TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf79f…662e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
57
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: NBA, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 59 out of 100; worst Ncaa Basketball at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT2171.4%15 W · 6 L+3.7wins+0.18per pick54cpaid+42.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
NBA — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Thunder vs. Clippersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$17,089Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$7,677.58
Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$710Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+93.6%+$664.96
Cavaliers vs. Clippersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$179Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+72.4%+$129.51
Grizzlies vs. Kingsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+284.6%+$142.31
Timberwolves vs. Grizzliesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,179Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$1,179.08
Pistons vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+50%+$150.09
Cavaliers vs. Hornetsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+69.5%+$121.61
Nuggets vs. Mavericksbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+81.8%+$81.82
Nets vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+112.8%+$56.38
Raptors vs. Pacersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$172Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+58.7%+$100.91
Suns vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$494Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+92.5%+$456.73
Mavericks vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$96.55
Lakers vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$80
Spurs vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+185.7%+$148.57
Cavaliers vs. Pacersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+47.1%+$73.1
Knicks vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$115.01
Jazz vs. Spursbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+75.5%+$117.35
Bucks vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$75
Heat vs. Hawksbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+122.2%+$61.11
Celtics vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$72.3
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+92.3%+$240
All 21 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+15%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Flames vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+78.6%+$88.15
Bruins vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+122.2%+$122.22
Avalanche vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Oilers vs. Flamesbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$70
Blackhawks vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 5 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Towson Tigers vs. Monmouth Hawksbacked Towson Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Villanova Wildcats vs. Providence Friarsbacked Providence Friars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$120
Kent State Golden Flashes vs. Buffalo Bullsbacked Buffalo Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Houston Cougarsbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 4 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+18%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-33%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-45.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LSU vs. Houstonbacked Houston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+63.9%+$87.56
Miami (OH) vs. Fresno Statebacked Miami (OH) · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$167.46
Georgia Tech vs. BYUbacked Georgia Tech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$105.92
All 3 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+54.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Cricket — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
International T20 Series: Sri Lanka vs England (Game 1)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$867Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+52.3%+$453.76
Big Bash League: Sydney Sixers vs Melbourne Stars (Game 1)backed Melbourne Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$172Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+56.2%+$96.92
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$553Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+44.9%+$248.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$433Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$432.95
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 26, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Derby County FC win on 2025-12-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Dec 26, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zimbabwe win on 2025-12-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 26, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Lynx vs Zero Tenacity (BO3)backed Zero Tenacity · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 7, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
U.S. forces board Bella 1 by Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$308Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$307.94
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.