Fifa International · resolved market
Germany vs. Ghana: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9398677fbe4f26a9db39842fde2405ecddb0c9d3e22df2d72d201bba7445fb6c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $286,890
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $282,884
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $286,890 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 297 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9ba8…cdb3backed Under | 48c | 141,749$67,894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73,855.03 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +37%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Under | 49c | 53,282$26,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,181.52 | 213 | 43.2%92 W · 121 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c74…4ef0backed Over | 51c | 22,452$11,451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,450.73 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Over | 51c | 20,316$10,409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,409 | 239 | 49.4%118 W · 121 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed Over | 53c | 20,224$10,719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,718.79 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Over | 51c | 19,694$9,961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,960.96 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.0wins | -0.37per pick | 50cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed Over | 54c | 13,061$7,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,071.34 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -5.1wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f6e…84b4backed Over | 54c | 12,643$6,827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,827.2 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd586…7c9bbacked Over | 52c | 11,864$6,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,200 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…d2f0backed Over | 51c | 11,312$5,769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,769 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -66%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 47c | 7,722$3,644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,078.11 | 293 | 43%126 W · 167 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Over | 54c | 7,407$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 49c | 5,689$2,774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,915.64 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4244…03a6backed Over | 50c | 5,600$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d0…9b55backed Over | 54c | 5,426$2,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,929.99 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 56c | 5,154$2,894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,259.8 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x443b…e8bbbacked Over | 51c | 5,114$2,608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,608 | 137 | 46.7%64 W · 73 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01ae…4385backed Over | 51c | 4,554$2,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,304.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36f2…dab4backed Over | 51c | 4,209$2,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,150.71 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4185…298dbacked Over | 51c | 3,922$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 49cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef21…3dc9backed Over | 52c | 3,863$2,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,009 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5af4…183cbacked Over | 51c | 3,655$1,864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,864 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…79a5backed Over | 45c | 3,435$1,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,554 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc95b…f819backed Over | 51c | 3,078$1,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,570 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…3653backed Over | 50c | 2,838$1,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,419 | 227 | 49.3%112 W · 115 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 46c | 2,617$1,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,407.08 | 368 | 50.3%185 W · 183 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 29c | 2,598$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$741.37 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…8f46backed Over | 52c | 2,500$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7814…c0dbbacked Over | 52c | 2,100$1,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,092 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b22…ddcabacked Under | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.82 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Over | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 78 | 59%46 W · 32 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4829…ef84backed Over | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 10c | 1,997$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.68 | 592 | 30.1%178 W · 414 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f72…2fbfbacked Over | 55c | 1,815$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 122 | 54.1%66 W · 56 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43a4…7170backed Under | 51c | 1,806$921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$885.03 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 52c | 1,609$844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$843.56 | 105 | 58.1%61 W · 44 L | +7.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Over | 44c | 1,549$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.07 | 55 | 29.1%16 W · 39 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7fa…f6dfbacked Over | 45c | 1,487$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672.42 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Under | 47c | 1,241$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.89 | 140 | 40.7%57 W · 83 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8873…09fcbacked Over | 54c | 1,219$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658.03 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Over | 54c | 1,204$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.99 | 304 | 31.3%95 W · 209 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Over | 51c | 1,174$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.59 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46cf…42eabacked Over | 54c | 1,171$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.58 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed Over | 51c | 1,171$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 62cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Under | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 166 | 47.6%79 W · 87 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 25c | 999.82$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.96 | 454 | 21.4%97 W · 357 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5a…13f5backed Over | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 134 | 53%71 W · 63 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6496…09d0backed Over | 39c | 900$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x62ff…5058backed Over | 56c | 897.02$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 48c | 896.12$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.98 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74d0…de45backed Under | 49c | 868.98$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.6 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54ea…f74abacked Over | 51c | 831.37$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb224…fedbbacked Over | 54c | 800$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 49c | 799.99$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d1…62eabacked Under | 50c | 772$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.22per pick | 51cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Over | 54c | 703.7$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 225 | 51.6%116 W · 109 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9037…0386backed Over | 16c | 631.12$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.56 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 54c | 600$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324 | 151 | 41.7%63 W · 88 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…51d0backed Over | 36c | 560.87$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 110 | 27.3%30 W · 80 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6544…4b74backed Over | 52c | 525$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9869…1a45backed Over | 51c | 522.43$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.48 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 50c | 515.1$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.38 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefd1…c520backed Over | 53c | 505.94$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Over | 19c | 503.03$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.61 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7e…c230backed Over | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 80 | 32.5%26 W · 54 L | -7.6wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Over | 51c | 486.29$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.6 | 246 | 53.3%131 W · 115 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 53c | 486.04$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.07 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…cea5backed Over | 13c | 463.49$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.13 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 20cpaid | -92.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb726…f90dbacked Over | 56c | 439.25$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.98 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3c…9699backed Over | 54c | 431.48$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe66e…96e8backed Under | 72c | 399.99$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Over | 50c | 393.37$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.47 | 201 | 56.2%113 W · 88 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…cfb1backed Over | 51c | 392.47$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 156 | 54.5%85 W · 71 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 51c | 392$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.88 | 328 | 55.8%183 W · 145 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69db…283abacked Over | 52c | 382.69$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 74 | 32.4%24 W · 50 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 46c | 377.48$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.84 | 136 | 43.4%59 W · 77 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7029…4331backed Over | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74c0…62fabacked Under | 54c | 370.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.88 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe500…4b37backed Over | 52c | 365.38$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9186…fad1backed Over | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3b…b968backed Under | 68c | 362.21$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.21 | 323 | 56%181 W · 142 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa54d…deb8backed Under | 58c | 355.29$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.4 | 125 | 59.2%74 W · 51 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1030…dd7abacked Over | 51c | 342.71$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.22 | 109 | 58.7%64 W · 45 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a7…aefcbacked Over | 54c | 332.98$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.81 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f12…1937backed Over | 53c | 317.04$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06c4…f726backed Over | 44c | 315.36$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.62 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Over | 52c | 315.24$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.62 | 149 | 48.3%72 W · 77 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 54c | 304.81$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.49 | 740 | 34.1%252 W · 488 L | -36.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 52c | 303.39$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.4 | 864 | 55.3%478 W · 386 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed Over | 52c | 301.92$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157 | 237 | 36.3%86 W · 151 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Over | 51c | 300.43$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.16 | 237 | 49.8%118 W · 119 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Over | 55c | 300$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 350 | 36.3%127 W · 223 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27d2…a66cbacked Under | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 60c | 293.83$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.43 | 508 | 50%254 W · 254 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…6592backed Under | 54c | 288.77$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.83 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +4.5wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 33c | 284.01$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 112 | 21.4%24 W · 88 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Over | 54c | 281.3$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.9 | 71 | 36.6%26 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x415d…a37cbacked Over | 34c | 280.2$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.69 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b54…db07backed Over | 53c | 273.58$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68bf…459fbacked Over | 37c | 273.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 78 | 24.4%19 W · 59 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Germany vs. Ghana: O/U 3.5this page
- Germany vs. Ghana: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Germany vs. Ghana: O/U 1.5Over won
- Germany vs. Ghana: O/U 2.5Over won
- Germany vs. Ghana: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Germany (-1.5)Ghana won
- Spread: Germany (-2.5)Ghana won
- Spread: Ghana (-1.5)Germany won
- Spread: Ghana (-2.5)Germany won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.