TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Olympique Lyonnais vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$156,338

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $156,338 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 185 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under45c29,991$13,482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,481.823,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3336…82e4backed Over65c10,257$6,667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,590.031100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Over56c8,217$4,594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,623.47554.7%41 W · 34 L+8.3wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+30.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under28c6,872$1,896 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,895.6438247.1%180 W · 202 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under35c5,180$1,833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,832.9352243.9%229 W · 293 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-10.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over72c4,629$3,334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,294.9211242.9%48 W · 64 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under35c4,205$1,472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,471.763857.2%365 W · 273 L+35.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1414…ae7bbacked Over73c4,110$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,109.72781.5%22 W · 5 L+3.1wins+0.12per pick70cpaid+15%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under27c2,820$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$759.8991950.9%468 W · 451 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Over71c2,820$2,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$817.85653.6%30 W · 26 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+24.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd90d…cf07backed Over33c2,587$862 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,725.091233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x224a…d4bfbacked Over68c2,300$1,564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$735.991478.6%11 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.16per pick62cpaid+33.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over54c2,139$1,155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$983.945448.1%26 W · 28 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1ea5…b5e6backed Over35c1,914$677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,237.111353.8%7 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.16per pick38cpaid+11.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdd35…17debacked Over40c1,874$753 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,120.731963.2%12 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over49c1,786$866 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$919.52,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b22…ddcabacked Under29c1,733$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5849…dcf1backed Under28c1,701$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476.26425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8fef…5946backed Over73c1,691$1,234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456.462259.1%13 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-6.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xaab8…a331backed Over65c1,538$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$538.461963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+21.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Under28c1,368$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.0911153.2%59 W · 52 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8f5…fa2fbacked Over66c1,361$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.11616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.37per pick53cpaid-74.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0515…64cdbacked Over74c1,351$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.353100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+32.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c80…93b5backed Over39c1,282$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7823050%15 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+14.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over72c1,196$861 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.8533349.8%166 W · 167 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12f9…74babacked Over79c1,190$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2502986.2%25 W · 4 L+6.3wins+0.22per pick64cpaid+36.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xa2dc…b624backed Over32c1,000$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6801040%4 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+22.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Over50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5008747.1%41 W · 46 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb1ef…9fadbacked Over54c988.73$537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452.14666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+42.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xddd5…ec9ebacked Under46c984.99$453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453.1728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick49cpaid-43%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x158d…9c64backed Over63c945.95$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.951546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x79b6…612ebacked Over45c888.89$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$488.891435.7%5 W · 9 L-3.2wins-0.23per pick59cpaid-42.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9a3b…b968backed Under61c710.5$433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4331136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.19per pick56cpaid-41%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5be9…8e34backed Under15c700$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104560%3 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.42per pick18cpaid+245.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Under34c656.87$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.4121835.8%78 W · 140 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-18.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9efe…0ad4backed Over73c615.07$449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.073100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under35c602.92$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.0238453.1%204 W · 180 L+11.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Over39c592.54$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.4511443.9%50 W · 64 L-8.4wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-18.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd35d…ea31backed Over62c565.1$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.74850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x274b…d408backed Over39c550.59$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.862330.4%7 W · 16 L-3.5wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-33.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x69ac…03e9backed Over40c518.37$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.521957.9%11 W · 8 L+2.3wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+20.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Under60c501.29$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.771643.8%7 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick57cpaid-20.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over20c500$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4009222.8%21 W · 71 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-17.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc367…a0b4backed Under46c500$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2302142.9%9 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under28c500$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14018049.4%89 W · 91 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f7e…c230backed Over41c487.8$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.84151.2%21 W · 20 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf021…df56backed Under47c487.68$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.342254.5%12 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d91…df18backed Over66c457.43$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.433256.3%18 W · 14 L+4.3wins+0.13per pick43cpaid+25.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x8735…41bbbacked Under3c424.42$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.73520%1 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick2cpaid+903%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Under36c420$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.22352.2%12 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61ec…838fbacked Over73c410.96$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.961973.7%14 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick68cpaid+16%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x28a3…f681backed Over38c400$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+15.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x07fe…4d66backed Over72c393.06$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.062147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-15.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa529…677ebacked Over73c379.4$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.443381.8%27 W · 6 L+3.8wins+0.11per pick70cpaid+15.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8d3d…5f66backed Under18c378.65$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.65425%1 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick15cpaid+75%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba6c…20e3backed Under31c322.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100875%6 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+34.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over31c322.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.5810034%34 W · 66 L-10.4wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-27.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x782e…b317backed Over65c321.54$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.542330.4%7 W · 16 L-3.7wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-45.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8b40…8ab4backed Over72c314.35$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.023154.8%17 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2fc…a7c1backed Over61c311.48$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.48425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-59%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c10…829bbacked Over72c309$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.526100%6 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+50.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x28e8…6080backed Over71c282.04$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.792540%10 W · 15 L-2.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-34.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4d62…5409backed Over40c251$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1512360.9%14 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe56…593abacked Under20c250$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50100%0 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1fcd…445ebacked Under20c250$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5060%0 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under27c249.99$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.51,02247.5%485 W · 537 L-2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under28c244.03$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.3355545.8%254 W · 301 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over44c227.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.277054.3%38 W · 32 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x06c2…184fbacked Over50c226.96$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.482142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-23.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f18…9aa7backed Under17c218.24$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.5150%0 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x401d…23c6backed Under46c217.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.17per pick39cpaid+36.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under37c216$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.668550.6%43 W · 42 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x64ae…ead9backed Over49c209.2$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.6911536.5%42 W · 73 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4ca9…37d8backed Over72c208.33$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.339100%9 W · 0 L+2.5wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+40.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Under29c206.1$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.7717249.4%85 W · 87 L-7.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3e3d…bbfabacked Under36c204.39$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.581346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-16.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0979…fc8abacked Under21c203.37$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.372222.7%5 W · 17 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick13cpaid+87.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under46c203.03$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.7817956.4%101 W · 78 L+13.4wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+16.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x12f1…3cd3backed Over63c200$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+17.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xafc4…daa1backed Under20c200$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40238.7%2 W · 21 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick13cpaid-49.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f43…843abacked Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.32per pick49cpaid-66.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Over73c200$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5420056.5%113 W · 87 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xee26…9dcabacked Over34c200$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1331353.8%7 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.17per pick37cpaid+22.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc94c…ba65backed Under11c200$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2290%0 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x172d…6f3ebacked Over58c200$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$843444.1%15 W · 19 L-3.6wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-21.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2c2e…a948backed Over49c197.16$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.552250%11 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ff0…271bbacked Over64c189.96$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.791776.5%13 W · 4 L+2.5wins+0.15per pick62cpaid+24.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8d4f…ccbbbacked Over37c189.19$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.191040%4 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3454…333bbacked Over55c181.79$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.81947.4%9 W · 10 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+18.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over60c166.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.674158.5%24 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd09a…e290backed Over73c160.27$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.272100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+61.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over48c155$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8123949.4%118 W · 121 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5e7…d292backed Over40c150.93$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.56450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+14.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7baf…99a7backed Over13c149.03$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.031811.1%2 W · 16 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick19cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1272…37e7backed Over72c138.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.252100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0275…596dbacked Under72c138.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002356.5%13 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+37.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0cf2…5378backed Over73c137.23$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.05560%3 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick69cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb15c…c161backed Over73c136.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.99933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-37.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4035…5e54backed Over73c135$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.453375.8%25 W · 8 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick68cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Under47c131.13$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.137848.7%38 W · 40 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.