Fifa International · resolved market
Edin Džeko: 1+ goals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd941b85022ad6e3d5b9189f3350fe734f0ab605869ac3f199558b22e07c651d9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,531
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,736
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,531 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 6c | 7,829$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.57 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 7c | 5,002$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.56 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 5c | 3,325$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.21 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5895…2d43backed Yes | 15c | 621.4$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.66 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 10c | 554.16$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.35 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9236…db6dbacked Yes | 25c | 394.97$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.16 | 163 | 41.1%67 W · 96 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 77c | 189.56$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.6 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f1c…94d3backed Yes | 23c | 168.69$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.8 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 8c | 141.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.97 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xde74…77abbacked No | 78c | 119.23$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.81 | 288 | 73.3%211 W · 77 L | +21.7wins | +0.08per pick | 66cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdec4…046fbacked Yes | 16c | 93.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 345 | 26.1%90 W · 255 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9660…33b3backed Yes | 23c | 64.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4244…b5bbbacked Yes | 24c | 53.25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.53 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cef…2c8dbacked No | 75c | 52.99$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.98 | 434 | 60.4%262 W · 172 L | +33.5wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked No | 78c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.3 | 454 | 72.9%331 W · 123 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 79c | 13.64$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.9 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Edin Džeko: 1+ goalsthis page
- Alphonso Davies: 1+ assistsNo won
- Alphonso Davies: 1+ goalsNo won
- Alphonso Davies: 1+ shotsNo won
- Alphonso Davies: 2+ shotsNo won
- Cyle Larin: 1+ goalsYes won
- Edin Džeko: 1+ assistsNo won
- Edin Džeko: 1+ shotsNo won
- Ermedin Demirović: 1+ goalsNo won
- Ermedin Demirović: 2+ goalsNo won
- Esmir Bajraktarević: 1+ goalsNo won
- Ismaël Koné: 1+ goalsNo won
- Jonathan David: 1+ goalsNo won
- Jonathan David: 2+ goalsNo won
- Jovo Lukić: 1+ goalsYes won
- Mathieu Choinière: 1+ shots on targetNo won
- Tani Oluwaseyi: 1+ goalsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.