TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

F1 · resolved market

Will Ferrari finish second in the 2025 Constructors' Championship?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
F1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$227,838
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$220,002

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $227,838 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 183 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in F1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe2c4…49a9backed Yes56c35,355$19,799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,798.810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x470d…c245backed No44c35,355$15,556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,798.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa72…53b0backed Yes39c35,294$13,765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,764.6610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x272c…2c93backed No61c35,294$21,529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,764.661100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8523…1c9fbacked Yes39c10,000$3,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,9001540%6 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-22%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe394…289cbacked No61c9,415$5,743 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,671.745959.3%35 W · 24 L+5.4wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+21.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x25a2…4033backed Yes56c6,487$3,645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,645.2933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-35.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes33c5,847$1,946 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,946.2121337.6%80 W · 133 L+0.6wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf05…70dabacked Yes51c2,447$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2503321.2%7 W · 26 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick28cpaid-44.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb7ad…d11dbacked Yes53c2,440$1,283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,282.755137.3%19 W · 32 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+26.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x74e0…fabdbacked Yes52c2,194$1,136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,135.951729.4%5 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-20.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbdd1…0c4fbacked Yes41c2,135$872 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$871.627233.3%24 W · 48 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-12.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1a8…1b38backed Yes22c2,079$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4506136.1%22 W · 39 L+0.3wins0.00per pick36cpaid-20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Yes44c1,453$638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$637.9312523.2%29 W · 96 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-30.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x578d…fbb3backed Yes75c1,108$829 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$829.141145.5%5 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.19per pick64cpaid-32.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xffd2…d7aebacked Yes58c1,007$584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$583.594436.4%16 W · 28 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-24.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4483…c565backed Yes72c977.28$703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$703955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick63cpaid0%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa988…ed6fbacked Yes33c910.96$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.5450%0 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33c9…858bbacked Yes67c866.42$579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$579.013432.4%11 W · 23 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick39cpaid+35.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked No32c809.4$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$549.171050%5 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+17.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes16c785.67$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.053766.9%26 W · 350 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-67.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc77…c035backed No59c676.93$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.36837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.24per pick62cpaid-44%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x87df…a242backed Yes74c670.91$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.56616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.34per pick51cpaid-24.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9304…f693backed Yes29c665.47$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.41637.5%6 W · 10 L+2.5wins+0.16per pick22cpaid+52.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7a4d…caa6backed Yes26c605.26$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.261145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick38cpaid-12.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x87a4…953ebacked Yes58c555.84$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.39933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-51.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd77e…098abacked Yes63c551.16$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.27633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No51c455.02$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.17950.6%40 W · 39 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c43…fb9bbacked No41c415.98$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.2511250%56 W · 56 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x97df…3088backed Yes68c413.1$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.172040%8 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x73dc…8d32backed No67c369.01$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.381258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+29%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6149…8a58backed Yes6c367.85$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.279547.4%45 W · 50 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-4.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa599…1d81backed Yes38c366.16$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c70…e930backed Yes56c364.91$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.66933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc047…fecbbacked Yes48c340.88$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.571233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-30.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf5f0…b6bebacked Yes31c323.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a18…fe45backed Yes33c305.62$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100825%2 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe29c…196dbacked Yes68c294.42$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick67cpaid-54.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf020…a576backed Yes59c290.94$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.021827.8%5 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-26.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x59b9…70a1backed Yes10c260$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed No56c254.73$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.816055%33 W · 27 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x51c0…0305backed Yes44c246.53$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.6680%0 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xad53…ef24backed Yes32c246.24$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.093336.4%12 W · 21 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-21.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a86…80efbacked Yes44c242.29$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.68837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.18per pick56cpaid-30.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb304…3ea2backed Yes42c239.38$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1237…06afbacked No27c229.82$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.05333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid+22%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b0b…3f0bbacked No54c221.41$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.361250%6 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+186.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e9c…2be7backed Yes38c210.85$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.21per pick41cpaid-69.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb482…fbc7backed Yes40c203.48$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.15per pick43cpaid-33.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x589e…d9e7backed Yes12c201.62$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7250…5468backed No27c200$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.2666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+32.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8dc6…62e0backed No66c200$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$682100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2fb6…3f8abacked Yes50c198.18$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030%0 W · 3 L-1.9wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4b87…0eddbacked Yes20c196.18$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.351225%3 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-30.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x09bf…9918backed Yes33c196$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.5420%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5bbe…c65dbacked No24c192.13$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.021546.7%7 W · 8 L+4.4wins+0.30per pick17cpaid+109.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xcced…9ffebacked No52c190.3$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.511353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-19%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7612…7caabacked Yes28c181.71$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb46d…8e83backed Yes24c181.05$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-40.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7f2…f76bbacked Yes73c178.22$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.910%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b0d…1744backed Yes41c175.09$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.618427.4%23 W · 61 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick23cpaid+91.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3147…7667backed Yes35c171.61$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605418.5%10 W · 44 L-6.9wins-0.13per pick31cpaid-45.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x82c1…0217backed Yes61c164.03$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.14per pick36cpaid-35.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdff9…eec4backed Yes14c162.21$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.34540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick34cpaid-34.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3574…8ba0backed Yes33c160$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.320%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3969…6e2cbacked Yes27c157.73$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.26520%1 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick20cpaid-33.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1406…996bbacked Yes33c152.19$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d5e…2d04backed Yes46c150$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d71…af7abacked No56c150$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+51.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7853…36d8backed Yes63c146.6$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.761323.1%3 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick28cpaid+178.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb782…955cbacked Yes28c143.91$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.61922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick26cpaid-33%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d61…fe3dbacked Yes70c143.86$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf70…7d5fbacked No70c142.26$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.26785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.9wins+0.41per pick44cpaid+90.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x08ec…b5fcbacked No34c139.99$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.81560%9 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcbb5…5ed9backed No47c137.36$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.361060%6 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36f9…cec7backed No67c135.24$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.63837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-19.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3cc…a23abacked Yes76c134.86$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.211346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x88b0…b118backed No47c132.14$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.433250%16 W · 16 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+30.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x22b0…6faebacked Yes53c131.19$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$703237.5%12 W · 20 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f5f…c982backed Yes78c130.57$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.8410%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4959…a6f5backed No62c126.71$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.567659.2%45 W · 31 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf77e…e03abacked Yes40c124.39$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcceb…f030backed No44c123.71$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.661163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf385…4864backed No79c122.99$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.751764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick55cpaid-4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6943…7462backed Yes13c121.62$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.2230%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa221…5b1fbacked Yes34c118.08$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402828.6%8 W · 20 L+2.9wins+0.10per pick18cpaid+28%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe598…afe0backed Yes43c118$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.7410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0915…ee63backed Yes43c116.28$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-35.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9a3…fa76backed Yes30c115$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.5333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-25.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7dfa…d526backed Yes46c109.46$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-28.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5ee…1c5ebacked Yes74c108.88$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.5710%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21e2…871dbacked Yes19c105.79$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2080%0 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x367a…e5bfbacked Yes36c105$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.8333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd59…b550backed Yes33c103$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.9920%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b29…5a9abacked Yes26c101.82$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2611860.2%71 W · 47 L+9.9wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+20.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7415…fae8backed Yes78c101.28$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$791838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-41.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9690…f2d5backed Yes10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-21.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7949…74fabacked Yes32c100$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3220%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44f2…1415backed Yes11c100$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19c0…35f8backed Yes30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30450%2 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick30cpaid+92%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.