TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9a55…fe8b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
245
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: NFL, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 56 out of 100; worst Premier League at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT16552.1%86 W · 79 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 165 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+187%+$228.52
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+102%+$130.14
Spread: Spurs (-6.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$28.87
Spread: Spurs (-2.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+42.8%+$16.04
Spread: Knicks (-3.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+45.5%+$5.42
Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+313.2%+$241.79
Will the New York Knicks win the 2025–2026 NBA Atlantic Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.63
Mavericks vs. Bucksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.75
Nuggets vs. Grizzliesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.99
Spread: Spurs (-8.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.25
Spread: Spurs (-9.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.7
Rockets vs. Heatbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$24.55
Lakers vs. Sunsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$41.25
Spread: Lakers (-4.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$10.49
Spread: 76ers (-1.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+92.3%+$9.6
Heat vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+81.8%+$15.3
Rockets vs. Magicbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+78.6%+$10.8
Spread: Lakers (-5.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$55
Spread: Lakers (-6.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$15.12
Magic vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$50.02
Spread: Lakers (-4.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$14.99
Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Thunder vs. Raptorsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+100%+$37.5
Warriors vs. Pelicansbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$12.46
Mavericks vs. Netsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+88.7%+$16.63
Showing 25 of 165 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT2450%12 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.47
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$13.8
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+73.1%+$9.71
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$47
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$59.28
Olympiakós SFP vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$32.52
Spread: Newcastle United FC (-1.5)backed Newcastle United FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+99.3%+$34.75
Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. Newcastle United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$13.43
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+107.3%+$75.52
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+113.8%+$44.6
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$46.01
Galatasaray SK vs. Juventus FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$12.24
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+108.3%+$14.3
Will Lille vs. Borussia Dortmund end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT+37%+$30.51
Will Barcelona win on 2025-03-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2025, EST+88.7%+$9.4
Will Arsenal win on 2025-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2025, EST+100%+$12.1
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2025, EST+74.8%+$10.7
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2025, EST+70.9%+$11.63
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-02-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2025, EST+100%+$10
Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-02-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2025, EST-100%-$10.85
Will Club Brugge win on 2025-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2025, EST+146.9%+$23.8
Will AC Milan win on 2025-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST-100%-$14.1
Will Monaco win on 2025-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST-100%-$12.9
All 24 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST1266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Connecticut Huskies vs. Villanova Wildcatsbacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+66.7%+$8.19
Spread: Baylor Bears (-7.5)backed Baylor Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$12.4
VCU Rams vs. Saint Louis Billikensbacked Saint Louis Billikens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+29.9%+$3.72
Spread: San Francisco Dons (-5.5)backed San Francisco Dons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+100%+$16.25
Spread: San Francisco Dons (-4.5)backed San Francisco Dons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+86.4%+$20.54
San Francisco Dons vs. San Diego Torerosbacked San Francisco Dons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+53.5%+$37.23
Gonzaga Bulldogs vs. Santa Clara Broncosbacked Gonzaga Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+51%+$39.54
Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$37.5
Yale Bulldogs vs. Harvard Crimsonbacked Yale Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+84.1%+$68.37
Cornell Big Red vs. Penn Quakersbacked Penn Quakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+74.4%+$23.26
Brown Bears vs. Dartmouth Big Greenbacked Dartmouth Big Green · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$37.5
Sam Houston Bearkats vs. Kennesaw State Owlsbacked Kennesaw State Owls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$124.41
All 12 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+43.3%+$65.06
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+71.2%+$26.71
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+32.9%+$14.39
Will Morocco be the furthest advancing CAF nation at the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.25
Will Egypt be the furthest advancing CAF nation at the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.44
Will United States be the furthest advancing host nation at the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.5
Will Japan be the furthest advancing AFC nation at the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+115.9%+$54.56
Brazil vs. Japan: Team to Advancebacked Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$13.1
Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$26.06
Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+37%+$18.49
Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$16.85
Will Italy vs. Germany end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
All 12 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-37.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.77
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$72.62
Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-02-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$28.76
CA Osasuna vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$12.47
Will Villarreal CF win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+96.1%+$10.78
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+81.6%+$20.33
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+88.7%+$37.5
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Real Madrid Beat Real Betis?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST-100%-$25.36
All 9 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.28per pick56cpaid+54.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NFL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST475%3 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.37per pick38cpaid+117.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
F1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick64cpaid-53.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$65.3
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.