TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Germany vs. Ghana: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$286,890
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$282,884

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $286,890 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 297 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9ba8…cdb3backed Under48c141,749$67,894 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73,855.035655.4%31 W · 25 L+5.2wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+37%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Under49c53,282$26,101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,181.5221343.2%92 W · 121 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c74…4ef0backed Over51c22,452$11,451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,450.735653.6%30 W · 26 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Over51c20,316$10,409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,40923949.4%118 W · 121 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb784…61d0backed Over53c20,224$10,719 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,718.791250%6 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked Over51c19,694$9,961 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,960.96812.5%1 W · 7 L-3.0wins-0.37per pick50cpaid-78.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe0a2…40d5backed Over54c13,061$7,071 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,071.345843.1%25 W · 33 L-5.1wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-18%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0f6e…84b4backed Over54c12,643$6,827 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,827.2862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+14.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd586…7c9bbacked Over52c11,864$6,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,2001450%7 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb3d0…d2f0backed Over51c11,312$5,769 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,769425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-66%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under47c7,722$3,644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,078.1129343%126 W · 167 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Over54c7,407$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0006947.8%33 W · 36 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under49c5,689$2,774 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,915.643,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4244…03a6backed Over50c5,600$2,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,8001752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6d0…9b55backed Over54c5,426$2,930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,929.995952.5%31 W · 28 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-0.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under56c5,154$2,894 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,259.84,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x443b…e8bbbacked Over51c5,114$2,608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,60813746.7%64 W · 73 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01ae…4385backed Over51c4,554$2,305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,304.5410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x36f2…dab4backed Over51c4,209$2,151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,150.7140%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4185…298dbacked Over51c3,922$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.32per pick49cpaid-67.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xef21…3dc9backed Over52c3,863$2,009 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,009540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-32.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5af4…183cbacked Over51c3,655$1,864 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8641747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40d5…79a5backed Over45c3,435$1,554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5542540%10 W · 15 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick31cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc95b…f819backed Over51c3,078$1,570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5701643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7879…3653backed Over50c2,838$1,419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,41922749.3%112 W · 115 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under46c2,617$1,210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,407.0836850.3%185 W · 183 L+9.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over29c2,598$741 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$741.371,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb8cb…8f46backed Over52c2,500$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3001233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-28.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7814…c0dbbacked Over52c2,100$1,092 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,09210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b22…ddcabacked Under49c2,041$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,040.821241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Over49c2,000$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9807859%46 W · 32 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4829…ef84backed Over53c2,000$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,060250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over10c1,997$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.6859230.1%178 W · 414 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f72…2fbfbacked Over55c1,815$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00012254.1%66 W · 56 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x43a4…7170backed Under51c1,806$921 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$885.031450%7 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Over52c1,609$844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$843.5610558.1%61 W · 44 L+7.0wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+17.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x79dc…ca77backed Over44c1,549$676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$676.075529.1%16 W · 39 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-27.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7fa…f6dfbacked Over45c1,487$672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$672.422343.5%10 W · 13 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+18.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Under47c1,241$583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$657.8914040.7%57 W · 83 L-5.3wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-0.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8873…09fcbacked Over54c1,219$658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$658.03933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-41.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Over54c1,204$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$649.9930431.3%95 W · 209 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed Over51c1,174$599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$598.595158.8%30 W · 21 L+0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46cf…42eabacked Over54c1,171$631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$630.583855.3%21 W · 17 L+3.6wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+23.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfd3f…44f1backed Over51c1,171$597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$597977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.15per pick62cpaid+22.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Under49c1,000$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51016647.6%79 W · 87 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over25c999.82$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.9645421.4%97 W · 357 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe5a…13f5backed Over51c980.39$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50013453%71 W · 63 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6496…09d0backed Over39c900$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3506637.9%25 W · 41 L+4.5wins+0.07per pick31cpaid-8.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x62ff…5058backed Over56c897.02$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5007847.4%37 W · 41 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under48c896.12$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$465.981,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74d0…de45backed Under49c868.98$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$442.61643.8%7 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick36cpaid-5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x54ea…f74abacked Over51c831.37$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42410849.1%53 W · 55 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb224…fedbbacked Over54c800$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$430837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick53cpaid-31.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Under49c799.99$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4128748.3%42 W · 45 L+6.0wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+18.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa6d1…62eabacked Under50c772$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3861573.3%11 W · 4 L+3.3wins+0.22per pick51cpaid+43.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Over54c703.7$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38022551.6%116 W · 109 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-3.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9037…0386backed Over16c631.12$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.5630%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd871…6bbabacked Over54c600$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32415141.7%63 W · 88 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+31.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5cd9…51d0backed Over36c560.87$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20011027.3%30 W · 80 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6544…4b74backed Over52c525$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27330%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9869…1a45backed Over51c522.43$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.481855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Over50c515.1$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.382,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xefd1…c520backed Over53c505.94$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2705655.4%31 W · 25 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Over19c503.03$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.615343.4%23 W · 30 L-4.3wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9f7e…c230backed Over50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2508032.5%26 W · 54 L-7.6wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-31.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Over51c486.29$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.624653.3%131 W · 115 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under53c486.04$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.0776048.7%370 W · 390 L-2.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ef1…cea5backed Over13c463.49$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.13175.9%1 W · 16 L-2.4wins-0.14per pick20cpaid-92.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb726…f90dbacked Over56c439.25$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.982832.1%9 W · 19 L-0.1wins0.00per pick33cpaid-11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe3c…9699backed Over54c431.48$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2331735.3%6 W · 11 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe66e…96e8backed Under72c399.99$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1123046.7%14 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Over50c393.37$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.4720156.2%113 W · 88 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29f8…cfb1backed Over51c392.47$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20015654.5%85 W · 71 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Over51c392$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.8832855.8%183 W · 145 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69db…283abacked Over52c382.69$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1997432.4%24 W · 50 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under46c377.48$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.8413643.4%59 W · 77 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7029…4331backed Over53c377.36$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x74c0…62fabacked Under54c370.88$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.88560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+17.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe500…4b37backed Over52c365.38$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1902250%11 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9186…fad1backed Over55c363.64$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20050%0 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9a3b…b968backed Under68c362.21$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.2132356%181 W · 142 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa54d…deb8backed Under58c355.29$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.412559.2%74 W · 51 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1030…dd7abacked Over51c342.71$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.2210958.7%64 W · 45 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+11.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3a7…aefcbacked Over54c332.98$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.81933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick43cpaid+28.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f12…1937backed Over53c317.04$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1681030%3 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-16.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06c4…f726backed Over44c315.36$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.62425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-48.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Over52c315.24$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.6214948.3%72 W · 77 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under54c304.81$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.4974034.1%252 W · 488 L-36.1wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over52c303.39$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.486455.3%478 W · 386 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe283…7190backed Over52c301.92$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15723736.3%86 W · 151 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Over51c300.43$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.1623749.8%118 W · 119 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Over55c300$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16535036.3%127 W · 223 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27d2…a66cbacked Under50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1502560%15 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under60c293.83$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.4350850%254 W · 254 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x81b0…6592backed Under54c288.77$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.833455.9%19 W · 15 L+4.5wins+0.13per pick43cpaid+32.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over33c284.01$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9411221.4%24 W · 88 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-18.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc367…a0b4backed Over54c281.3$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.97136.6%26 W · 45 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick39cpaid+2.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x415d…a37cbacked Over34c280.2$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.69837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b54…db07backed Over53c273.58$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1454337.2%16 W · 27 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68bf…459fbacked Over37c273.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007824.4%19 W · 59 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-43.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.