TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Germany vs. Ghana: O/U 4.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$64,615
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$64,428

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,615 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 118 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9ba8…cdb3backed Under68c32,742$22,261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,480.75655.4%31 W · 25 L+5.2wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+37%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Over32c9,484$3,079 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,078.9429740.1%119 W · 178 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked Over32c6,009$1,907 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,907.1621333.3%71 W · 142 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f72…2fbfbacked Over36c2,768$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00012254.1%66 W · 56 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under68c1,682$1,137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$545.281,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7879…3653backed Over31c1,613$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50022749.3%112 W · 115 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over15c1,366$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.493,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x79dc…ca77backed Over31c1,366$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.765529.1%16 W · 39 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-27.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x74e0…af4bbacked Over32c1,253$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.848936%32 W · 57 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick37cpaid+1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Under77c1,234$950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.7722551.6%116 W · 109 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-3.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Over33c1,168$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382.791,00153.9%540 W · 461 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xac61…be42backed Over31c1,000$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.34per pick54cpaid-71.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over8c999.99$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8059230.1%178 W · 414 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa334…beaebacked Over35c895.67$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.723948.7%19 W · 20 L+3.8wins+0.10per pick39cpaid+22.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Under68c882.35$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.3520262.4%126 W · 76 L-0.3wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over19c880.67$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.111,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6394…9749backed Over35c867.87$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001838.9%7 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+18.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Over32c723.38$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.6923749.8%118 W · 119 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Over33c648.48$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2147830.8%24 W · 54 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae2d…2bc4backed Over32c647.23$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.099752.6%51 W · 46 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f21…3d6ebacked Over36c632.55$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.730220.2%61 W · 241 L-15.6wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x69db…283abacked Over32c625$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007432.4%24 W · 50 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1030…dd7abacked Over32c595.35$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.5110958.7%64 W · 45 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+11.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9869…1a45backed Over31c515.9$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.931855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd7e…cd92backed Under67c511.39$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.99580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick67cpaid+20.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ef1…cea5backed Over33c511.19$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.69175.9%1 W · 16 L-2.4wins-0.14per pick20cpaid-92.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x49fa…f904backed Over33c501.36$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.925318.9%10 W · 43 L-6.2wins-0.12per pick31cpaid-57.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd90d…cf07backed Over24c500$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.922347.8%11 W · 12 L+2.2wins+0.10per pick38cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over32c482.52$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.8986455.3%478 W · 386 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x25c0…c187backed Over32c462.63$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.04757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+24.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under67c461$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.1313643.4%59 W · 77 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under64c429.02$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.9136850.3%185 W · 183 L+9.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b8f…f31bbacked Over31c391.54$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.484751.1%24 W · 23 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick54cpaid+1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xabfb…12e5backed Over6c354.63$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.884425%11 W · 33 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick20cpaid-2.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Over33c336.38$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.3424653.3%131 W · 115 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf962…5cb1backed Under67c320.67$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.512470.8%17 W · 7 L+2.3wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+21.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Over31c311.55$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.5825554.5%139 W · 116 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37f7…0431backed Over28c298.74$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Over32c296.99$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.3117158.5%100 W · 71 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+18.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x72f6…e24cbacked Over32c289.03$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.49333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-35.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Over32c288.72$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.4520156.2%113 W · 88 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over32c279.57$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.0950850%254 W · 254 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Over32c267.7$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.8214948.3%72 W · 77 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6410…ee60backed Under68c210.22$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.271915.8%3 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick17cpaid-74.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8549…41f8backed Over33c200$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$662245.5%10 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick39cpaid-5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over32c188.1$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.51,68854.4%918 W · 770 L+31.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf2b…2cd8backed Over29c174.83$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+12.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Over31c169.75$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.622,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b77…1953backed Under69c164.01$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.492536%9 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-23.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9044…c2f5backed Over31c161.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-51%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over33c160.61$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5330836%111 W · 197 L-17.3wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-20.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x48db…b26ebacked Over31c160$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.61650%8 W · 8 L+4.3wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+96.3%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x7b8c…31c3backed Over31c157.39$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.7915448.1%74 W · 80 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6544…4b74backed Over32c156.25$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3b54…db07backed Over33c151.52$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504337.2%16 W · 27 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0c3…dde1backed Over33c150.97$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504725.5%12 W · 35 L-3.9wins-0.08per pick34cpaid-46%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5cd9…51d0backed Over34c150$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5111027.3%30 W · 80 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over31c146.26$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.3411221.4%24 W · 88 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-18.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2605…2b17backed Under69c144.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.933974.4%29 W · 10 L+3.6wins+0.09per pick65cpaid+18.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc667…e68dbacked Over14c140.84$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.631729.4%5 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick24cpaid-10.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed Over13c138.46$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186937.7%26 W · 43 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a67…af26backed Under73c136.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.991560%9 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked Over32c121.48$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.4316758.7%98 W · 69 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb659…48e5backed Over21c121$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.711729.4%5 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-18.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over32c117.33$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.542,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc629…5e51backed Over37c105.57$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.734746.8%22 W · 25 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72bd…d37abacked Over33c100$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3318139.2%71 W · 110 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ccc…dbcdbacked Over25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257532%24 W · 51 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick30cpaid-13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Under70c97.02$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.119842.9%42 W · 56 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x810d…6080backed Over31c94.64$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.3417553.7%94 W · 81 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b14…5301backed Over29c92.85$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.386538.5%25 W · 40 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-17.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4042…d76fbacked Over33c90.91$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.3wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+25.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6ab7…0409backed Over17c88.22$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153315.2%5 W · 28 L-4.9wins-0.15per pick30cpaid-55.1%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x80bd…1f70backed Over32c87.8$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-20.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5676…7da7backed Under70c75.29$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.856350.8%32 W · 31 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8687…1db0backed Over33c69.33$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.884831.3%15 W · 33 L-6.9wins-0.14per pick46cpaid-36.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa7fe…5a93backed Over31c63.51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c63…9c7fbacked Over32c62.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2040%0 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f22…0fb4backed Over31c62$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.228659.3%51 W · 35 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+19.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e9b…829ebacked Over33c60.61$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2019540%78 W · 117 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xafaf…572dbacked Over34c60.24$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.487640.8%31 W · 45 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd155…0af4backed Over33c60$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbcd1…5d5fbacked Under68c60$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.2366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8f6…4f7fbacked Over31c59.33$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.3910254.9%56 W · 46 L+7.1wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+17.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbe9c…1700backed Over32c57.42$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.289351.6%48 W · 45 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under75c57.28$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.184,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd5d…fbb3backed Under70c56.24$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.8712957.4%74 W · 55 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4dbe…2d13backed Over35c54.29$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191070%7 W · 3 L+2.9wins+0.29per pick41cpaid+111%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf0fc…b74bbacked Under72c50.52$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.31361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+13.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf9a5…9445backed Over33c50$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.51656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over31c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.336329.8%108 W · 255 L-17.4wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-9.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd10e…18dfbacked Over30c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152334.8%8 W · 15 L-3.9wins-0.17per pick52cpaid-36.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xade7…9d34backed Under69c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.522258.6%130 W · 92 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe619…6342backed Over31c48.39$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1547935.1%168 W · 311 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf137…9341backed Over32c42.09$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.47520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-60%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1608…eeb8backed Under69c41$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.714678.3%36 W · 10 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick74cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4acd…66d4backed Over27c37.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.13633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-36.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x16fe…9496backed Over32c37.5$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1212744.1%56 W · 71 L-6.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcfaf…064abacked Over32c35.39$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.27742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-18.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Over32c34.95$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.223751.1%121 W · 116 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.