Ukraine · resolved market
U.S. forces board Bella 1 by Friday?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x65f14d97d91794e0f18879a43a263fb4bb440ef2e4f18afb94ce8343fd6ee716
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $287,210
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $282,428
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $287,210 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 163 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ukraine | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd923…3303backed No | 0c | 16,672$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0562…9d66backed No | 11c | 15,010$1,711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,710.97 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd805…4a00backed No | 1c | 12,858$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1c8…1a4ebacked No | 1c | 12,791$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e2a…39a0backed No | 0c | 11,500$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77d4…3983backed No | 1c | 10,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5c…a5debacked No | 1c | 10,000$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62f1…92edbacked No | 0c | 6,823$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0076…60d8backed No | 1c | 5,584$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86cd…504cbacked Yes | 45c | 4,616$2,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,525.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +120.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe870…b406backed No | 1c | 4,401$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa24d…d44bbacked No | 15c | 3,420$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.37 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a68…6679backed No | 7c | 3,000$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed No | 50c | 2,500$1,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,254.99 | 110 | 50.9%56 W · 54 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b9…105bbacked No | 1c | 2,234$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe631…c7babacked No | 1c | 2,074$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd9…d4c9backed No | 1c | 2,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -40%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…974ebacked Yes | 34c | 1,989$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,311.48 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c4d…e15cbacked No | 1c | 1,981$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f0…3803backed Yes | 69c | 1,684$1,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe738…df65backed No | 68c | 1,652$1,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,122.37 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f12…4e57backed Yes | 54c | 1,634$883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3f…43dcbacked Yes | 48c | 1,564$743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$821.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b9…e44ebacked No | 14c | 1,532$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77e3…d0bfbacked No | 17c | 1,512$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.74 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e99…2a9fbacked Yes | 40c | 1,477$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed No | 11c | 1,454$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.94 | 41 | 17.1%7 W · 34 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ce…ba12backed No | 2c | 1,405$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37b2…8681backed No | 13c | 1,381$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.26 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 35c | 1,327$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$861.39 | 263 | 18.3%48 W · 215 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b9…7023backed No | 2c | 1,215$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…501cbacked Yes | 77c | 1,181$904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.89 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe605…ac5fbacked Yes | 49c | 1,164$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.52 | 64 | 20.3%13 W · 51 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x641b…5433backed Yes | 79c | 1,113$877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.83 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b74…e8d7backed No | 30c | 1,064$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.48 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x291e…4b6abacked No | 2c | 1,058$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…4e85backed No | 3c | 1,057$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadcf…0e2fbacked No | 2c | 1,014$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9f…979cbacked No | 3c | 960.52$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7add…f9f4backed Yes | 34c | 957.59$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.62 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +61.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4278…e26dbacked Yes | 51c | 900.12$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec6e…6574backed No | 1c | 875.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd8…01f0backed Yes | 47c | 862.6$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.91 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | -4.8wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3869…0e3cbacked Yes | 58c | 857.54$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +71.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6be5…a995backed No | 2c | 800$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed No | 57c | 791.53$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.86 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b09…e10fbacked Yes | 43c | 743.53$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.87 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5a…c699backed No | 2c | 719.13$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79c1…497dbacked Yes | 50c | 714.09$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.5 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf96…ea6abacked No | 3c | 688.27$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked No | 3c | 655.59$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.22 | 60 | 33.3%20 W · 40 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa39e…4f73backed No | 4c | 627.13$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89a6…7263backed No | 16c | 621.55$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked No | 9c | 598.11$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.12 | 91 | 15.4%14 W · 77 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcedb…588bbacked Yes | 18c | 558.79$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.82per pick | 18cpaid | +458.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7fe…1f3ebacked Yes | 67c | 554.94$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 39cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed No | 55c | 541.04$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +69.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90b1…55e1backed No | 6c | 538.89$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0122…159cbacked No | 4c | 538.46$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -3.9wins | -0.18per pick | 42cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked No | 4c | 513.72$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.28 | 86 | 4.7%4 W · 82 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -87%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x549c…ad91backed No | 48c | 512.86$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.76 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabe9…4424backed Yes | 40c | 499.99$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7db…c00cbacked No | 3c | 496.56$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xceab…deefbacked No | 54c | 476.91$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.53 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e26…336cbacked No | 73c | 456.09$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.95 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa64…a43dbacked Yes | 37c | 446.74$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.05 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf79f…662ebacked No | 72c | 428.75$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…b233backed Yes | 54c | 426.62$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.34 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d0f…bea9backed No | 12c | 419.25$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked No | 60c | 400$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 129 | 37.2%48 W · 81 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b2…7c84backed No | 67c | 394.02$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.38 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe85f…7f69backed No | 15c | 369.99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.98 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf15a…6df2backed No | 60c | 340$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 15c | 329.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.31 | 142 | 39.4%56 W · 86 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11de…21d7backed Yes | 17c | 301.78$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 30cpaid | +148.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 14c | 294.06$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.62 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -44%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x588c…1bf4backed No | 59c | 284$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.49 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76fb…c306backed No | 59c | 265.58$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.69 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab49…a28ebacked Yes | 32c | 261.84$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +214.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x933c…a8c6backed No | 53c | 250$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.7 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed Yes | 34c | 248.22$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.62 | 262 | 38.5%101 W · 161 L | +18.2wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x417b…18d3backed No | 55c | 242.66$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.44 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf27d…e6d3backed No | 58c | 236.98$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.03 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc77…67c3backed No | 12c | 235.34$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe3…e366backed No | 77c | 222.5$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.84 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29e6…b3f2backed No | 77c | 220.68$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.93 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf0…e95cbacked No | 79c | 211.38$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f02…3256backed No | 62c | 208.84$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked No | 63c | 206.4$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.52 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd876…b938backed No | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked No | 63c | 200$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 82 | 32.9%27 W · 55 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…216bbacked No | 62c | 200$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d38…d383backed No | 61c | 197.9$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d1…086ebacked No | 27c | 196.58$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84c6…66a2backed Yes | 40c | 193.47$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.62 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e3d…ff92backed No | 71c | 175.1$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.64 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe43…8c72backed No | 21c | 150$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7312…9356backed No | 74c | 149.49$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.85 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fba…1404backed No | 69c | 145.36$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5ea…ffe5backed No | 73c | 137.75$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.