TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0b22…ddca

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
79
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Serie A, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Serie A at 54 out of 100; worst Premier League at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT2832.1%9 W · 19 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-36.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$236Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$235.9
Spread: Thunder (-16.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$241Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$240.71
Knicks vs. Hawks: O/U 226.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,290Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,290.1
Spurs vs. Clippers: O/U 231.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,940Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+100%+$1,940
Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 232.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,940Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,940.43
Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 230.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,453Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,452.71
Spread: Spurs (-14.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$3,881Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+98.6%+$3,825.65
Trail Blazers vs. Clippers: O/U 226.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,736Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,736.09
Spread: Thunder (-14.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$985Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$839.37
Spread: Lakers (-15.5)backed Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$893Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$893.12
Spread: Timberwolves (-8.5)backed Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$906Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$906.2
76ers vs. Heat: O/U 246.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$985Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$909.25
Clippers vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$1,731Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,731.11
Spread: Hornets (-17.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,001Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,000.6
Kings vs. Hornetsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000.17
Spread: Trail Blazers (-15.5)backed Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,998Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,997.7
76ers vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$3,404Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,404.38
Spread: Hornets (-17.5)backed Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Grizzlies vs. Hornetsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$1,206Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,206.29
Spread: Celtics (-14.5)backed Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$1,083.33
Celtics vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$198.01
Spread: Heat (-3.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$1,625
Cavaliers vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000.23
Nuggets vs. Lakers: O/U 246.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Spread: Celtics (-20.5)backed Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$779Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$718.78
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT1346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+29.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,037Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,036.87
Kawasaki Frontale vs. Urawa Red Diamonds: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$574Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$574
V-Varen Nagasaki vs. Shimizu S-Pulse: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$348Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$348
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs. Avispa Fukuoka: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$626Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+190.4%+$1,191.73
Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,001Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000.67
Will Tōkyō Verdy win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,000.29
Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$1,691Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+233.6%+$3,950.37
Beijing Guoan FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$2,844Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+170.7%+$4,854.49
Will V-Varen Nagasaki win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$1,583.33
Will Shanghai Haigang FC win on 2026-03-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$4,365Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,364.55
Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Liaoning Tieren FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$694Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+112%+$777.42
Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$499Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+61.7%+$308.13
All 13 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: United States (-1.5)backed Bosnia and Herzegovina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,725Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,724.85
Norway vs. France: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$3,802Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,802.05
New Zealand vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,317Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,316.8
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,962Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,961.86
Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$4,707Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,707.46
Canada vs. Tunisia: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,356Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+103.6%+$2,441.15
Argentina vs. Zambia: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$977Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$976.51
United States vs. Portugal: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,172Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+101.3%+$1,186.82
England vs. Japan: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,001Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$1,174.57
Will Ghana win on 2026-03-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$240
Germany vs. Ghana: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$1,040.82
Spread: Germany (-2.5)backed Ghana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+75.7%+$378.7
All 12 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+41.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-40.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick40cpaid+64.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+64%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+194.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Game Handicap: BLG (-2.5) vs JD Gaming (+2.5)backed JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,955Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,955
LoL: Gen.G vs G2 Esports (BO5) - First Stand Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$588Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+488.3%+$2,871.11
All 2 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+6.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Portland Timbers: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$501Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$500.81
Los Angeles FC vs. Orlando City SC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+112.9%+$1,128.59
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Angers SCO vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$969Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+108.5%+$1,051.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Newcastle United FC (-2.5)backed Newcastle United FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$214.68
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Olympique Lyonnais vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sparta Rotterdam win on 2026-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,500.04
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.