Spread: Germany (-2.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x750e36faa05037461a2b5128cf901ccc9b41358fb8f65f8b6a855388671cd1b9

Rebuilt 23 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Ghanaof Germany, Ghana
Resolved: Mar 30, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $112,679
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $121,976

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $112,679 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 170 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x9ba8…cdb3backed Ghana	55c	40,044$22,110 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17,933.98	56	55.4%31 W · 25 L	+5.2wins	+0.09per pick	46cpaid	+37%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xac47…d234backed Germany	45c	11,645$5,240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,240.1	210	29%61 W · 149 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Germany	45c	7,556$3,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,400	239	49.4%118 W · 121 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d78…29a5backed Ghana	53c	6,840$3,639 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,200.2	35	71.4%25 W · 10 L	+4.7wins	+0.14per pick	58cpaid	+25.7%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Germany	34c	4,999$1,700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,699.71	592	30.1%178 W · 414 L	-6.8wins	-0.01per pick	31cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Ghana	54c	4,826$2,620 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,206.66	368	50.3%185 W · 183 L	+9.9wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x40d5…79a5backed Germany	47c	3,698$1,738 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,738	25	40%10 W · 15 L	+2.2wins	+0.09per pick	31cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd9c4…6f95backed Ghana	57c	3,695$2,106 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,588.93	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+0.3wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Germany	42c	3,015$1,267 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,267.09	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc95b…f819backed Germany	45c	2,911$1,310 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,310	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	-0.7wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed Ghana	60c	2,343$1,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$943.43	42	50%21 W · 21 L	+1.9wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+14.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x20c1…df04backed Germany	47c	2,128$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	19	21.1%4 W · 15 L	-2.7wins	-0.14per pick	35cpaid	-44%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4f72…2fbfbacked Germany	49c	2,042$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	122	54.1%66 W · 56 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7434…2ff4backed Germany	47c	1,779$835 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$835	78	35.9%28 W · 50 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c6c…4f80backed Ghana	58c	1,731$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$730.81	22	68.2%15 W · 7 L	+3.7wins	+0.17per pick	51cpaid	+27.3%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Germany	40c	1,500$605 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$604.54	226	56.6%128 W · 98 L	+18.9wins	+0.08per pick	48cpaid	+29.8%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x4185…298dbacked Germany	45c	1,396$628 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$628	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-1.9wins	-0.32per pick	49cpaid	-67.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3242…0e0bbacked Germany	40c	1,350$540 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$539.8	73	38.4%28 W · 45 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0500…6158backed Germany	46c	1,296$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	27	51.9%14 W · 13 L	+1.0wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Ghana	51c	1,286$654 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$631.83	3,696	36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L	-44.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Germany	44c	1,225$544 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$543.94	864	55.3%478 W · 386 L	+8.5wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c4c…bc84backed Ghana	73c	1,121$824 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$297.11	18	61.1%11 W · 7 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	60cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Germany	44c	1,026$453 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$452.62	149	48.3%72 W · 77 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Ghana	60c	1,000$600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$400	63	11.1%7 W · 56 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	9cpaid	-47.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f24…c911backed Germany	47c	999.98$470 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$469.99	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-0.9wins	-0.09per pick	29cpaid	-21%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Germany	42c	956.87$405 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$404.64	2,380	53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L	+76.5wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b8f…f31bbacked Germany	44c	909.15$399 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$398.96	47	51.1%24 W · 23 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	+1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Germany	45c	881.31$393 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$392.59	508	50%254 W · 254 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b22…ddcabacked Ghana	57c	878.7$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$378.7	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Germany	44c	824.07$363 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$362.83	112	21.4%24 W · 88 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	22cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc443…359bbacked Germany	42c	773.1$325 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$324.7	37	45.9%17 W · 20 L	+3.3wins	+0.09per pick	37cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Ghana	55c	740.16$407 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$332.78	888	38.2%339 W · 549 L	+37.2wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x24a5…5d07backed Ghana	56c	700$394 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$306.38	40	27.5%11 W · 29 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	-28.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Germany	44c	684.92$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$299.74	328	55.8%183 W · 145 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4844…32c9backed Germany	45c	666.67$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	27	51.9%14 W · 13 L	+2.0wins	+0.07per pick	44cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Germany	41c	626$258 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$258.35	597	52.1%311 W · 286 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x76b4…ca9bbacked Germany	45c	599.98$270 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$269.99	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.10per pick	50cpaid	-15%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x74c0…62fabacked Ghana	53c	566.43$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$266.43	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.6wins	+0.13per pick	47cpaid	+17.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x79dc…ca77backed Germany	44c	529.73$233 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$233.11	55	29.1%16 W · 39 L	-1.5wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Germany	44c	525.66$230 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$229.69	246	53.3%131 W · 115 L	+3.5wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa35f…b58fbacked Germany	34c	510.85$172 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$171.74	45	28.9%13 W · 32 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-21%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Germany	45c	506.33$230 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$230	462	23.2%107 W · 355 L	+6.0wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29bf…e7e0backed Germany	46c	430.55$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	31	45.2%14 W · 17 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9a9a…989abacked Germany	47c	425.53$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.9wins	-0.13per pick	42cpaid	-46.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xadb3…dc13backed Ghana	50c	425.5$214 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$211.75	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0ccc…dbcdbacked Germany	23c	411.77$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.11	75	32%24 W · 51 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	30cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1030…dd7abacked Germany	43c	403.48$173 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$173.43	109	58.7%64 W · 45 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	57cpaid	+11.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe3c…9699backed Germany	50c	400.1$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf0e5…cbc9backed Germany	31c	355.84$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.12	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.31per pick	31cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Germany	42c	346.09$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144.31	2,411	53%1,278 W · 1,133 L	+75.2wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Germany	43c	344.69$149 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.06	237	49.8%118 W · 119 L	-6.1wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Germany	35c	336.25$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116.01	1,711	35.2%603 W · 1,108 L	-68.3wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Germany	43c	330.29$142 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$141.76	201	56.2%113 W · 88 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf69c…44dbbacked Germany	46c	326.09$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	63	44.4%28 W · 35 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0be6…3b7fbacked Germany	46c	323.89$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	14	50%7 W · 7 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d15…e663backed Germany	46c	322.82$148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$148.23	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-0.9wins	-0.09per pick	29cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbd7…6d6cbacked Ghana	72c	321.94$232 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$90.14	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.14per pick	62cpaid	+25.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed Germany	47c	320$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150.4	59	39%23 W · 36 L	-2.3wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0599…3c6abacked Germany	47c	316.23$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	101	60.4%61 W · 40 L	+11.2wins	+0.11per pick	49cpaid	+22%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3b5a…87efbacked Germany	45c	315.56$142 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$142	25	40%10 W · 15 L	+2.2wins	+0.09per pick	31cpaid	+57.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9073…13b3backed Germany	45c	300$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135	72	48.6%35 W · 37 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6203…5544backed Ghana	53c	300$160 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$140	26	53.8%14 W · 12 L	+1.3wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a96…0d7cbacked Germany	46c	295.69$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135.27	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.2wins	-0.17per pick	45cpaid	-38%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6496…09d0backed Germany	41c	295.12$121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121	66	37.9%25 W · 41 L	+4.5wins	+0.07per pick	31cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Ghana	58c	290.08$167 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$122.8	3,731	51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L	+55.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe500…4b37backed Germany	45c	288.89$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130	22	50%11 W · 11 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefd1…c520backed Germany	45c	265.7$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	56	55.4%31 W · 25 L	+2.0wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f2e…6da4backed Germany	42c	240$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.8	79	54.4%43 W · 36 L	+6.7wins	+0.08per pick	46cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Germany	39c	232.34$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.61	407	36.6%149 W · 258 L	+10.7wins	+0.03per pick	34cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x43a4…7170backed Germany	45c	222.22$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	14	50%7 W · 7 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfb87…0335backed Germany	47c	213.09$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	73	30.1%22 W · 51 L	-6.2wins	-0.09per pick	39cpaid	-37%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Germany	47c	212.77$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	363	49.3%179 W · 184 L	+15.4wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf429…969ebacked Germany	47c	212.67$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	116	31.9%37 W · 79 L	-3.3wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x428c…c64fbacked Ghana	61c	207.12$126 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80.78	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.0wins	-0.17per pick	50cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Germany	43c	205.65$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.55	255	54.5%139 W · 116 L	+8.6wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Germany	49c	204.61$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	551	53%292 W · 259 L	+11.0wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e1c…a9a5backed Germany	50c	198.65$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99	395	51.1%202 W · 193 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xda22…6d2abacked Germany	53c	187.11$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.37per pick	37cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe0a2…40d5backed Ghana	54c	185.19$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$85.19	58	43.1%25 W · 33 L	-5.1wins	-0.09per pick	52cpaid	-18%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6ae4…7c46backed Germany	41c	183.73$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.33	158	59.5%94 W · 64 L	+4.3wins	+0.03per pick	57cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe828…82d1backed Ghana	59c	169.49$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69.49	42	59.5%25 W · 17 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	59cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Germany	45c	169.43$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.24	432	48.4%209 W · 223 L	-3.9wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb64c…393dbacked Germany	48c	167.74$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	21	38.1%8 W · 13 L	-1.7wins	-0.08per pick	46cpaid	-25.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Ghana	56c	163.9$91 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.43	514	29.4%151 W · 363 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	+2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb89a…d883backed Ghana	60c	161.5$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.6	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.40per pick	60cpaid	+66.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Ghana	54c	158.82$86 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.12	1,001	53.9%540 W · 461 L	+34.3wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b14…5301backed Germany	44c	155.34$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.13	65	38.5%25 W · 40 L	-3.8wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Germany	42c	155.12$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.33	171	58.5%100 W · 71 L	+10.7wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+18.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1ca7…ce3bbacked Ghana	59c	144.88$85 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.4	34	23.5%8 W · 26 L	-1.8wins	-0.05per pick	29cpaid	-37.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x61e4…fb60backed Ghana	67c	142.53$95 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.25	34	61.8%21 W · 13 L	+4.3wins	+0.13per pick	49cpaid	+26.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9691…c6e7backed Germany	39c	135.23$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.74	40	35%14 W · 26 L	+3.0wins	+0.08per pick	27cpaid	+22.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked Germany	42c	122.57$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.03	167	58.7%98 W · 69 L	+3.3wins	+0.02per pick	57cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b54…db07backed Germany	47c	117.04$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	43	37.2%16 W · 27 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc7b6…cfe5backed Germany	45c	114.56$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.55	27	25.9%7 W · 20 L	-1.1wins	-0.04per pick	30cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x939d…3b3cbacked Germany	44c	113.6$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.98	218	40.8%89 W · 129 L	-9.5wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb567…4d4abacked Germany	45c	109.28$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.08	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Ghana	64c	101.54$65 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.54	14	7.1%1 W · 13 L	-0.9wins	-0.06per pick	13cpaid	-88.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0756…38c9backed Ghana	58c	101.13$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.13	48	50%24 W · 24 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4512…5d41backed Germany	43c	100$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43	228	36.4%83 W · 145 L	+7.3wins	+0.03per pick	33cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8549…41f8backed Germany	33c	100$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	22	45.5%10 W · 12 L	+1.4wins	+0.06per pick	39cpaid	-5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Germany (-2.5)this page
Germany vs. Ghana: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Germany vs. Ghana: O/U 1.5Over won
Germany vs. Ghana: O/U 2.5Over won
Germany vs. Ghana: O/U 3.5Under won
Germany vs. Ghana: O/U 4.5Under won
Spread: Germany (-1.5)Ghana won
Spread: Ghana (-1.5)Germany won
Spread: Ghana (-2.5)Germany won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Germany (-2.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event