Cavaliers	52c	1,442$750 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$692.31	653	39.5%258 W · 395 L	-24.6wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf79f…662ebacked Cavaliers	52c	1,375$710 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$664.96	21	71.4%15 W · 6 L	+3.7wins	+0.18per pick	54cpaid	+42.1%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3a91…1769backed Clippers	49c	1,224$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	321	50.8%163 W · 158 L	+5.3wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Clippers	50c	1,085$537 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$537.25	3,285	49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L	+5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Clippers	49c	1,024$502 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$501.76	2,078	53.6%1,113 W · 965 L	+44.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5cf…8cc5backed Clippers	48c	1,000$480 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$480	432	47.5%205 W · 227 L	+11.4wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0439…3f80backed Clippers	50c	990$495 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$495	87	42.5%37 W · 50 L	-7.4wins	-0.09per pick	51cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Cavaliers	52c	884.43$459 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$425.28	1,029	47.7%491 W · 538 L	-13.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66e6…7dc4backed Clippers	50c	860.04$431 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$430.93	35	34.3%12 W · 23 L	-5.6wins	-0.16per pick	50cpaid	-30.9%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6e12…20e9backed Clippers	49c	855.02$419 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$418.96	293	47.4%139 W · 154 L	-5.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf673…68ecbacked Clippers	48c	625$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	46	45.7%21 W · 25 L	-2.6wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9030…4a23backed Clippers	52c	614.36$320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$320	78	62.8%49 W · 29 L	+4.0wins	+0.05per pick	58cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa61f…7993backed Clippers	51c	599.96$307 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$306.98	617	47.8%295 W · 322 L	+4.6wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bd3…394cbacked Clippers	53c	566.04$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	100	48%48 W · 52 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x53aa…07fcbacked Cavaliers	49c	500$245 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$255	90	51.1%46 W · 44 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Clippers	49c	494.99$242 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$242.43	268	39.2%105 W · 163 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfedd…32c4backed Cavaliers	49c	469.39$230 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$239.39	96	55.2%53 W · 43 L	+4.8wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+10.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Cavaliers	48c	416.67$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$216.67	1,157	47.9%554 W · 603 L	-19.9wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8cbb…acb2backed Cavaliers	51c	399.94$204 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$195.97	890	50.4%449 W · 441 L	+4.4wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x2bf9…ecebbacked Clippers	49c	361.94$177 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$177.35	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.3wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+15.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Clippers	49c	351.42$173 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$172.72	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Clippers	52c	300$155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$155	911	48.1%438 W · 473 L	-11.6wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97f6…66e2backed Clippers	52c	299.99$156 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$155.99	201	49.8%100 W · 101 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbc37…2f65backed Clippers	49c	265.31$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130	416	49.8%207 W · 209 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2123…8d70backed Clippers	49c	245.61$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120.35	175	51.4%90 W · 85 L	+3.5wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x43d7…dca3backed Cavaliers	52c	240.38$125 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$115.38	150	52.7%79 W · 71 L	+5.0wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Clippers	49c	204.08$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	634	47.5%301 W · 333 L	-19.8wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe97…89e1backed Cavaliers	50c	200.32$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100.32	282	51.8%146 W · 136 L	+5.5wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa177…6e84backed Cavaliers	52c	192.31$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.31	67	53.7%36 W · 31 L	+1.8wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa496…9eccbacked Cavaliers	52c	192.31$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.31	75	45.3%34 W · 41 L	-3.5wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb0cb…85babacked Cavaliers	52c	192.31$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.31	522	42.7%223 W · 299 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3dc1…e318backed Clippers	49c	168.57$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.37	530	43.8%232 W · 298 L	-25.4wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-12%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0d21…08d3backed Clippers	50c	146.34$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.81	251	43%108 W · 143 L	-13.6wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x481d…48cfbacked Clippers	48c	120$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.6	79	54.4%43 W · 36 L	+5.6wins	+0.07per pick	47cpaid	+17%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3d5f…7e6fbacked Cavaliers	52c	117.31$61 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.31	324	50%162 W · 162 L	+0.9wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0c1c…9b07backed Cavaliers	48c	110$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.2	41	56.1%23 W · 18 L	+2.2wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb0fd…e1f5backed Clippers	49c	100$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49	493	51.7%255 W · 238 L	-4.1wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5cfe…ed69backed Cavaliers	51c	99.99$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49	388	45.6%177 W · 211 L	-4.8wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Cavaliers	52c	96.15$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.15	661	53.3%352 W · 309 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x843a…2687backed Cavaliers	52c	96.15$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.15	59	47.5%28 W · 31 L	-1.9wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7280…fbd1backed Clippers	50c	87.15$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.2	62	40.3%25 W · 37 L	-3.6wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-20%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Clippers	48c	83$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.84	950	47.2%448 W · 502 L	-28.5wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Cavaliers	51c	70.25$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.62	3,120	44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L	-7.6wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3c04…2e2dbacked Clippers	52c	65.38$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34	506	48%243 W · 263 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Cavaliers	52c	63.46$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.46	1,444	58.1%839 W · 605 L	+13.5wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x635b…195dbacked Cavaliers	48c	61$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.72	382	52.4%200 W · 182 L	+4.7wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bd6…bf96backed Clippers	52c	57.69$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	230	51.3%118 W · 112 L	+5.9wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b7f…7aecbacked Cavaliers	52c	57.69$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.69	436	47.9%209 W · 227 L	+7.3wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ab0…f2d7backed Clippers	53c	57$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.21	204	48.5%99 W · 105 L	+3.5wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32e8…72ccbacked Clippers	53c	56.6$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	44	25%11 W · 33 L	-9.8wins	-0.22per pick	47cpaid	-50.3%equal weight	34-0.14 edge/pick
0x1d23…b5a2backed Cavaliers	49c	53.06$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.06	89	46.1%41 W · 48 L	-3.4wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd125…f654backed Cavaliers	48c	52.08$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.08	27	63%17 W · 10 L	+3.5wins	+0.13per pick	50cpaid	+29.1%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5b6e…6cadbacked Clippers	40c	51.78$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.81	29	37.9%11 W · 18 L	-3.3wins	-0.11per pick	49cpaid	-29.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Cavaliers	63c	49.04$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.28	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdaec…eaafbacked Cavaliers	52c	48.08$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.08	293	48.5%142 W · 151 L	-5.8wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Cavaliers	50c	44.7$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.35	290	55.5%161 W · 129 L	+15.8wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Clippers	45c	44$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.8	1,573	53.4%840 W · 733 L	-12.8wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd62d…5992backed Cavaliers	48c	41.67$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.67	378	52.9%200 W · 178 L	+8.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x557d…4ffebacked Cavaliers	48c	41.67$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.67	35	48.6%17 W · 18 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0115…d2f3backed Cavaliers	48c	41.67$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.67	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ec1…dd29backed Cavaliers	48c	41.67$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.67	225	56.9%128 W · 97 L	+12.2wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1b47…3315backed Cavaliers	48c	41.67$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.67	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+1.4wins	+0.19per pick	52cpaid	+38.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x72a1…1950backed Cavaliers	49c	40.82$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.82	381	52.8%201 W · 180 L	+18.2wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9ff7…9ab6backed Cavaliers	52c	40.27$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.41	454	60.4%274 W · 180 L	+21.6wins	+0.05per pick	56cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x90aa…5f6cbacked Cavaliers	49c	40$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.4	218	49.5%108 W · 110 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3da1…c13bbacked Cavaliers	51c	40$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.6	421	46.1%194 W · 227 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	+2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbed1…1094backed Cavaliers	51c	39.98$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.59	58	65.5%38 W · 20 L	+4.8wins	+0.08per pick	57cpaid	+15%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7a33…7909backed Cavaliers	52c	39.77$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.09	27	51.9%14 W · 13 L	-1.0wins	-0.04per pick	56cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x27d2…b0f8backed Clippers	49c	38.78$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	67	41.8%28 W · 39 L	-2.9wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a30…37a6backed Cavaliers	52c	38.46$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.46	78	55.1%43 W · 35 L	+2.6wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd0e0…4d8fbacked Cavaliers	48c	37.5$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.5	659	50.8%335 W · 324 L	+15.7wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa33c…1b33backed Clippers	50c	36.56$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.46	628	44.9%282 W · 346 L	-21.3wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb78c…1961backed Cavaliers	48c	33.33$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.33	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.9wins	-0.12per pick	49cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9487…54bbbacked Clippers	48c	31.25$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	169	35.5%60 W · 109 L	-16.9wins	-0.10per pick	46cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x17ea…9406backed Cavaliers	48c	31.25$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.25	21	47.6%10 W · 11 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)this page
1H Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)Cavaliers won
Cavaliers vs. ClippersCavaliers won
Cavaliers vs. Clippers: 1H MoneylineCavaliers won
Cavaliers vs. Clippers: 1H O/U 108.5Under won
Cavaliers vs. Clippers: O/U 221.5Under won
Cavaliers vs. Clippers: O/U 222.5Under won
Cavaliers vs. Clippers: O/U 223.5Under won
Ivica Zubac: Points O/U 13.5No won
Jarrett Allen: Points O/U 14.5No won
Jaylon Tyson: Assists O/U 3.5No won
John Collins: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
John Collins: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
Kawhi Leonard: Points O/U 26.5No won
Kawhi Leonard: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)Cavaliers won
Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)Cavaliers won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event