TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Spread: Germany (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Ghanaof Germany, Ghana
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$42,532
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$42,891

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,532 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 164 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Ghana35c11,163$3,890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,272.724,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5c5…2e6bbacked Germany67c4,000$2,679 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,678.833844.7%17 W · 21 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Ghana32c3,559$1,141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,418.091,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Germany67c1,611$1,085 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,085.2743248.4%209 W · 223 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2901…99f3backed Germany64c1,520$979 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$978.57540%2 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick66cpaid-47.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Germany69c1,441$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.236442.2%27 W · 37 L-7.1wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-24%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xeb8c…6a99backed Ghana40c1,376$556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$820.226432.8%21 W · 43 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-18.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Ghana34c1,370$461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$909.23,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x79dc…ca77backed Ghana31c1,346$423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923.145529.1%16 W · 39 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-27.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Ghana33c1,287$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$859.3436850.3%185 W · 183 L+9.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e49…dfe0backed Germany63c1,211$765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$765.13728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick45cpaid-45.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Germany68c1,082$736 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$735.5822551.6%116 W · 109 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-3.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Ghana34c995.05$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$651.852,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8bc2…4c80backed Germany70c912.99$636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6362661.5%16 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7705…a442backed Germany69c900$621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62112535.2%44 W · 81 L-0.6wins0.00per pick36cpaid-18.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Ghana35c813.31$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531.422,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x955f…2a6fbacked Germany68c803.31$546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$546.25771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick62cpaid+33.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Germany18c802.82$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.0274034.1%252 W · 488 L-36.1wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9691…c6e7backed Germany28c728.34$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.254035%14 W · 26 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick27cpaid+22.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe35b…d8d0backed Germany74c726.76$539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.213243.8%14 W · 18 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21c9…1b1abacked Germany74c672.39$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.361241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.14per pick56cpaid-25.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Ghana34c666$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$442.8988838.2%339 W · 549 L+37.2wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x58aa…a481backed Germany68c585.72$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4006048.3%29 W · 31 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Ghana31c566.95$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.3959752.1%311 W · 286 L-2.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Germany68c565.3$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.8667354.7%368 W · 305 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4835…8f59backed Germany69c500.24$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc9f…905bbacked Germany59c499.83$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.923540.4%95 W · 140 L-6.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Ghana38c459.51$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.1923749.8%118 W · 119 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Ghana38c451.41$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.6624653.3%131 W · 115 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x81e4…6f22backed Ghana36c428.56$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.288134.6%28 W · 53 L-7.5wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-34.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1c0a…cbc9backed Germany67c398.96$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.256152.5%32 W · 29 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4d16…4e1fbacked Germany69c368.22$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.783669.4%25 W · 11 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c19…859cbacked Germany67c360$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.63256.3%18 W · 14 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ae5…4f22backed Germany66c307.45$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.4218465.8%121 W · 63 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Ghana35c302.16$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.9921953.4%117 W · 102 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Ghana34c301.62$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.741,68854.4%918 W · 770 L+31.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x010f…6c1abacked Germany67c300.06$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002254.5%12 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc04…f726backed Germany69c300$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2073537.1%13 W · 22 L-5.0wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-33.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3b14…5301backed Ghana39c299.79$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.456538.5%25 W · 40 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-17.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Germany71c281.69$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20055153%292 W · 259 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1608…eeb8backed Germany68c258.3$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.474678.3%36 W · 10 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick74cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Germany51c254.9$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1305448.1%26 W · 28 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd790…a24ebacked Ghana33c249$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.4728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick22cpaid-4.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x31bb…3dbabacked Germany69c230$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.7944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Ghana35c223.84$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.74,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Ghana36c220.69$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.813,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Ghana36c217.05$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.6950850%254 W · 254 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0aba…1910backed Germany62c201.61$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12510667.9%72 W · 34 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick69cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Germany31c200.11$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.871,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Ghana34c194.45$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.0523751.1%121 W · 116 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0dd…19eabacked Germany72c177.58$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.86887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.16per pick72cpaid+25.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Ghana35c177.03$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.3517158.5%100 W · 71 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+18.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3a0e…b0babacked Ghana34c176$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.163647.2%17 W · 19 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd06f…0263backed Germany67c165.84$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.113342.4%14 W · 19 L-3.1wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-16%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa9da…f7d9backed Germany61c162.25$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.972751.9%14 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5127…de1ebacked Germany62c161.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012143%52 W · 69 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked Ghana31c160.82$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.8254917.9%98 W · 451 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb7f…0abbbacked Germany72c153.65$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1103066.7%20 W · 10 L+2.6wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+17.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1a96…0d7cbacked Ghana36c153.25$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.57728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick45cpaid-38%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e0f…c18cbacked Germany69c152.99$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.223928.2%11 W · 28 L-0.1wins0.00per pick28cpaid-30.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54d5…77d4backed Germany67c150$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.55974.6%44 W · 15 L+8.1wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+23.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x6f79…0307backed Germany67c149.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008755.2%48 W · 39 L-0.4wins0.00per pick56cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x972f…65bdbacked Germany67c149.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015157.6%87 W · 64 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb17…32b2backed Ghana34c146.64$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.842245.5%10 W · 12 L+2.2wins+0.10per pick36cpaid+28.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1ca7…ce3bbacked Ghana37c145.95$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.953423.5%8 W · 26 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-37.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd8fe…ba40backed Germany66c145.06$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.7417852.8%94 W · 84 L-0.6wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02f2…66e2backed Germany69c144.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001861.1%11 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cae…fdc1backed Ghana35c142.86$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.865844.8%26 W · 32 L+4.9wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+18.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x983c…dd56backed Germany70c142.86$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003557.1%20 W · 15 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+26.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a81…a86bbacked Germany73c137.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020067.5%135 W · 65 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick67cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Ghana33c135.36$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.3114948.3%72 W · 77 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Ghana36c133.2$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.0425554.5%139 W · 116 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeca0…e8f8backed Germany65c124.99$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.2515448.7%75 W · 79 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc84…2468backed Germany69c108.16$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.63333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ccc…dbcdbacked Germany50c101$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.57532%24 W · 51 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick30cpaid-13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e1c…a9a5backed Germany13c99.99$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1339551.1%202 W · 193 L+1.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Germany65c99.96$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.9750450.2%253 W · 251 L+13.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Ghana36c97$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.084847.9%23 W · 25 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08e5…3c0abacked Germany58c92.85$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.85742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0cff…15d1backed Germany60c90$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5411242.9%48 W · 64 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-16.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x810d…6080backed Ghana40c84.6$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.5417553.7%94 W · 81 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5e…fd91backed Germany52c82.25$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.774431.8%14 W · 30 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7929…5d2cbacked Germany61c82.07$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfcf3…f535backed Germany62c80.65$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501681.3%13 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick71cpaid+15.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe80f…b81bbacked Germany70c78.57$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553488.2%30 W · 4 L+6.3wins+0.18per pick70cpaid+31%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x5555…823bbacked Germany61c77.05$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475064%32 W · 18 L+6.1wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+45.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc774…2777backed Germany66c75.76$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503636.1%13 W · 23 L-6.7wins-0.18per pick55cpaid-38.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xd306…463dbacked Germany67c75.07$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5029463.3%186 W · 108 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5617…38fcbacked Germany68c73.53$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509755.7%54 W · 43 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2605…2b17backed Germany68c73.53$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503974.4%29 W · 10 L+3.6wins+0.09per pick65cpaid+18.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbe96…4a6dbacked Germany68c71.99$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.262564%16 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.09per pick73cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0040…9eb8backed Germany70c70$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.39759.8%58 W · 39 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1121…6604backed Ghana36c69$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.164641.3%19 W · 27 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcf02…3a63backed Ghana36c69$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.164946.9%23 W · 26 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b8c…31c3backed Ghana38c68.51$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.315448.1%74 W · 80 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0fc…b74bbacked Ghana34c61.16$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.481361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+13.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a2c…32bcbacked Germany69c59.38$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.97683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.14per pick69cpaid+24%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0115…ac79backed Germany68c58.6$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.019563.2%60 W · 35 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6bb…288cbacked Ghana39c56.34$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.341100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e0a…745dbacked Ghana36c56$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.843151.6%16 W · 15 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.