Fifa International · resolved market
Will Morocco be the furthest advancing CAF nation at the World Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7bf5b3175befe8a194e051aeaef7aa9a31bf16f28f7363608e9b10a376ce5de9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $133,026
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $148,762
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $133,026 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 214 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x04c0…4f3dbacked Yes | 34c | 13,389$4,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,819.13 | 76 | 32.9%25 W · 51 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed No | 64c | 6,514$4,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,178.03 | 287 | 31%89 W · 198 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked No | 74c | 5,738$4,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,267.44 | 252 | 44.8%113 W · 139 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…3048backed No | 62c | 5,109$3,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,185.49 | 191 | 48.2%92 W · 99 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c5e…8819backed No | 14c | 4,653$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 57c | 3,239$1,842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,841.93 | 438 | 35.8%157 W · 281 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked No | 9c | 3,219$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.73 | 1,114 | 49.4%550 W · 564 L | +57.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6cff…45acbacked No | 53c | 3,079$1,617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,616.92 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11a7…2c03backed Yes | 35c | 2,673$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,743.24 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a7c…3016backed Yes | 63c | 2,394$1,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$882.39 | 130 | 11.5%15 W · 115 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb046…857cbacked No | 63c | 2,298$1,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,448.52 | 157 | 40.8%64 W · 93 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f4…81a6backed No | 1c | 2,143$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 30 | 13.3%4 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | +121.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f0…fe05backed Yes | 39c | 2,000$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,212.5 | 84 | 41.7%35 W · 49 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +17%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed No | 6c | 1,792$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.39 | 888 | 38.2%339 W · 549 L | +37.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked No | 66c | 1,743$1,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,156.34 | 113 | 38.9%44 W · 69 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked No | 10c | 1,542$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.28 | 52 | 19.2%10 W · 42 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d86…1cb2backed No | 1c | 1,445$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 54 | 1.9%1 W · 53 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -88%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74a9…0dc7backed Yes | 36c | 1,392$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$891.79 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0a…31c8backed No | 6c | 1,272$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.2 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48b7…f103backed Yes | 39c | 1,256$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$766.69 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Yes | 36c | 1,210$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770.87 | 202 | 50%101 W · 101 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd58…18f9backed No | 67c | 1,193$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.03 | 73 | 37%27 W · 46 L | -7.6wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x30ee…a587backed Yes | 39c | 1,183$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725.11 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 43c | 1,169$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.61 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb97…eee8backed Yes | 64c | 1,116$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.82 | 184 | 60.9%112 W · 72 L | +13.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed Yes | 38c | 1,069$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.37 | 120 | 46.7%56 W · 64 L | -11.5wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0391…ef9bbacked Yes | 38c | 1,048$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.83 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe278…b608backed Yes | 76c | 1,000$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 65 | 70.8%46 W · 19 L | +9.0wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 2c | 969$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.2 | 609 | 8.4%51 W · 558 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1622…d2aebacked Yes | 31c | 913.77$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.54 | 168 | 41.1%69 W · 99 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x530f…424ebacked Yes | 41c | 884.98$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.54 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb200…8163backed Yes | 39c | 780$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 20cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 57c | 761.92$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21b7…c861backed No | 66c | 668.86$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.45 | 91 | 26.4%24 W · 67 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7b…2a5fbacked Yes | 35c | 652.42$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.13 | 201 | 42.8%86 W · 115 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8847…dd3abacked Yes | 72c | 623.62$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.62 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4384…3fffbacked Yes | 38c | 524.18$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.18 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 16c | 519.82$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.64 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed Yes | 39c | 501$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.12 | 228 | 34.6%79 W · 149 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a74…9a36backed No | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc02…f89cbacked Yes | 77c | 499.99$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -5.1wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b6…6717backed Yes | 41c | 488.56$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.56 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7811…5546backed Yes | 25c | 480$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed No | 13c | 464$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.33 | 260 | 37.3%97 W · 163 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbac3…78a5backed Yes | 33c | 458.24$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.24 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca00…2256backed Yes | 33c | 454.55$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.55 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a68…6679backed Yes | 76c | 441.2$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.91 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadec…3c7bbacked No | 63c | 433.99$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.07 | 74 | 13.5%10 W · 64 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62d6…54e8backed Yes | 32c | 411.99$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.03 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b4e…0dfbbacked Yes | 25c | 407$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.25 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed0…9c4fbacked Yes | 55c | 390.31$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.73 | 225 | 50.7%114 W · 111 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x382f…42a9backed Yes | 34c | 390$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.01 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked No | 5c | 381.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.19 | 167 | 4.2%7 W · 160 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1292…e678backed Yes | 35c | 351.97$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.78 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 58c | 346$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.51 | 285 | 54.4%155 W · 130 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb41e…11fdbacked No | 7c | 341.76$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.67 | 84 | 11.9%10 W · 74 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 38c | 340.94$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.37 | 1,067 | 49.1%524 W · 543 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8bd…d868backed Yes | 44c | 339.06$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.06 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f6…4f7fbacked No | 63c | 330.13$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.83 | 102 | 54.9%56 W · 46 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x154e…911fbacked Yes | 78c | 324.13$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.47 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +7.7wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x05f2…296cbacked Yes | 25c | 315$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.25 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf18…17b5backed Yes | 32c | 309.88$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.88 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 23cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…ac3bbacked No | 44c | 301.06$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.38 | 263 | 44.1%116 W · 147 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeca1…3d96backed Yes | 37c | 300$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +6.5wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes | 51c | 296.4$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.38 | 302 | 41.4%125 W · 177 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74fb…96cfbacked Yes | 34c | 288.24$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.24 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -56%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 21c | 285.84$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.81 | 460 | 47.2%217 W · 243 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a90…2ff9backed Yes | 32c | 280$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.4 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 47c | 273.45$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.57 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07f6…c368backed Yes | 39c | 258.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.82 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +48%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5079…dd64backed Yes | 35c | 255.83$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.69 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +44%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 42c | 253.48$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.12 | 282 | 56.7%160 W · 122 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf0e…c02bbacked No | 33c | 250.44$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.14 | 163 | 33.7%55 W · 108 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2b…9ff9backed Yes | 33c | 250$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.5 | 69 | 65.2%45 W · 24 L | +9.6wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…6789backed No | 23c | 248.09$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.14 | 272 | 55.9%152 W · 120 L | +36.1wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc410…ca00backed Yes | 25c | 243$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.25 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 44cpaid | +67%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x476c…ce52backed No | 65c | 233.29$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.86 | 254 | 43.7%111 W · 143 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3069…83cdbacked Yes | 34c | 230$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.8 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 24cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69c4…ca4ebacked Yes | 28c | 227.93$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.11 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 25cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22a9…97babacked Yes | 40c | 225$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 51c | 219.4$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.09 | 219 | 58%127 W · 92 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 8c | 212.45$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.81 | 154 | 55.2%85 W · 69 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 35c | 203.83$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.07 | 802 | 25.7%206 W · 596 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9073…13b3backed Yes | 35c | 200.29$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.87 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc03f…249dbacked No | 23c | 200$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 176 | 32.4%57 W · 119 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fe…24e5backed Yes | 37c | 200$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…c54cbacked Yes | 80c | 199.99$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -39%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7114…6432backed Yes | 47c | 199.98$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.99 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +5.0wins | +0.19per pick | 34cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4f…728abacked Yes | 36c | 199.05$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.85 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -33%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b20…8eafbacked Yes | 32c | 192.42$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.85 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3553…47f4backed Yes | 25c | 187$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.25 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.19per pick | 64cpaid | +58%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18ba…b501backed Yes | 25c | 186$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.5 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +3.1wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +111.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf628…7ff9backed Yes | 25c | 186$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8cb…b6d9backed Yes | 25c | 183$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +82.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ef…dddabacked Yes | 40c | 174.5$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.71 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 7c | 171.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.93 | 293 | 7.5%22 W · 271 L | -13.2wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x072d…0eb7backed Yes | 25c | 171$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.25 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.35per pick | 45cpaid | +143.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca85…0f4abacked Yes | 25c | 171$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.25 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.9wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +99.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x58bc…5d8fbacked Yes | 25c | 171$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.25 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb09…fd18backed Yes | 25c | 171$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.25 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +68.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Morocco be the furthest advancing CAF nation at the World Cup?this page
- Will Algeria be the furthest advancing CAF nation at the World Cup?No won
- Will DR Congo be the furthest advancing CAF nation at the World Cup?No won
- Will Egypt be the furthest advancing CAF nation at the World Cup?No won
- Will Ghana be the furthest advancing CAF nation at the World Cup?No won
- Will Ivory Coast be the furthest advancing CAF nation at the World Cup?No won
- Will Senegal be the furthest advancing CAF nation at the World Cup?No won
- Will South Africa be the furthest advancing CAF nation at the World Cup?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.