Fifa International · resolved market
Germany vs. Ghana: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3b34e1a5ca4616d7267110350b2dfd2d3d35fbf1533cf38fdae21d9a7b53f257
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $64,615
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $64,428
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,615 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 118 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9ba8…cdb3backed Under | 68c | 32,742$22,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,480.7 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +37%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Over | 32c | 9,484$3,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,078.94 | 297 | 40.1%119 W · 178 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Over | 32c | 6,009$1,907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,907.16 | 213 | 33.3%71 W · 142 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f72…2fbfbacked Over | 36c | 2,768$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 122 | 54.1%66 W · 56 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 68c | 1,682$1,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.28 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…3653backed Over | 31c | 1,613$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 227 | 49.3%112 W · 115 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 15c | 1,366$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.49 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Over | 31c | 1,366$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.76 | 55 | 29.1%16 W · 39 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…af4bbacked Over | 32c | 1,253$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.84 | 89 | 36%32 W · 57 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Under | 77c | 1,234$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.77 | 225 | 51.6%116 W · 109 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 33c | 1,168$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.79 | 1,001 | 53.9%540 W · 461 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac61…be42backed Over | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 8c | 999.99$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 592 | 30.1%178 W · 414 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa334…beaebacked Over | 35c | 895.67$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.72 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Under | 68c | 882.35$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.35 | 202 | 62.4%126 W · 76 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 19c | 880.67$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.11 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6394…9749backed Over | 35c | 867.87$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Over | 32c | 723.38$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.69 | 237 | 49.8%118 W · 119 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 33c | 648.48$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214 | 78 | 30.8%24 W · 54 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae2d…2bc4backed Over | 32c | 647.23$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.09 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f21…3d6ebacked Over | 36c | 632.55$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.7 | 302 | 20.2%61 W · 241 L | -15.6wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69db…283abacked Over | 32c | 625$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 74 | 32.4%24 W · 50 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1030…dd7abacked Over | 32c | 595.35$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.51 | 109 | 58.7%64 W · 45 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9869…1a45backed Over | 31c | 515.9$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.93 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7e…cd92backed Under | 67c | 511.39$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.99 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…cea5backed Over | 33c | 511.19$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.69 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 20cpaid | -92.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x49fa…f904backed Over | 33c | 501.36$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.92 | 53 | 18.9%10 W · 43 L | -6.2wins | -0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd90d…cf07backed Over | 24c | 500$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.92 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 32c | 482.52$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.89 | 864 | 55.3%478 W · 386 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25c0…c187backed Over | 32c | 462.63$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.04 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 67c | 461$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.13 | 136 | 43.4%59 W · 77 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 64c | 429.02$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.91 | 368 | 50.3%185 W · 183 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…f31bbacked Over | 31c | 391.54$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.48 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed Over | 6c | 354.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Over | 33c | 336.38$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.34 | 246 | 53.3%131 W · 115 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf962…5cb1backed Under | 67c | 320.67$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.51 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Over | 31c | 311.55$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.58 | 255 | 54.5%139 W · 116 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37f7…0431backed Over | 28c | 298.74$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Over | 32c | 296.99$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.31 | 171 | 58.5%100 W · 71 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72f6…e24cbacked Over | 32c | 289.03$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.49 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Over | 32c | 288.72$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.45 | 201 | 56.2%113 W · 88 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 32c | 279.57$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.09 | 508 | 50%254 W · 254 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Over | 32c | 267.7$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.82 | 149 | 48.3%72 W · 77 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6410…ee60backed Under | 68c | 210.22$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.27 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -74.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8549…41f8backed Over | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 32c | 188.1$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.5 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2b…2cd8backed Over | 29c | 174.83$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 31c | 169.75$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.62 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b77…1953backed Under | 69c | 164.01$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.49 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9044…c2f5backed Over | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 33c | 160.61$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 308 | 36%111 W · 197 L | -17.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48db…b26ebacked Over | 31c | 160$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.6 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +4.3wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +96.3%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8c…31c3backed Over | 31c | 157.39$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.79 | 154 | 48.1%74 W · 80 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6544…4b74backed Over | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b54…db07backed Over | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c3…dde1backed Over | 33c | 150.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 47 | 25.5%12 W · 35 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -46%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…51d0backed Over | 34c | 150$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 110 | 27.3%30 W · 80 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 31c | 146.26$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.34 | 112 | 21.4%24 W · 88 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2605…2b17backed Under | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 39 | 74.4%29 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc667…e68dbacked Over | 14c | 140.84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.63 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Over | 13c | 138.46$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 69 | 37.7%26 W · 43 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a67…af26backed Under | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Over | 32c | 121.48$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.43 | 167 | 58.7%98 W · 69 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb659…48e5backed Over | 21c | 121$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.71 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 32c | 117.33$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.54 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc629…5e51backed Over | 37c | 105.57$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.73 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72bd…d37abacked Over | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 181 | 39.2%71 W · 110 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ccc…dbcdbacked Over | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 75 | 32%24 W · 51 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Under | 70c | 97.02$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.11 | 98 | 42.9%42 W · 56 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x810d…6080backed Over | 31c | 94.64$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.34 | 175 | 53.7%94 W · 81 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b14…5301backed Over | 29c | 92.85$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.38 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…d76fbacked Over | 33c | 90.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab7…0409backed Over | 17c | 88.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | -4.9wins | -0.15per pick | 30cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x80bd…1f70backed Over | 32c | 87.8$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5676…7da7backed Under | 70c | 75.29$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.85 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8687…1db0backed Over | 33c | 69.33$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.88 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -6.9wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa7fe…5a93backed Over | 31c | 63.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c63…9c7fbacked Over | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed Over | 31c | 62$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.22 | 86 | 59.3%51 W · 35 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Over | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 195 | 40%78 W · 117 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…572dbacked Over | 34c | 60.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.48 | 76 | 40.8%31 W · 45 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd155…0af4backed Over | 33c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd1…5d5fbacked Under | 68c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f6…4f7fbacked Over | 31c | 59.33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.39 | 102 | 54.9%56 W · 46 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9c…1700backed Over | 32c | 57.42$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.28 | 93 | 51.6%48 W · 45 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 75c | 57.28$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.18 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5d…fbb3backed Under | 70c | 56.24$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.87 | 129 | 57.4%74 W · 55 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…2d13backed Over | 35c | 54.29$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.29per pick | 41cpaid | +111%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf0fc…b74bbacked Under | 72c | 50.52$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a5…9445backed Over | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over | 31c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 363 | 29.8%108 W · 255 L | -17.4wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd10e…18dfbacked Over | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.9wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xade7…9d34backed Under | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 222 | 58.6%130 W · 92 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe619…6342backed Over | 31c | 48.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 479 | 35.1%168 W · 311 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf137…9341backed Over | 32c | 42.09$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.47 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -60%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…eeb8backed Under | 69c | 41$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.71 | 46 | 78.3%36 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 74cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4acd…66d4backed Over | 27c | 37.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16fe…9496backed Over | 32c | 37.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 127 | 44.1%56 W · 71 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfaf…064abacked Over | 32c | 35.39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Over | 32c | 34.95$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 237 | 51.1%121 W · 116 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Germany vs. Ghana: O/U 4.5this page
- Germany vs. Ghana: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Germany vs. Ghana: O/U 1.5Over won
- Germany vs. Ghana: O/U 2.5Over won
- Germany vs. Ghana: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Germany (-1.5)Ghana won
- Spread: Germany (-2.5)Ghana won
- Spread: Ghana (-1.5)Germany won
- Spread: Ghana (-2.5)Germany won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.