NHL · resolved market

Spread: Oilers (-1.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd5c169cda61e8505d135700fe8c0a4c277916396760906fc39c12ca2bfc7a643

Rebuilt 15 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Flamesof Oilers, Flames
Resolved: Dec 28, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $22,901
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $22,926

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,901 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 132 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NHL
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x07c8…2696backed Oilers	38c	15,203$5,777 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,777	78	44.9%35 W · 43 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Flames	62c	6,055$3,753 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,301.6	881	51.2%451 W · 430 L	+10.4wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Oilers	37c	3,705$1,389 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,388.54	1,948	49.4%962 W · 986 L	+24.9wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Flames	62c	3,223$2,001 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,221.74	2,664	51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L	+58.0wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Flames	62c	3,000$1,860 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,140	286	52.4%150 W · 136 L	+6.1wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Flames	62c	2,073$1,293 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$780.38	1,679	54.4%914 W · 765 L	+36.6wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Flames	62c	1,202$745 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$456.76	849	53.8%457 W · 392 L	+20.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Flames	62c	969.28$601 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$368.12	1,230	53.7%661 W · 569 L	-9.1wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Flames	62c	600$372 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$228	222	48.2%107 W · 115 L	-5.2wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Flames	66c	400$263 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$137	919	45.6%419 W · 500 L	-27.3wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a45…1405backed Oilers	38c	260.74$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.08	80	47.5%38 W · 42 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Flames	62c	240$149 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$91.2	376	49.7%187 W · 189 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed Oilers	34c	198.68$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.05	403	40.9%165 W · 238 L	-4.9wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd14…5ab9backed Flames	63c	196$124 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$71.92	61	67.2%41 W · 20 L	+9.8wins	+0.16per pick	51cpaid	+28.3%equal weight	63+0.11 edge/pick
0x83a3…6292backed Flames	68c	155.2$105 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.2	811	57.2%464 W · 347 L	-5.8wins	-0.01per pick	58cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba36…52d0backed Flames	63c	153$96 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.61	47	46.8%22 W · 25 L	-3.0wins	-0.06per pick	53cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x454a…4039backed Flames	64c	152$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.14	22	45.5%10 W · 12 L	-1.6wins	-0.07per pick	53cpaid	-15%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc938…af43backed Flames	63c	143$90 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.91	44	50%22 W · 22 L	-2.0wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-12%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x37bb…c71fbacked Flames	64c	142$91 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.12	27	55.6%15 W · 12 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	58cpaid	-1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x102f…9b6ebacked Flames	64c	137$88 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.32	35	48.6%17 W · 18 L	-2.1wins	-0.06per pick	55cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Flames	67c	136.61$92 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.44	182	62.1%113 W · 69 L	+15.6wins	+0.09per pick	53cpaid	+18.5%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0xa65b…b0c0backed Flames	63c	126$79 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.62	59	55.9%33 W · 26 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…ecf3backed Flames	66c	122$81 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.48	41	43.9%18 W · 23 L	-3.9wins	-0.09per pick	53cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Flames	62c	120$74 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.6	792	51.1%405 W · 387 L	+21.7wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e4f…243cbacked Flames	64c	110$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.6	37	64.9%24 W · 13 L	+3.6wins	+0.10per pick	55cpaid	+16.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0e32…f244backed Flames	64c	106$68 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.16	24	58.3%14 W · 10 L	+1.1wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe622…18cabacked Oilers	26c	105.49$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.15	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.13per pick	46cpaid	-40.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1a8…1b66backed Flames	65c	105$68 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.7	122	50%61 W · 61 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90c5…534cbacked Oilers	36c	100$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	541	32.7%177 W · 364 L	-11.5wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x82f7…7496backed Flames	64c	100$64 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36	8	75%6 W · 2 L	+1.6wins	+0.20per pick	55cpaid	+32%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xeff8…1bcfbacked Flames	63c	98$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.26	25	48%12 W · 13 L	-1.3wins	-0.05per pick	53cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f2c…ac5ebacked Flames	63c	97$61 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.89	55	60%33 W · 22 L	+3.9wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+11.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb4f9…5526backed Flames	63c	96$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.52	44	54.5%24 W · 20 L	+1.3wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1120…47bfbacked Oilers	36c	94.97$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.64	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.9wins	-0.31per pick	64cpaid	-56.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Flames	62c	90$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.2	481	49.3%237 W · 244 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Flames	62c	90$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.2	472	49.2%232 W · 240 L	+3.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc880…a622backed Flames	63c	89$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.93	50	52%26 W · 24 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xede6…89c4backed Oilers	37c	81$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.62	22	40.9%9 W · 13 L	-1.5wins	-0.07per pick	48cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b17…e2c1backed Oilers	38c	78.94$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	21	61.9%13 W · 8 L	+1.7wins	+0.08per pick	54cpaid	+18%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x68cc…24adbacked Oilers	37c	73$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.01	12	50%6 W · 6 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Oilers	33c	72$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.4	105	43.8%46 W · 59 L	-6.5wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Oilers	33c	72$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.4	194	42.8%83 W · 111 L	-12.3wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Flames	62c	72$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.36	263	48.7%128 W · 135 L	-3.9wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Flames	62c	72$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.36	271	48.7%132 W · 139 L	-4.2wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x68e0…a3a6backed Flames	63c	69$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.53	36	41.7%15 W · 21 L	-1.7wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7f5f…99d3backed Oilers	35c	65$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.78	15	60%9 W · 6 L	+1.3wins	+0.09per pick	51cpaid	+19.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1488…0672backed Flames	63c	62$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.94	52	53.8%28 W · 24 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1393…8392backed Flames	63c	61$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.57	67	59.7%40 W · 27 L	+3.1wins	+0.05per pick	55cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Oilers	35c	60$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.2	490	45.3%222 W · 268 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xae28…5d17backed Flames	63c	59$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.83	26	57.7%15 W · 11 L	+0.9wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd289…98b5backed Oilers	37c	59$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.83	21	38.1%8 W · 13 L	-2.2wins	-0.10per pick	49cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Flames	65c	54.64$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.25	2,754	47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L	+11.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Flames	62c	54$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.52	264	48.9%129 W · 135 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f91…20ccbacked Flames	63c	54$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.98	54	74.1%40 W · 14 L	+11.1wins	+0.21per pick	53cpaid	+49%equal weight	66+0.14 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Flames	62c	54$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.52	295	50.2%148 W · 147 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Flames	62c	54$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.52	605	49.3%298 W · 307 L	+4.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Flames	62c	50$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19	274	45.6%125 W · 149 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6b73…a19dbacked Oilers	37c	49$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.13	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	-2.4wins	-0.16per pick	49cpaid	-27%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6919…d27bbacked Flames	64c	48.23$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.36	134	53%71 W · 63 L	+6.7wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe1d9…a94bbacked Flames	63c	48$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.76	33	66.7%22 W · 11 L	+3.9wins	+0.12per pick	55cpaid	+16.9%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe8bd…8deabacked Oilers	37c	48$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.76	22	54.5%12 W · 10 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x83b1…cac1backed Oilers	37c	47$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.39	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-1.1wins	-0.09per pick	51cpaid	-26.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xce96…ff5cbacked Oilers	37c	47$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.39	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb385…c1a4backed Oilers	37c	46$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.02	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3bd…2bf8backed Flames	66c	45.26$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.4	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-1.4wins	-0.12per pick	49cpaid	-43%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x512f…6a7ebacked Flames	66c	45.26$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.4	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+1.9wins	+0.37per pick	43cpaid	+73.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Flames	62c	45$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.1	216	48.1%104 W · 112 L	-6.8wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2999…50bcbacked Oilers	37c	44$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.28	24	33.3%8 W · 16 L	-3.7wins	-0.16per pick	49cpaid	-31.1%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0xfacf…e97abacked Oilers	37c	43$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.91	16	56.3%9 W · 7 L	+1.1wins	+0.07per pick	49cpaid	+18.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe91…4462backed Oilers	36c	42$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.12	16	50%8 W · 8 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8778…6eadbacked Oilers	34c	41.53$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.12	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.41per pick	41cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf340…6224backed Oilers	36c	41$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.76	17	52.9%9 W · 8 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1670…d6a2backed Oilers	36c	41$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.87	20	60%12 W · 8 L	+2.2wins	+0.11per pick	49cpaid	+32.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1315…d32ebacked Oilers	36c	39$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.22	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	+0.9wins	+0.07per pick	51cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe6f…f93fbacked Oilers	36c	38.17$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.74	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.09per pick	41cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe166…edcebacked Oilers	36c	38$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.68	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-1.4wins	-0.12per pick	49cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x38ee…012fbacked Oilers	36c	38$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.68	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.9wins	-0.17per pick	57cpaid	-39.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x60ee…f2d4backed Oilers	36c	37$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.32	8	50%4 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Oilers	32c	36$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.52	196	45.4%89 W · 107 L	-8.0wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Oilers	33c	36$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.88	112	47.3%53 W · 59 L	-3.7wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Flames	62c	36$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.68	291	47.4%138 W · 153 L	-7.3wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Flames	62c	36$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.68	198	48.5%96 W · 102 L	-3.9wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Flames	62c	36$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.68	196	47.4%93 W · 103 L	-5.0wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Flames	62c	36$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.68	189	46%87 W · 102 L	-7.9wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Flames	62c	36$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.68	190	46.8%89 W · 101 L	-6.1wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb95e…c6d6backed Flames	65c	36$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.6	172	49.4%85 W · 87 L	-3.5wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa924…b1b9backed Flames	67c	36$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.88	337	35%118 W · 219 L	+10.5wins	+0.03per pick	32cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Flames	73c	35.96$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.71	1,140	51.5%587 W · 553 L	+40.1wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x33b7…c747backed Oilers	37c	35$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.95	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	-0.6wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d19…0b39backed Oilers	37c	34$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.58	17	58.8%10 W · 7 L	+1.5wins	+0.09per pick	50cpaid	+19.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xab2e…8b4bbacked Oilers	36c	34$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.24	25	48%12 W · 13 L	-0.9wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5c…1f57backed Oilers	35c	33.01$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.4	20	70%14 W · 6 L	+3.6wins	+0.18per pick	52cpaid	+25.6%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x973e…22ebbacked Flames	67c	31.34$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.34	690	61.6%425 W · 265 L	+15.7wins	+0.02per pick	59cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f53…1ddcbacked Oilers	36c	31$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.16	14	57.1%8 W · 6 L	+1.4wins	+0.10per pick	47cpaid	+24.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8e78…fcb4backed Oilers	36c	31$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.16	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	+0.9wins	+0.08per pick	46cpaid	+14.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x00f6…c5d2backed Oilers	37c	31$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.47	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+0.6wins	+0.07per pick	49cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x879d…8c58backed Oilers	37c	31$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.47	20	45%9 W · 11 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3839…a64dbacked Flames	65c	30.77$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.77	35	51.4%18 W · 17 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb75…bc16backed Oilers	36c	30$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.8	21	52.4%11 W · 10 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Flames	66c	30$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.2	432	50.9%220 W · 212 L	+5.7wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Oilers (-1.5)this page
Oilers vs. FlamesFlames won
Oilers vs. Flames: O/U 6.5Under won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Oilers (-1.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event