TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

F1 · resolved market

Will Red Bull Racing finish second in the 2025 Constructors' Championship?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
F1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$198,880
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$162,291

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $198,880 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in F1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2b16…a4fcbacked Yes4c4,810$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.621656.3%9 W · 7 L+2.7wins+0.17per pick39cpaid+25.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x31a7…9ac3backed Yes11c4,183$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+17.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x817b…3c25backed Yes3c4,053$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.911040%4 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-16.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes15c2,958$442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442.2621337.6%80 W · 133 L+0.6wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes8c2,760$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.293766.9%26 W · 350 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-67.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33c1…9648backed Yes9c2,450$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.5714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick5cpaid-28.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x89e2…bb8dbacked Yes8c2,265$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.441118.2%2 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick15cpaid-21.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x101c…4392backed Yes15c1,709$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick20cpaid-42.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbdd1…0c4fbacked Yes8c1,344$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.497233.3%24 W · 48 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-12.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe07…d839backed Yes36c1,277$454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454.126835.3%24 W · 44 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd77e…098abacked Yes5c1,230$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.63633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0c3…8cd8backed Yes33c1,200$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.61330.8%4 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick26cpaid-7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e37…03d2backed Yes3c1,119$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.966547.7%31 W · 34 L+7.0wins+0.11per pick37cpaid+43.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes2c1,080$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.7250%0 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4732…2f88backed Yes10c1,064$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.191428.6%4 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-32.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b1f…1e95backed Yes18c1,020$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.392123.8%5 W · 16 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick19cpaid-29.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c43…fb9bbacked Yes6c1,018$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.6111250%56 W · 56 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d7b…6e23backed Yes40c1,003$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400825%2 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-39.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3c7e…d24bbacked Yes2c1,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e29…9cf8backed Yes7c999.51$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick24cpaid-32.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes2c999.44$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.531050%5 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+17.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3969…6e2cbacked Yes10c870.07$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.27520%1 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick20cpaid-33.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a11…ee9bbacked No67c752.88$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.971442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fad…1480backed Yes2c742.79$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.881612.5%2 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick10cpaid-82.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67a7…86cebacked No77c704.31$544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.141931.6%6 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-20.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8298…b978backed Yes12c650$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.3742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.27per pick16cpaid+130.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe1a8…1b38backed Yes10c648.68$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.26136.1%22 W · 39 L+0.3wins0.00per pick36cpaid-20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a4d…caa6backed Yes21c612$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.51145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick38cpaid-12.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf270…7a37backed Yes36c600$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2161855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb271…7f8ebacked Yes35c576.56$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.52250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-26%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb482…fbc7backed Yes13c572.98$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.15per pick43cpaid-33.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x51c0…0305backed Yes21c568.49$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.6480%0 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb86d…de7fbacked Yes6c561.56$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3520%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x235e…5673backed Yes39c500$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.51435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x36f9…cec7backed Yes32c499.99$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-19.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b0d…1744backed Yes8c448.15$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.638427.4%23 W · 61 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick23cpaid+91.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd5b4…e28cbacked Yes3c393$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.3410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d85…228ebacked Yes44c382.39$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17040%0 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf020…a576backed Yes7c346.92$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.31827.8%5 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-26.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a61…af24backed Yes9c276.26$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.861741.2%7 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick31cpaid+56.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x74e0…fabdbacked Yes24c271.34$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.271729.4%5 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-20.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b33…9b98backed Yes38c263.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001936.8%7 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+51.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd42c…c46bbacked Yes40c260.25$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.06333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick30cpaid-14.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb782…955cbacked Yes21c254.11$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.51922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick26cpaid-33%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe75…b5c0backed Yes28c246.15$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick27cpaid+84.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4afb…328dbacked Yes41c243.95$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5960…d692backed Yes13c229.17$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.9120%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4ad…d00bbacked No75c200$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.41442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdfb…7d18backed Yes21c199.98$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.520%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x796a…b0a4backed Yes39c191.67$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.5620%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0194…eb56backed Yes40c189.67$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.76425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb277…d809backed Yes11c181.86$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5450%2 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+56.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf708…2f7ebacked Yes15c181.77$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2820%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd59…b550backed Yes13c178$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.1420%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes9c174.65$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8712325.2%31 W · 92 L-0.1wins0.00per pick25cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad53…ef24backed Yes20c170.6$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.893336.4%12 W · 21 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-21.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x044c…a476backed Yes21c169.83$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3520%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7949…74fabacked Yes13c150$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.520%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5db…3c45backed Yes16c150$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245630.4%17 W · 39 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3574…8ba0backed Yes13c150$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.520%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x783e…1174backed Yes7c147.25$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick18cpaid+78.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x82bd…335ebacked Yes13c145.02$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.85250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-35.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes11c128.82$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.597950.6%40 W · 39 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4cd4…e335backed Yes18c125$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.58560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf385…4864backed No69c123$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.751764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick55cpaid-4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0cbb…f8a3backed Yes25c122.23$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick31cpaid-37.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x369b…5129backed Yes22c120$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.16633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid+8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaba7…1718backed Yes26c115.81$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-55.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09bf…9918backed Yes13c115.38$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1520%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9a3…fa76backed Yes13c115$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.95333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-25.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ada…7eabbacked Yes10c109.23$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1150%0 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd86…0f8abacked Yes19c106.32$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick29cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x367a…e5bfbacked Yes13c105$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.65333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad58…cadabacked Yes40c100.75$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e4b…cac2backed Yes10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10850%4 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-25%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d20…86d2backed Yes10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-46.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac8…990abacked No76c100$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.6250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick76cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa314…5ba7backed No70c97.6$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.03862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+33.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes16c92$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15837.5%3 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.18per pick19cpaid+27.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9132…ef49backed Yes23c88.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7849…bf63backed Yes17c87.3$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick24cpaid-68.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8436…6968backed Yes23c87.13$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-29.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc24a…5cd7backed Yes23c86.96$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201838.9%7 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5c2…9bf1backed Yes24c82.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20837.5%3 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick25cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8dcb…53b4backed Yes25c81.35$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd443…4bcabacked Yes18c75$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.51637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b4b…163bbacked Yes27c74.07$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e6f…1539backed Yes23c65.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb708…354ebacked No79c64.54$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.27366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick74cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac99…1380backed No77c64.44$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.81181.8%9 W · 2 L+2.7wins+0.25per pick57cpaid+26.6%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x0915…ee63backed No78c64.1$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.1250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-35.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16e6…4909backed Yes37c54.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x16bb…c6f1backed Yes38c52.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4959…a6f5backed No77c49.9$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.437659.2%45 W · 31 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x881a…8d6dbacked Yes27c48.77$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131838.9%7 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+91.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec2f…43a2backed Yes27c48$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.861650%8 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+36.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb17…5e9cbacked Yes34c41.34$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.0520%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1eca…3a06backed No73c39.99$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.763467.6%23 W · 11 L+4.4wins+0.13per pick55cpaid+22.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x88b0…b118backed No79c39.09$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.263250%16 W · 16 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+30.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x993f…35cbbacked No77c37.64$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.541060%6 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.