TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9f1c…94d3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
111
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Music, grading 62 out of 100 (+0.11 per pick).

Best Category Music at 62 out of 100; worst CS2 at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT3740.5%15 W · 22 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick37cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Messi and Ronaldo Shake Hands During World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.37
World Cup Goals H2H: Yamal vs. Mbappebacked Yamal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will Belgium reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.89
Will Argentina be the furthest advancing CONMEBOL nation at the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+154.4%+$30.88
Will Lionel Messi's national team advance the furthest at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$27.62
Will Senegal be the furthest advancing CAF nation at the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.8
Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$54.02
Kevin De Bruyne: 1+ assistsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.22
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.94
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$28.35
Cody Gakpo: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.85
Florian Wirtz: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.3
Spread: Germany (-4.5)backed Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$23.92
Scott McTominay: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.48
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.72
Brazil vs. Morocco: Morocco 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$26.93
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$45.14
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score in First Halfbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.33
Esmir Bajraktarević: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.96
Edin Džeko: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.8
Korea Republic leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.22
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT3452.9%18 W · 16 L+3.6wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+34.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wimbledon ATP: Arthur Fery vs Alexander Zverevbacked Arthur Fery · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.18
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Daniel Altmaierbacked Daniel Altmaier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.79
Roland Garros ATP: Alexander Bublik vs Jan-Lennard Struffbacked Jan-Lennard Struff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$225.71
Kosice: Mathys Erhard vs Ivan Ivanovbacked Mathys Erhard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+117.8%+$115.2
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Jaime Faria vs Grigor Dimitrovbacked Grigor Dimitrov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.75
Hamburg European Open: Terence Atmane vs Tomas Etcheverrybacked Terence Atmane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
Bordeaux: Martin Damm vs Grigor Dimitrovbacked Grigor Dimitrov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.78
Madrid Open: Adolfo Vallejo vs Grigor Dimitrovbacked Grigor Dimitrov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.8
Bucharest Open, Qualification: Stefanos Sakellaridis vs Dimitar Kuzmanovbacked Dimitar Kuzmanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.91
Miyazaki: Hiroki Moriya vs Koki Matsudabacked Hiroki Moriya · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+74.1%+$38.84
Miyazaki: James Kent Trotter vs Dan Addedbacked Dan Added · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.76
Miyazaki: Harry Wendelken vs Justin Boulaisbacked Harry Wendelken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$23.85
Miyazaki: Blake Ellis vs Naoya Hondabacked Blake Ellis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$70.91
Miyazaki: Ryotaro Taguchi vs Paul Jubbbacked Paul Jubb · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$34.05
Credit One Charleston Open: Viktoriya Tomova vs Jennifer Bradybacked Viktoriya Tomova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$163Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$128
Grand Prix Hassan II: Jesper de Jong vs Yannick Hanfmannbacked Jesper de Jong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.91
Grand Prix Hassan II: Karim Bennani vs Quentin Halysbacked Karim Bennani · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$60.99
Grand Prix Hassan II, Qualification: Marco Trungelliti vs Rei Sakamotobacked Rei Sakamoto · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.41
Bucharest Open, Qualification: Dimitar Kuzmanov vs Stefano Travagliabacked Dimitar Kuzmanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$55.93
Miyazaki: Liam Broady vs Kaichi Uchidabacked Kaichi Uchida · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.56
Alicante: Sebastian Ofner vs Pablo Carreno Bustabacked Pablo Carreno Busta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$153.1
Sao Paulo: Juan Carlos Prado vs Gonzalo Buenobacked Juan Carlos Prado · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$20.4
Split: Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg vs Andrej Nedicbacked Andrej Nedic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Split: Maxim Mrva vs Kimmer Coppejansbacked Kimmer Coppejans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$28.78
Split: Eliakim Coulibaly vs Alexander Vasilevbacked Alexander Vasilev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$41.79
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
Champions Leaguelast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PFK Levski Sofia win on 2026-08-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.22
Will PFK Levski Sofia win on 2026-08-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$114.39
Lamine Yamal: Anytime Goalscorerbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.89
Will Sporting CP vs. FK Bodø/Glimt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.24
Atalanta BC vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+63.9%+$28.44
Will Bodø/Glimt advance to the round of 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+112.8%+$59
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Club Brugge KV: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+122.2%+$28.81
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-02-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$11.81
Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. Newcastle United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+112.8%+$13.35
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$10.1
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Galatasaray SK vs. Juventus FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+88.7%+$11.55
All 12 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+19.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+3.1wins+0.77per pick23cpaid+675.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
Music — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$66.5
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$222.29
Pistons vs. Thunderbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.85
All 3 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.8
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+104.1%+$62.4
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-34.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Men's Quarterfinals - Slovakia vs. Germanybacked Slovakia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+117.4%+$18.86
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: AVULUS vs VP.Prodigy (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Play-In Group Abacked VP.Prodigy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$9.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.