Fifa International · resolved market
Will Senegal be the furthest advancing CAF nation at the World Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x05439c961937677f6794d6d22debac26e0c19b53ea1982385e7fa09346ef9d83
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,201
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,079
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,201 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe8b0…cc4bbacked Yes | 17c | 1,534$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.33 | 111 | 65.8%73 W · 38 L | +15.3wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1c4c…8d85backed Yes | 14c | 1,149$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.01 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 18c | 1,118$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bec…2163backed Yes | 21c | 1,071$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 12c | 989.88$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.35 | 1,067 | 49.1%524 W · 543 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1622…d2aebacked Yes | 17c | 861.56$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.49 | 168 | 41.1%69 W · 99 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7b…2a5fbacked Yes | 19c | 815.86$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.57 | 201 | 42.8%86 W · 115 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab1c…aaddbacked Yes | 10c | 717.39$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.8 | 56 | 28.6%16 W · 40 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x154e…911fbacked Yes | 14c | 638$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.8 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +7.7wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x594d…4876backed Yes | 13c | 610.51$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…87cfbacked Yes | 8c | 572.46$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.13 | 173 | 40.5%70 W · 103 L | +11.1wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed No | 76c | 499.27$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.22 | 202 | 50%101 W · 101 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Yes | 9c | 460.5$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.23 | 287 | 31%89 W · 198 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffc2…74d6backed Yes | 15c | 403.1$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.44 | 77 | 37.7%29 W · 48 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Yes | 16c | 320.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.21 | 200 | 36%72 W · 128 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb046…857cbacked No | 74c | 303.93$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.72 | 157 | 40.8%64 W · 93 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e32…8095backed Yes | 12c | 302.51$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10ab…d433backed Yes | 17c | 300$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 302 | 41.4%125 W · 177 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6442…a891backed Yes | 17c | 264.71$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…9722backed Yes | 5c | 250$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 9c | 220.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.33 | 167 | 4.2%7 W · 160 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd74c…e70bbacked Yes | 21c | 210$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.1 | 51 | 21.6%11 W · 40 L | -6.1wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc8bd…d868backed Yes | 24c | 204.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Yes | 25c | 203.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 118 | 28.8%34 W · 84 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Yes | 10c | 202$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 260 | 37.3%97 W · 163 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 13c | 191.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.31 | 293 | 7.5%22 W · 271 L | -13.2wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b1c4backed Yes | 11c | 183.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39a5…87f2backed No | 79c | 164$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.44 | 88 | 42%37 W · 51 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 79c | 162$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.59 | 148 | 58.8%87 W · 61 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb01…43bbbacked Yes | 7c | 150$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed No | 78c | 143.56$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 72 | 58.3%42 W · 30 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2762…2cf6backed Yes | 17c | 118.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1075…19c1backed Yes | 10c | 110$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 82 | 18.3%15 W · 67 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 26c | 104.54$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.07 | 779 | 9.6%75 W · 704 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 12c | 102.31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.77 | 457 | 36.3%166 W · 291 L | -13.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdef9…9aeebacked Yes | 24c | 102.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d62…e937backed Yes | 12c | 101.69$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x720a…6869backed Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 48 | 20.8%10 W · 38 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e2…2964backed Yes | 21c | 94.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 235 | 50.2%118 W · 117 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…fec1backed Yes | 24c | 90.37$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 31cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 75c | 90$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 140 | 55.7%78 W · 62 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f1c…94d3backed Yes | 22c | 89.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5cf…a2c0backed Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf3…6077backed Yes | 32c | 85.98$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.51 | 481 | 40.1%193 W · 288 L | -17.3wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x331c…974ebacked Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa860…b2cfbacked Yes | 19c | 78.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 128 | 47.7%61 W · 67 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68cc…78e0backed Yes | 20c | 73.32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.39 | 215 | 17.2%37 W · 178 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x277a…6345backed Yes | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | +68.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…6789backed No | 68c | 33.41$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.69 | 272 | 55.9%152 W · 120 L | +36.1wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4916…f56fbacked No | 76c | 16.92$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.06 | 85 | 42.4%36 W · 49 L | -11.7wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -25%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked No | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 709 | 48.9%347 W · 362 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Senegal be the furthest advancing CAF nation at the World Cup?this page
- Will Algeria be the furthest advancing CAF nation at the World Cup?No won
- Will DR Congo be the furthest advancing CAF nation at the World Cup?No won
- Will Egypt be the furthest advancing CAF nation at the World Cup?No won
- Will Ghana be the furthest advancing CAF nation at the World Cup?No won
- Will Ivory Coast be the furthest advancing CAF nation at the World Cup?No won
- Will Morocco be the furthest advancing CAF nation at the World Cup?Yes won
- Will South Africa be the furthest advancing CAF nation at the World Cup?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.