Fifa International · resolved market
Will Egypt be the furthest advancing CAF nation at the World Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2529ae05b754f414c4717960bbade69ff5797f7266482d939fdab31dd88694cd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,071
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,453
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,071 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 8c | 982.76$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.85 | 221 | 25.8%57 W · 164 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf18…17b5backed Yes | 16c | 923.68$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 23cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed No | 80c | 847.75$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.23 | 287 | 31%89 W · 198 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ee…a587backed Yes | 6c | 704.98$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.55 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2567…fc9dbacked Yes | 17c | 573.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 123 | 49.6%61 W · 62 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…ac3bbacked Yes | 29c | 520.05$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.22 | 263 | 44.1%116 W · 147 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 12c | 440.03$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.76 | 457 | 36.3%166 W · 291 L | -13.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Yes | 11c | 400.22$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.36 | 108 | 33.3%36 W · 72 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed No | 78c | 396.57$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.25 | 72 | 58.3%42 W · 30 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8403…79a1backed Yes | 11c | 389.55$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb97…eee8backed Yes | 16c | 367$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.36 | 184 | 60.9%112 W · 72 L | +13.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 12c | 325.1$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.21 | 779 | 9.6%75 W · 704 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5146…ac5ebacked Yes | 12c | 310.42$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.8 | 62 | 16.1%10 W · 52 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…299abacked Yes | 24c | 300$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.2 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x768c…1b22backed Yes | 5c | 289.04$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb01…43bbbacked Yes | 22c | 261.36$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 73c | 257.42$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.65 | 285 | 54.4%155 W · 130 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…3048backed No | 75c | 257.12$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.28 | 191 | 48.2%92 W · 99 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 16c | 237.32$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.69 | 293 | 7.5%22 W · 271 L | -13.2wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…742cbacked Yes | 5c | 212.75$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x679a…386abacked Yes | 12c | 209.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 7c | 202.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 167 | 4.2%7 W · 160 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0584…75eabacked Yes | 25c | 201.24$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -5.9wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked No | 78c | 140.58$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.06 | 113 | 38.9%44 W · 69 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 46c | 139.48$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.92 | 802 | 25.7%206 W · 596 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 12c | 134.48$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.77 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a55…fe8bbacked Yes | 27c | 127.05$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.44 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc4…f663backed Yes | 25c | 126.98$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7e…6be6backed No | 79c | 126.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 177 | 36.7%65 W · 112 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e92…395abacked Yes | 12c | 125.01$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 55 | 20%11 W · 44 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2815…7f0cbacked Yes | 28c | 121.66$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.3 | 169 | 54.4%92 W · 77 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ef…dddabacked Yes | 23c | 110$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa517…f23bbacked Yes | 21c | 103$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.53 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9163…0cabbacked Yes | 20c | 99.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 238 | 55.5%132 W · 106 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68cc…78e0backed Yes | 15c | 99.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.35 | 215 | 17.2%37 W · 178 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaae4…58b1backed Yes | 16c | 96.69$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.69 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Yes | 12c | 96.46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.32 | 1,114 | 49.4%550 W · 564 L | +57.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2cfe…e4debacked No | 80c | 93.2$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 226 | 23.5%53 W · 173 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed0…9c4fbacked Yes | 17c | 92.39$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.01 | 225 | 50.7%114 W · 111 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed Yes | 17c | 89.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 148 | 39.2%58 W · 90 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc9…525ebacked Yes | 14c | 87.3$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 116 | 11.2%13 W · 103 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -66.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x524a…680dbacked Yes | 14c | 85$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x154e…911fbacked Yes | 13c | 79.3$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +7.7wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x485c…90f5backed Yes | 22c | 75$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf36e…f8f2backed Yes | 25c | 58.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -30%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfef…4dfebacked Yes | 25c | 51.16$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf65d…b385backed Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x476c…ce52backed No | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 254 | 43.7%111 W · 143 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 74c | 49.07$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.74 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9073…13b3backed Yes | 21c | 47.83$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 76c | 43.84$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.51 | 662 | 39.6%262 W · 400 L | -48.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked No | 77c | 39.78$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.15 | 198 | 74.7%148 W · 50 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 79c | 24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 1,067 | 49.1%524 W · 543 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc6…5287backed No | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 13 | 92.3%12 W · 1 L | +4.3wins | +0.33per pick | 59cpaid | +86.3%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed No | 70c | 16.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 263 | 30%79 W · 184 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Egypt be the furthest advancing CAF nation at the World Cup?this page
- Will Algeria be the furthest advancing CAF nation at the World Cup?No won
- Will DR Congo be the furthest advancing CAF nation at the World Cup?No won
- Will Ghana be the furthest advancing CAF nation at the World Cup?No won
- Will Ivory Coast be the furthest advancing CAF nation at the World Cup?No won
- Will Morocco be the furthest advancing CAF nation at the World Cup?Yes won
- Will Senegal be the furthest advancing CAF nation at the World Cup?No won
- Will South Africa be the furthest advancing CAF nation at the World Cup?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.