TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe7db…c00c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
225
Categories scored
23
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Music, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Music at 57 out of 100; worst Premier League at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT5014%7 W · 43 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick16cpaid+26.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 50 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$170.95
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+356.4%+$152.95
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.37
Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.12
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 0-5%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$43.88
Will Iván Cepeda Castro place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+72%+$78.16
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.33
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$234Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$233.75
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Will turnout in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be greater than 85%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.09
Will turnout in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be between 80% and 85%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.85
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.4
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 58% and 59%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.59
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 61%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+4,456.2%+$1,489.34
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be less than 56%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.23
Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.85
Will turnout in the first round of the 2026 Costa Rican Presidential Election be between 66% and 68%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$24.37
Will turnout in the first round of the 2026 Costa Rican Presidential Election be between 70% and 72%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$445Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$445.45
Will turnout in the first round of the 2026 Costa Rican Presidential Election be between 68% and 70%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$474Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$473.69
Will turnout in the first round of the 2026 Costa Rican Presidential Election be at least 72%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$15.13
Will António José Seguro win the second round by 20–30%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$20.08
Will António José Seguro win the second round by 40–50%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$26.6
Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be between 50% and 52%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+313.9%+$94.79
Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be between 52% and 54%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$53.93
Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$67.46
Showing 25 of 50 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT4040%16 W · 24 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 40 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.06
Lionel Messi: 1+ assistsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.5
Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.7
Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$32.5
Spain vs. Argentina: Spain O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.49
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.75
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+196.4%+$164.28
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.3
France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.2
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.13
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.56
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.33
Norway vs. England: Norway O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.1
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+62.6%+$19.25
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+167.5%+$24.42
Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+359.2%+$50.29
Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advancebacked Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$25.2
Will England win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$29
England vs. DR Congo: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$7.2
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.2
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+337.6%+$118.16
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+106.5%+$31.51
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.1
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.15
Showing 25 of 40 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT3426.5%9 W · 25 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick21cpaid+29.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.2
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$23.6
Thunder vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.47
Magic vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Pelicans vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Trail Blazers vs. Hornetsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$58
Nets vs. Cavaliersbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$14.75
Trail Blazers vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazersbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$124.1
Pelicans vs. Timberwolvesbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+334.8%+$38.48
Knicks vs. Pistonsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$132.39
76ers vs. Lakersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$38
Warriors vs. Sunsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+250.5%+$321.58
Hornets vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$40.29
Bulls vs. Raptorsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$89.5
Nets vs. Magicbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$29.5
Wizards vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$41.03
Nuggets vs. Knicksbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$176.67
Celtics vs. Rocketsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+316.7%+$76
Rockets vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$37
Timberwolves vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+497.2%+$254.27
Lakers vs. Trail Blazersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$64.4
Wizards vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+105.5%+$61.6
Cavaliers vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$31.6
Knicks vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$15.09
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT2737%10 W · 17 L+2.8wins+0.10per pick27cpaid+9.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+100%+$20
Will FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$39.5
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+247.6%+$65.17
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.52
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$16.65
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+357.7%+$101.6
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.1
Will Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.1
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$38
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.8
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.66
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$20.5
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.9
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$47
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$26.4
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$69.24
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$55
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+284.6%+$74
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$326Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+34.9%+$113.73
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$29
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$15.2
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$32.3
Will PSV win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$14.4
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+122.6%+$184.5
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT1118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick24cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.11
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.4
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+116.5%+$56.13
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$58.52
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$111.26
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$215.49
Will Real Oviedo vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$22.87
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+581.8%+$128
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$13.98
All 11 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick36cpaid-6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the US accuse Iran of Oslo Embassy attack?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.2
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+61%+$37.9
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$10.69
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+233.3%+$42
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+53.8%+$14
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$62.3
Will the US next strike Iran on January 17, 2026 (ET)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$13.86
US strikes Yemen by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$22.6
U.S. agrees to give Saudi Arabia security guarantee by November 30? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$177Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+60.5%+$106.85
Trump agrees to sell F-35 to Saudi Arabia by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$362Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+31.4%+$113.45
All 10 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST1030%3 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-36.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$14.7
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$53.11
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+114.3%+$48
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$69.55
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15.02
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+60.8%+$18.9
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$73.55
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$23.29
Will Aston Villa FC vs. Brentford FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$37.85
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+161.6%+$27.8
All 10 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick21cpaid-82.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick28cpaid-20.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.47per pick28cpaid+692.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Music — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+18.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.38per pick29cpaid+127.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick23cpaid+12.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-53.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.25
U.S. forces board Bella 1 by Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$15.53
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.89per pick11cpaid+809.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+809.1%+$89
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Porto win on 2026-01-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+81.8%+$31.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Nov 18, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+56.3%+$36
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+53.8%+$10.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
No airdrop in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$18.34
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$18.9
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.