Europa Conference League · resolved market
Spread: Olympique Lyonnais (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc6f57d9402e1c19225b9e10c471632841b88e4b265fd4a940b7a48af590287ce
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- RC Celta de Vigoof Olympique Lyonnais, RC Celta de Vigo
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,393
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,393 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed RC Celta de Vigo | 79c | 9,252$7,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,949.83 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Olympique Lyonnais | 22c | 7,091$1,573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,572.56 | 112 | 42.9%48 W · 64 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Olympique Lyonnais | 21c | 2,400$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked RC Celta de Vigo | 78c | 2,034$1,585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.06 | 920 | 50.9%468 W · 452 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Olympique Lyonnais | 9c | 819.17$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 92 | 22.8%21 W · 71 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Olympique Lyonnais | 20c | 697.41$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.35 | 80 | 23.8%19 W · 61 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Olympique Lyonnais | 21c | 581.55$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.62 | 880 | 48.2%424 W · 456 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…1867backed Olympique Lyonnais | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Olympique Lyonnais | 21c | 552.1$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.56 | 1,026 | 47.4%486 W · 540 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked RC Celta de Vigo | 79c | 461.69$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.79 | 382 | 47.1%180 W · 202 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Olympique Lyonnais | 20c | 453.6$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.72 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked RC Celta de Vigo | 79c | 400$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e8e…0cc4backed Olympique Lyonnais | 22c | 281.82$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 49 | 10.2%5 W · 44 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 17cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf16…9c6fbacked Olympique Lyonnais | 18c | 277.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4313…306abacked Olympique Lyonnais | 22c | 243.76$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.67 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.29per pick | 34cpaid | +111.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x934c…d02bbacked RC Celta de Vigo | 79c | 243.02$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.89 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb47b…c6b1backed Olympique Lyonnais | 18c | 222.22$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -3.7wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbc…bdfbbacked Olympique Lyonnais | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Olympique Lyonnais | 22c | 172.45$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.23 | 218 | 35.8%78 W · 140 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked RC Celta de Vigo | 79c | 134.81$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.31 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Olympique Lyonnais | 21c | 117.91$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.76 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4041…6f52backed Olympique Lyonnais | 21c | 117.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.13 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0f…c18cbacked Olympique Lyonnais | 23c | 108.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.15per pick | 32cpaid | +60.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed RC Celta de Vigo | 79c | 100.65$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.1 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Olympique Lyonnais | 20c | 91.43$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.73 | 130 | 40%52 W · 78 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked RC Celta de Vigo | 78c | 86.54$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.04 | 706 | 39.5%279 W · 427 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe2…5981backed RC Celta de Vigo | 78c | 78.74$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.32 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked RC Celta de Vigo | 79c | 75.84$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.93 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37ea…6cb9backed Olympique Lyonnais | 21c | 71.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffea…5f0abacked Olympique Lyonnais | 24c | 59.69$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.06 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa16…b066backed RC Celta de Vigo | 79c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe34d…41f0backed RC Celta de Vigo | 79c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed RC Celta de Vigo | 79c | 46.2$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.7 | 555 | 45.8%254 W · 301 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed RC Celta de Vigo | 77c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 53 | 66%35 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14af…887ebacked RC Celta de Vigo | 78c | 14.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.3 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6bb…288cbacked RC Celta de Vigo | 80c | 13.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +118.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54ce…3a5bbacked RC Celta de Vigo | 79c | 12.69$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.66 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Olympique Lyonnais (-1.5)this page
- Olympique Lyonnais vs. RC Celta de Vigo: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Olympique Lyonnais vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 1.5Over won
- Olympique Lyonnais vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 2.5Under won
- Olympique Lyonnais vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 3.5Under won
- Olympique Lyonnais vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Olympique Lyonnais (-2.5)RC Celta de Vigo won
- Spread: RC Celta de Vigo (-1.5)RC Celta de Vigo won
- Spread: RC Celta de Vigo (-2.5)Olympique Lyonnais won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.