Europa Conference League · resolved market
Olympique Lyonnais vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf8a0e4d28427a06e05de141a71593b7125d2483af79eb39425959bbcd254d7ca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $182,473
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $182,473 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 148 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xada5…c2a4backed Over | 16c | 99,999$15,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,998.55 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 25cpaid | +25%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Under | 55c | 15,279$8,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,876.33 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 47c | 13,079$6,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,126.24 | 112 | 42.9%48 W · 64 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 53c | 12,862$6,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,031.83 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 45c | 8,346$3,756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,755.7 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd35…17debacked Over | 48c | 6,538$3,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,113.15 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 53c | 5,876$3,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,764.83 | 382 | 47.1%180 W · 202 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 16c | 3,843$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.3 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d0…9b55backed Over | 47c | 3,594$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 47c | 2,554$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200.38 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6f…2653backed Under | 54c | 2,407$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,107.41 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd90d…cf07backed Over | 38c | 1,229$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.57 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 45c | 1,100$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 333 | 49.8%166 W · 167 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 52c | 1,005$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.22 | 449 | 52.6%236 W · 213 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49fa…f904backed Over | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea5…b5e6backed Over | 4c | 1,000$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.27 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x274b…d408backed Over | 46c | 922.12$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.18 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -3.5wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3b…b968backed Under | 76c | 873.86$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.86 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 56cpaid | -41%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 79c | 854.36$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.63 | 769 | 41.9%322 W · 447 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 67c | 830.31$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8260…eb17backed Under | 55c | 749.58$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.38 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +137.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcde4…91b3backed Under | 54c | 740.74$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.74 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Under | 54c | 699.99$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 39c | 641.03$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd06f…0263backed Over | 47c | 609.49$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.46 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa266…67f7backed Over | 45c | 555.56$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 53c | 547.55$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.35 | 1,022 | 47.5%485 W · 537 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 45c | 515.51$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.37 | 130 | 40%52 W · 78 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0189…cab8backed Over | 47c | 468.09$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35d3…e506backed Over | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Over | 46c | 418.31$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.42 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Under | 53c | 380.51$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.86 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 47c | 361.7$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Under | 54c | 360$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.6 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Over | 28c | 344.04$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.43 | 218 | 35.8%78 W · 140 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 37c | 324.32$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 92 | 22.8%21 W · 71 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Under | 53c | 318.87$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.87 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -4.4wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…e8bbbacked Under | 73c | 300$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5238…1bc0backed Under | 55c | 279$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 52c | 253.29$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.58 | 98 | 58.2%57 W · 41 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x562e…922bbacked Over | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 53c | 250$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.5 | 880 | 48.2%424 W · 456 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 52c | 250$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f21…3d6ebacked Over | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57c2…d65ebacked Over | 47c | 222$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c44…cf25backed Over | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f72…2fbfbacked Over | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.14per pick | 62cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7030…195ebacked Over | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…fa2fbacked Over | 16c | 211.81$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.89 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.37per pick | 53cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 22c | 202.21$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.27 | 335 | 22.4%75 W · 260 L | -43.5wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd754…7857backed Under | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Over | 13c | 192.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 115 | 36.5%42 W · 73 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Over | 47c | 191.49$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2db1…45e5backed Under | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xccdc…247dbacked Over | 47c | 183$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4e…45fbbacked Over | 47c | 179$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…ed6abacked Over | 35c | 175$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.73 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba6c…20e3backed Under | 58c | 172.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.5 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd810…2eb8backed Under | 53c | 150$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.5 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd1…d33cbacked Under | 54c | 144$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.24 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…2803backed Over | 47c | 144$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Under | 53c | 142.9$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.69 | 168 | 56.5%95 W · 73 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a2b…b7c6backed Over | 47c | 137$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6151…c962backed Over | 47c | 137$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b6…0bd5backed Under | 53c | 130$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.1 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…1b9cbacked Over | 47c | 127.66$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9734…8f5ebacked Over | 47c | 125.53$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 20c | 124.6$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.67 | 702 | 39.3%276 W · 426 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90f9…e894backed Under | 53c | 120$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.4 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe11c…c7f7backed Over | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +37%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Under | 55c | 108.89$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Over | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 97 | 48.5%47 W · 50 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d1fabacked Over | 39c | 104.92$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.92 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9796…9032backed Over | 47c | 102.13$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 37cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ccc…dbcdbacked Over | 33c | 101$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.33 | 76 | 36.8%28 W · 48 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Over | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…6be6backed Over | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 133 | 37.6%50 W · 83 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…402abacked Over | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e41…d7b5backed Under | 54c | 89$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9f…77aebacked Over | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Over | 45c | 84.34$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.12 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 47c | 83.25$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 266 | 47.4%126 W · 140 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefff…c0efbacked Under | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…a9f7backed Under | 53c | 80$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.6 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5af1…f988backed Under | 53c | 80$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.6 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc57…56b5backed Under | 54c | 76$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 45c | 73.33$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x134c…eeefbacked Over | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61d4…46acbacked Over | 15c | 69.36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb547…190dbacked Under | 54c | 67$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 62cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbec3…22b6backed Over | 33c | 60.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.96 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc53e…a45cbacked Over | 47c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1002…afbabacked Under | 53c | 58$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed Over | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb26f…ebf7backed Over | 45c | 53.27$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked Over | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 96 | 38.5%37 W · 59 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe146…620fbacked Under | 54c | 53$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c5…681ebacked Under | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9238…b73ebacked Under | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +4.9wins | +0.20per pick | 48cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Olympique Lyonnais vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 2.5this page
- Olympique Lyonnais vs. RC Celta de Vigo: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Olympique Lyonnais vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 1.5Over won
- Olympique Lyonnais vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 3.5Under won
- Olympique Lyonnais vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Olympique Lyonnais (-1.5)RC Celta de Vigo won
- Spread: Olympique Lyonnais (-2.5)RC Celta de Vigo won
- Spread: RC Celta de Vigo (-1.5)RC Celta de Vigo won
- Spread: RC Celta de Vigo (-2.5)Olympique Lyonnais won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.