Europa Conference League · resolved market
Spread: RC Celta de Vigo (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6c3be2ad3747b905154153103a205410b6a83a156bac0af6944ade2dd4745749
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- RC Celta de Vigoof RC Celta de Vigo, Olympique Lyonnais
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,404
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,404 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc699…7961backed RC Celta de Vigo | 10c | 2,990$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,691 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +65%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed RC Celta de Vigo | 20c | 1,259$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,007.59 | 145 | 52.4%76 W · 69 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked RC Celta de Vigo | 9c | 1,250$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,137.13 | 80 | 23.8%19 W · 61 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…afa6backed Olympique Lyonnais | 70c | 857.61$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked RC Celta de Vigo | 10c | 580.5$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.66 | 706 | 39.5%279 W · 427 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Olympique Lyonnais | 79c | 572.65$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.56 | 2,999 | 42.4%1,273 W · 1,726 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x210c…d6c1backed Olympique Lyonnais | 67c | 500$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked RC Celta de Vigo | 15c | 400.37$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.37 | 92 | 22.8%21 W · 71 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked RC Celta de Vigo | 20c | 373.8$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.04 | 114 | 43.9%50 W · 64 L | -8.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x69ac…03e9backed RC Celta de Vigo | 20c | 335.6$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.48 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed RC Celta de Vigo | 12c | 299.99$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.99 | 212 | 43.9%93 W · 119 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked RC Celta de Vigo | 17c | 276.98$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.9 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x421b…8982backed RC Celta de Vigo | 28c | 231.96$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.13 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +196.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2d…8452backed RC Celta de Vigo | 38c | 194.98$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.98 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed RC Celta de Vigo | 27c | 135.87$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.28 | 218 | 35.8%78 W · 140 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed RC Celta de Vigo | 21c | 134.58$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.29 | 160 | 13.1%21 W · 139 L | -18.8wins | -0.12per pick | 25cpaid | -47%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6b…591abacked RC Celta de Vigo | 19c | 124.02$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.08 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf035…0924backed RC Celta de Vigo | 19c | 115.12$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 26cpaid | +154.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c47…96b4backed RC Celta de Vigo | 38c | 102.38$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7841…7273backed RC Celta de Vigo | 29c | 100$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | +6.8wins | +0.14per pick | 20cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Olympique Lyonnais | 62c | 96.61$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.9 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed RC Celta de Vigo | 20c | 74.4$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.52 | 109 | 56%61 W · 48 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Olympique Lyonnais | 67c | 70.01$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.68 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0154…30f7backed RC Celta de Vigo | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 38 | 78.9%30 W · 8 L | +8.4wins | +0.22per pick | 57cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Olympique Lyonnais | 68c | 61.73$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.78 | 771 | 41.8%322 W · 449 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed RC Celta de Vigo | 35c | 56.73$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.73 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0403…29d4backed RC Celta de Vigo | 36c | 54.86$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.86 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +92.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed RC Celta de Vigo | 33c | 53.15$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.74 | 130 | 40%52 W · 78 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed RC Celta de Vigo | 34c | 44.94$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.67 | 335 | 22.4%75 W · 260 L | -43.5wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed Olympique Lyonnais | 78c | 42.86$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.23 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb51f…b7dbbacked Olympique Lyonnais | 70c | 40$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6467…4802backed Olympique Lyonnais | 75c | 39.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Olympique Lyonnais | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 387 | 53%205 W · 182 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed RC Celta de Vigo | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5a…d5dabacked RC Celta de Vigo | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.39per pick | 36cpaid | +86%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc93c…caeebacked Olympique Lyonnais | 63c | 16.22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: RC Celta de Vigo (-1.5)this page
- Olympique Lyonnais vs. RC Celta de Vigo: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Olympique Lyonnais vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 1.5Over won
- Olympique Lyonnais vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 2.5Under won
- Olympique Lyonnais vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 3.5Under won
- Olympique Lyonnais vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Olympique Lyonnais (-1.5)RC Celta de Vigo won
- Spread: Olympique Lyonnais (-2.5)RC Celta de Vigo won
- Spread: RC Celta de Vigo (-2.5)Olympique Lyonnais won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.