TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

F1 · resolved market

Will Mercedes finish second in the 2025 Constructors' Championship?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
F1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$155,137
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$157,131

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $155,137 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 241 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in F1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9511…3520backed Yes39c27,319$10,654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,664.591100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe64f…5d11backed No61c27,319$16,665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,664.5910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes31c3,471$1,091 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,379.5221337.6%80 W · 133 L+0.6wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbdd1…0c4fbacked Yes52c3,072$1,607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,464.427233.3%24 W · 48 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-12.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74e0…fabdbacked Yes34c2,893$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,902.811729.4%5 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-20.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf470…02febacked No1c1,818$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x34cf…7188backed No23c1,739$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.3120%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x817b…3c25backed Yes40c1,700$681 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,018.911040%4 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-16.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4483…c565backed Yes57c1,677$956 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$721.13955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick63cpaid0%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb94f…04d8backed No1c1,672$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.0510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b16…a4fcbacked Yes28c1,634$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,178.021656.3%9 W · 7 L+2.7wins+0.17per pick39cpaid+25.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x024a…decbbacked No49c1,456$719 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$719.381637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-44.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d0c…3bf9backed Yes45c1,434$646 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$788.391154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd77e…098abacked Yes28c1,373$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$985.72633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7ad…d11dbacked Yes46c1,312$599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$713.465137.3%19 W · 32 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+26.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x17cb…3ab8backed Yes24c1,265$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$963.791100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.76per pick24cpaid+320%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x06e8…4675backed No34c1,256$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424.0510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe394…289cbacked Yes70c1,239$870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.35959.3%35 W · 24 L+5.4wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+21.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed No12c1,221$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.633766.9%26 W · 350 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-67.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ab0…d582backed Yes28c1,000$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$720955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.15per pick40cpaid+32.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb482…fbc7backed Yes31c967.1$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$671.05728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.15per pick43cpaid-33.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xffc5…3b2fbacked Yes57c874.44$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.982958.6%17 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcbb5…5ed9backed No78c821.52$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6401060%6 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x876d…a678backed No2c800$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1220%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6149…8a58backed No8c724.53$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.59547.4%45 W · 50 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-4.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb583…3428backed Yes61c702.77$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.38250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-18%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2130…b64dbacked Yes47c634.98$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.482236.4%8 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf270…7a37backed Yes66c616.15$406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.461855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a4d…caa6backed No37c602.23$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.571145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick38cpaid-12.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a61…af24backed No52c583.18$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.811741.2%7 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick31cpaid+56.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x36f9…cec7backed No10c571.08$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.65837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-19.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c70…e930backed Yes32c565.38$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386.2933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7aa3…6449backed Yes33c565$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.2771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.24per pick47cpaid+44.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb271…7f8ebacked Yes68c537.67$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.14250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-26%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec01…6592backed Yes32c525.25$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.672646.2%12 W · 14 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+18.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe75…b5c0backed Yes26c518.01$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.88742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick27cpaid+84.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b1f…1e95backed Yes33c484.01$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.352123.8%5 W · 16 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick19cpaid-29.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed No70c434.82$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.135442.6%23 W · 31 L-3.7wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-22.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc047…fecbbacked No68c430.4$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.911233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-30.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc2de…9fb3backed Yes61c419.23$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.72540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-37.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes34c413.58$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.591050%5 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+17.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x97df…3088backed Yes24c413.1$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.092040%8 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54af…a9efbacked Yes54c400$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9562…57a3backed Yes30c400$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd443…4bcabacked Yes27c400$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2911637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5567…aeedbacked No27c400$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.52450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-21.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bbe…c65dbacked No4c379.68$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.191546.7%7 W · 8 L+4.4wins+0.30per pick17cpaid+109.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xa4cb…9756backed Yes38c367.46$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.46650%3 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+13.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfc0f…55f8backed Yes27c365.74$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.74450%2 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+53.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a71…f491backed No5c364.69$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20520%1 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick13cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3596…6c81backed Yes22c351.22$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.51421.4%3 W · 11 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick21cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b0d…1744backed Yes28c350$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2528427.4%23 W · 61 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick23cpaid+91.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe6a5…9b72backed Yes69c350$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick56cpaid-10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98b3…30a6backed Yes58c346.88$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.88250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b6f…862fbacked Yes29c344.83$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.83616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick35cpaid-42.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6504…6bbbbacked Yes73c320.25$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.25771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+14.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf203…2cb2backed Yes32c308.81$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.11450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+11.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a55…fe8bbacked Yes33c307.84$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.28475%3 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.37per pick38cpaid+117.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x187b…acdcbacked Yes31c299.33$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.21633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick37cpaid+7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4600…78aabacked Yes62c295.24$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.24944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-22.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf020…a576backed Yes39c294.22$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.421827.8%5 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-26.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85b8…6b6abacked Yes62c289.66$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.0711547%54 W · 61 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a1f…1a9fbacked Yes38c289.07$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.56757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.26per pick31cpaid+49.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf47d…f295backed Yes29c288$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+244.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7201…0fc8backed Yes70c285.71$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.711100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1993…df7fbacked Yes32c273.31$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.81650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+34.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1a8…1b38backed Yes55c272$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.46136.1%22 W · 39 L+0.3wins0.00per pick36cpaid-20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3ab…ff0cbacked Yes69c270.54$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.82475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.33per pick42cpaid+77.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcc77…c035backed No68c269.29$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.65837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.24per pick62cpaid-44%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x97e5…cf32backed Yes77c260.92$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.92366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick73cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe07…d839backed Yes45c260$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1436835.3%24 W · 44 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xecb1…5da3backed Yes30c255.14$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.818939.3%35 W · 54 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-8.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc636…de88backed Yes28c254.14$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.141100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+263.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a86…80efbacked Yes40c250$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.18per pick56cpaid-30.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e9c…2be7backed Yes65c246.36$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.36520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.21per pick41cpaid-69.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7853…36d8backed Yes37c246.2$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.241323.1%3 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick28cpaid+178.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked No70c242.71$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.743444.1%15 W · 19 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf416…6ec9backed No6c236.3$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.8220%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea29…21dfbacked Yes51c234.91$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.912222.7%5 W · 17 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick28cpaid+6.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe65f…a749backed Yes44c227.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.272924.1%7 W · 22 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick30cpaid-25.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa019…c220backed Yes32c226$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.684136.6%15 W · 26 L+4.9wins+0.12per pick25cpaid+22.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xac99…1380backed Yes72c224.41$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.071181.8%9 W · 2 L+2.7wins+0.25per pick57cpaid+26.6%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xc55e…263cbacked Yes46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.39540%2 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick31cpaid-20.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdaeb…0cebbacked No12c205.26$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-36.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7f3…af78backed Yes74c202.87$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.23955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdda3…6bfdbacked Yes25c199.23$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.23742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+9.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb1a3…d770backed Yes45c195.93$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.761100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7db…c00cbacked Yes61c190.75$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.34633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick28cpaid-20.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec2c…1b20backed No28c181.16$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504431.8%14 W · 30 L-0.2wins0.00per pick32cpaid-30.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3969…6e2cbacked No28c180.07$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.09520%1 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick20cpaid-33.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c43…fb9bbacked No66c177.2$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.8611250%56 W · 56 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x72f6…c312backed Yes58c173.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.222100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+144.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x97a4…a1c0backed Yes58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.41650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+14.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd7e9…0ac1backed Yes80c170.51$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.57366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+84.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0025…6ca8backed Yes59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.49366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4dcb…cc37backed Yes62c161.9$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.9366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+34.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf385…4864backed No43c157.89$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.561764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick55cpaid-4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7284…4f6cbacked Yes69c156.07$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.031100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x73dc…8d32backed No67c154.14$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.461258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+29%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcceb…f030backed No57c150.31$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.081163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.