NHL · resolved market
Oilers vs. Flames
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3d868c161e4ddfccf2a21136e63081f54bf86b2cc934cb59da4832ab9fe7bef9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Flamesof Oilers, Flames
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $240,572
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $240,628
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $240,572 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 314 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Flames | 56c | 24,124$13,604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,520.09 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Oilers | 57c | 17,600$10,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,031.77 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Flames | 43c | 15,000$6,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,549.92 | 425 | 52.2%222 W · 203 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Oilers | 54c | 12,119$6,516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,515.83 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Oilers | 55c | 10,555$5,811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,810.75 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Oilers | 56c | 8,670$4,855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,855.2 | 159 | 53.5%85 W · 74 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55fb…a3acbacked Flames | 66c | 6,425$4,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,160.99 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7234…1d85backed Oilers | 54c | 6,284$3,393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,393.21 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Flames | 43c | 6,129$2,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,518.79 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4335…4399backed Oilers | 55c | 5,270$2,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,900 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe1a…8bedbacked Oilers | 57c | 5,263$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Flames | 44c | 5,177$2,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,899.12 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Oilers | 12c | 5,051$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.18 | 299 | 26.4%79 W · 220 L | -20.5wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Oilers | 31c | 5,000$1,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,550 | 263 | 44.5%117 W · 146 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Oilers | 0c | 4,342$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.11 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa553…ef40backed Flames | 46c | 3,734$1,718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,016.5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Flames | 48c | 3,496$1,684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,812.05 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Flames | 46c | 3,227$1,472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,754.81 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x490e…73adbacked Oilers | 6c | 3,151$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.34 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Flames | 43c | 3,000$1,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,709.99 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56db…171cbacked Oilers | 57c | 2,816$1,601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,601.3 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | +7.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Oilers | 55c | 2,606$1,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,433.52 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 65cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Oilers | 31c | 2,590$803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$802.64 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d7…da62backed Oilers | 31c | 2,581$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 188 | 40.4%76 W · 112 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Flames | 61c | 2,575$1,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$995.6 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Oilers | 37c | 2,567$947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$947.31 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Flames | 43c | 2,364$1,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,351.29 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdddc…ced2backed Flames | 65c | 2,311$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$811.44 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Flames | 52c | 2,289$1,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,092.84 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ed…b5bcbacked Flames | 42c | 2,222$933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,288.76 | 108 | 50.9%55 W · 53 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Flames | 43c | 2,200$941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,258.97 | 510 | 44.5%227 W · 283 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Oilers | 26c | 2,179$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.31 | 387 | 38%147 W · 240 L | -13.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Flames | 44c | 2,167$954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,213.65 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Flames | 43c | 2,065$889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,175.75 | 622 | 49.4%307 W · 315 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Flames | 43c | 2,000$867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,132.74 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…1b66backed Flames | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120 | 122 | 50%61 W · 61 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9e…0262backed Oilers | 56c | 1,950$1,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,092 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -3.2wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e1…dc3ebacked Oilers | 55c | 1,896$1,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,051.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce4d…a7fabacked Oilers | 58c | 1,833$1,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,063.36 | 255 | 55.3%141 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Flames | 43c | 1,743$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$993.51 | 332 | 43.7%145 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Flames | 44c | 1,705$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$954.55 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb1…984ebacked Oilers | 31c | 1,700$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Oilers | 31c | 1,610$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 437 | 43%188 W · 249 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Flames | 42c | 1,500$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870 | 360 | 38.6%139 W · 221 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Flames | 64c | 1,395$890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.95 | 117 | 45.3%53 W · 64 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66c9…2e68backed Flames | 74c | 1,352$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.14 | 47 | 78.7%37 W · 10 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 71cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Oilers | 60c | 1,342$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 417 | 57.3%239 W · 178 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…62d7backed Oilers | 13c | 1,263$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Oilers | 56c | 1,200$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Oilers | 33c | 1,173$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.33 | 277 | 39.4%109 W · 168 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Oilers | 56c | 1,139$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.07 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff68…b34ebacked Oilers | 58c | 1,048$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.66 | 43 | 16.3%7 W · 36 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Flames | 45c | 1,044$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.21 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe225…ee35backed Oilers | 55c | 1,037$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.19 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.31per pick | 46cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Oilers | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed Flames | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +6.9wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Oilers | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed4…4547backed Flames | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 126 | 48.4%61 W · 65 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Oilers | 44c | 999.99$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435 | 119 | 50.4%60 W · 59 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe529…245dbacked Flames | 71c | 963.96$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.55 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4a6…6d23backed Flames | 44c | 907.28$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.08 | 288 | 53.1%153 W · 135 L | +14.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64ca…2eebbacked Oilers | 58c | 857.74$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.28per pick | 56cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3679…2bacbacked Flames | 63c | 854.01$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.22 | 89 | 52.8%47 W · 42 L | +7.6wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc449…2239backed Oilers | 59c | 853.85$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 102 | 55.9%57 W · 45 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7c…958ebacked Oilers | 15c | 835$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.25 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +7.5wins | +0.20per pick | 42cpaid | +59.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Flames | 65c | 824.09$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.29 | 1,140 | 51.5%587 W · 553 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Oilers | 15c | 800$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 312 | 57.4%179 W · 133 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Flames | 44c | 800$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Oilers | 17c | 793$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.94 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88f9…325dbacked Flames | 44c | 769.32$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.82 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Oilers | 33c | 759.33$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 145 | 39.3%57 W · 88 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Oilers | 35c | 709.72$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 321 | 51.7%166 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e58…3864backed Flames | 44c | 704.23$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.37 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Flames | 52c | 687.91$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.47 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Flames | 47c | 687.69$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.31 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Flames | 45c | 684.35$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.39 | 695 | 50.1%348 W · 347 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2639…a9b6backed Oilers | 41c | 659.71$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269 | 174 | 42.5%74 W · 100 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…80aebacked Oilers | 5c | 631.7$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.6 | 327 | 44%144 W · 183 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Oilers | 58c | 625.53$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Flames | 46c | 599.85$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.92 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked Flames | 64c | 570$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.9 | 77 | 37.7%29 W · 48 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Flames | 45c | 555$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.25 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Flames | 42c | 538.36$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.25 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x561d…94bebacked Oilers | 57c | 528.25$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.13 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f2…d776backed Oilers | 16c | 507.78$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.53 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4473…2ecabacked Oilers | 55c | 507.33$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.03 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49e2…018dbacked Flames | 43c | 500$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.33 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Flames | 47c | 500$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.88 | 318 | 51.9%165 W · 153 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf527…366bbacked Flames | 46c | 500$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.5 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | +7.0wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed Flames | 44c | 500$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.5 | 352 | 45.2%159 W · 193 L | -19.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Flames | 43c | 499.99$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 543 | 49.5%269 W · 274 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked Flames | 45c | 455.73$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.65 | 117 | 49.6%58 W · 59 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Flames | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.55 | 530 | 50.6%268 W · 262 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d59…e0edbacked Oilers | 55c | 454.55$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x260c…7130backed Oilers | 55c | 450$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.5 | 167 | 53.3%89 W · 78 L | +13.1wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +19%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff7a…4c4cbacked Flames | 69c | 449.4$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.31 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ea…af99backed Oilers | 42c | 449.19$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd622…8b56backed Oilers | 55c | 444.4$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.42 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf91e…7e0bbacked Oilers | 55c | 428.29$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.56 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Flames | 43c | 416.28$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.28 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Oilers vs. Flamesthis page
- Oilers vs. Flames: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Oilers (-1.5)Flames won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.