Fifa International · resolved market
Cody Gakpo: 1+ goals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8f7cf7a3255f05c46c6bcd4de80f737f3272b4aabc72e5dd89320b493825dcdd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,032
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,129
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,032 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x336b…1233backed No | 69c | 3,722$2,579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,142.55 | 192 | 52.1%100 W · 92 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa5…7cc9backed No | 69c | 1,390$959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431 | 148 | 60.1%89 W · 59 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb726…f90dbacked Yes | 31c | 817.1$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.3 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2299…d23abacked Yes | 32c | 630.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked No | 68c | 556.41$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.05 | 165 | 64.2%106 W · 59 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbff4…b609backed Yes | 30c | 550$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 151 | 40.4%61 W · 90 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e32…ac88backed Yes | 31c | 380.74$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.03 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cff…72f4backed Yes | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -65.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f21…3d6ebacked Yes | 31c | 317.81$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.52 | 302 | 20.2%61 W · 241 L | -15.6wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked Yes | 30c | 312.25$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.23 | 1,206 | 50.2%606 W · 600 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48f8…36dbbacked Yes | 31c | 274.19$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 120 | 36.7%44 W · 76 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecd9…ebc3backed Yes | 31c | 258.06$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 146 | 38.4%56 W · 90 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 70c | 201.03$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.32 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…0482backed No | 69c | 199.98$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.99 | 265 | 37.7%100 W · 165 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 69c | 189.22$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.66 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x036b…ead4backed No | 70c | 182.9$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.87 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdec4…046fbacked Yes | 30c | 180$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 345 | 26.1%90 W · 255 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbda8…fc16backed Yes | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | -4.0wins | -0.17per pick | 26cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5527…27e0backed Yes | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…3c2fbacked No | 70c | 149.36$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.81 | 327 | 65.7%215 W · 112 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes | 30c | 148$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.79 | 1,306 | 44.7%584 W · 722 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f1c…94d3backed Yes | 31c | 144.67$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.85 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x786d…b89bbacked Yes | 28c | 140.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 522 | 17.4%91 W · 431 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x517b…be02backed Yes | 30c | 140$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 55 | 27.3%15 W · 40 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb77…9b07backed Yes | 31c | 127.77$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.61 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa622…4448backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 113 | 25.7%29 W · 84 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe937…d46abacked Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54f2…d0e3backed Yes | 31c | 96.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63aa…8b6fbacked Yes | 31c | 96.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…cf98backed Yes | 31c | 96.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 98 | 34.7%34 W · 64 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 71c | 96.32$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.27 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5452…d448backed No | 67c | 90.91$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 464 | 64.9%301 W · 163 L | +26.6wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3109…4ef4backed Yes | 33c | 90.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 120 | 25.8%31 W · 89 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1d…01acbacked No | 69c | 87$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.97 | 245 | 41.2%101 W · 144 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84b2…f1dabacked Yes | 30c | 83.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 303 | 21.5%65 W · 238 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb269…6adebacked Yes | 31c | 80.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 291 | 38.5%112 W · 179 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75d8…2e25backed Yes | 35c | 73.83$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 76 | 36.8%28 W · 48 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e5…753abacked Yes | 31c | 70$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed No | 69c | 69$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.39 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4499…943bbacked Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…2e02backed Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 396 | 48.7%193 W · 203 L | -23.6wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5080…d89abacked Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x118c…ae45backed Yes | 24c | 62.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 251 | 15.5%39 W · 212 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 74c | 53.9$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.23 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37b5…b6c8backed Yes | 31c | 53.77$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.67 | 115 | 26.1%30 W · 85 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc226…3e15backed Yes | 34c | 53.17$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5276…800dbacked Yes | 31c | 51.05$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.83 | 120 | 46.7%56 W · 64 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0525…c737backed Yes | 31c | 48.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…6b14backed Yes | 31c | 48.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 667 | 45%300 W · 367 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3852…e3a8backed Yes | 31c | 48.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6d…7637backed Yes | 31c | 48.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 36cpaid | +28%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d0…0736backed Yes | 34c | 44.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 315 | 43.5%137 W · 178 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 31c | 37.55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.64 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdae…5ea2backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76c…1c3cbacked Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 115 | 60%69 W · 46 L | +9.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed No | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 172 | 71.5%123 W · 49 L | +12.8wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdac1…baddbacked No | 70c | 27.79$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.41 | 311 | 71.4%222 W · 89 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked No | 69c | 24.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.62 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 1,151 | 58.5%673 W · 478 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 61c | 16.57$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.38 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed No | 68c | 15.48$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.88 | 190 | 64.2%122 W · 68 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked No | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 454 | 72.9%331 W · 123 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cody Gakpo: 1+ goalsthis page
- Ayase Ueda: 1+ goalsNo won
- Ayase Ueda: 3+ goalsNo won
- Cody Gakpo: 3+ goalsNo won
- Cody Gakpo: 3+ shotsNo won
- Crysencio Summerville: 1+ goalsYes won
- Crysencio Summerville: 3+ goalsNo won
- Daizen Maeda: 1+ goalsNo won
- Denzel Dumfries: 1+ assistsNo won
- Donyell Malen: 1+ goalsNo won
- Keito Nakamura: 1+ assistsNo won
- Memphis Depay: 1+ goalsNo won
- Ritsu Dōan: 1+ goalsNo won
- Takefusa Kubo: 1+ goalsNo won
- Takefusa Kubo: 2+ shotsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.