Fifa International · resolved market
Spread: Germany (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9702b8ef4ef637e8e6ccd3dd79bfa741699768ff4ee020561bb28d12a9f231be
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ghanaof Germany, Ghana
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,532
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,891
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,532 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 164 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Ghana | 35c | 11,163$3,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,272.72 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c5…2e6bbacked Germany | 67c | 4,000$2,679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,678.83 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Ghana | 32c | 3,559$1,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,418.09 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Germany | 67c | 1,611$1,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,085.27 | 432 | 48.4%209 W · 223 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2901…99f3backed Germany | 64c | 1,520$979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$978.57 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 66cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Germany | 69c | 1,441$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.23 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -7.1wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -24%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeb8c…6a99backed Ghana | 40c | 1,376$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820.22 | 64 | 32.8%21 W · 43 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Ghana | 34c | 1,370$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$909.2 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Ghana | 31c | 1,346$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.14 | 55 | 29.1%16 W · 39 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Ghana | 33c | 1,287$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$859.34 | 368 | 50.3%185 W · 183 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e49…dfe0backed Germany | 63c | 1,211$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765.13 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Germany | 68c | 1,082$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735.58 | 225 | 51.6%116 W · 109 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Ghana | 34c | 995.05$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.85 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc2…4c80backed Germany | 70c | 912.99$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Germany | 69c | 900$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621 | 125 | 35.2%44 W · 81 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Ghana | 35c | 813.31$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.42 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x955f…2a6fbacked Germany | 68c | 803.31$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.25 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Germany | 18c | 802.82$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.02 | 740 | 34.1%252 W · 488 L | -36.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9691…c6e7backed Germany | 28c | 728.34$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.25 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe35b…d8d0backed Germany | 74c | 726.76$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.21 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21c9…1b1abacked Germany | 74c | 672.39$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.36 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed Ghana | 34c | 666$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.89 | 888 | 38.2%339 W · 549 L | +37.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58aa…a481backed Germany | 68c | 585.72$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Ghana | 31c | 566.95$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.39 | 597 | 52.1%311 W · 286 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Germany | 68c | 565.3$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.86 | 673 | 54.7%368 W · 305 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4835…8f59backed Germany | 69c | 500.24$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Germany | 59c | 499.83$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.9 | 235 | 40.4%95 W · 140 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Ghana | 38c | 459.51$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.19 | 237 | 49.8%118 W · 119 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Ghana | 38c | 451.41$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.66 | 246 | 53.3%131 W · 115 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…6f22backed Ghana | 36c | 428.56$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.28 | 81 | 34.6%28 W · 53 L | -7.5wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0a…cbc9backed Germany | 67c | 398.96$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.25 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d16…4e1fbacked Germany | 69c | 368.22$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.78 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c19…859cbacked Germany | 67c | 360$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.6 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae5…4f22backed Germany | 66c | 307.45$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.42 | 184 | 65.8%121 W · 63 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Ghana | 35c | 302.16$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.99 | 219 | 53.4%117 W · 102 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Ghana | 34c | 301.62$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.74 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x010f…6c1abacked Germany | 67c | 300.06$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc04…f726backed Germany | 69c | 300$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -5.0wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3b14…5301backed Ghana | 39c | 299.79$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.45 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Germany | 71c | 281.69$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 551 | 53%292 W · 259 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…eeb8backed Germany | 68c | 258.3$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.47 | 46 | 78.3%36 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 74cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Germany | 51c | 254.9$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd790…a24ebacked Ghana | 33c | 249$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.4 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31bb…3dbabacked Germany | 69c | 230$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.7 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Ghana | 35c | 223.84$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.7 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Ghana | 36c | 220.69$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.81 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Ghana | 36c | 217.05$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.69 | 508 | 50%254 W · 254 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0aba…1910backed Germany | 62c | 201.61$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 106 | 67.9%72 W · 34 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Germany | 31c | 200.11$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.87 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Ghana | 34c | 194.45$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.05 | 237 | 51.1%121 W · 116 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0dd…19eabacked Germany | 72c | 177.58$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.86 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.16per pick | 72cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Ghana | 35c | 177.03$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.35 | 171 | 58.5%100 W · 71 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0e…b0babacked Ghana | 34c | 176$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.16 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd06f…0263backed Germany | 67c | 165.84$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.11 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9da…f7d9backed Germany | 61c | 162.25$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.97 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5127…de1ebacked Germany | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 121 | 43%52 W · 69 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Ghana | 31c | 160.82$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.82 | 549 | 17.9%98 W · 451 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb7f…0abbbacked Germany | 72c | 153.65$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a96…0d7cbacked Ghana | 36c | 153.25$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.57 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -38%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0f…c18cbacked Germany | 69c | 152.99$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.22 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54d5…77d4backed Germany | 67c | 150$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.5 | 59 | 74.6%44 W · 15 L | +8.1wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6f79…0307backed Germany | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 87 | 55.2%48 W · 39 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972f…65bdbacked Germany | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 151 | 57.6%87 W · 64 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb17…32b2backed Ghana | 34c | 146.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.84 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ce3bbacked Ghana | 37c | 145.95$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.95 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fe…ba40backed Germany | 66c | 145.06$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.74 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02f2…66e2backed Germany | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cae…fdc1backed Ghana | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.86 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x983c…dd56backed Germany | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Germany | 73c | 137.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 200 | 67.5%135 W · 65 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Ghana | 33c | 135.36$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.31 | 149 | 48.3%72 W · 77 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Ghana | 36c | 133.2$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.04 | 255 | 54.5%139 W · 116 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed Germany | 65c | 124.99$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.25 | 154 | 48.7%75 W · 79 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc84…2468backed Germany | 69c | 108.16$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.63 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ccc…dbcdbacked Germany | 50c | 101$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.5 | 75 | 32%24 W · 51 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e1c…a9a5backed Germany | 13c | 99.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 395 | 51.1%202 W · 193 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Germany | 65c | 99.96$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.97 | 504 | 50.2%253 W · 251 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Ghana | 36c | 97$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.08 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08e5…3c0abacked Germany | 58c | 92.85$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.85 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cff…15d1backed Germany | 60c | 90$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 112 | 42.9%48 W · 64 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x810d…6080backed Ghana | 40c | 84.6$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.54 | 175 | 53.7%94 W · 81 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5e…fd91backed Germany | 52c | 82.25$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.77 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7929…5d2cbacked Germany | 61c | 82.07$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf3…f535backed Germany | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 71cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe80f…b81bbacked Germany | 70c | 78.57$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 34 | 88.2%30 W · 4 L | +6.3wins | +0.18per pick | 70cpaid | +31%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5555…823bbacked Germany | 61c | 77.05$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +6.1wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc774…2777backed Germany | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -6.7wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…463dbacked Germany | 67c | 75.07$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 294 | 63.3%186 W · 108 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5617…38fcbacked Germany | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 97 | 55.7%54 W · 43 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2605…2b17backed Germany | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 39 | 74.4%29 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe96…4a6dbacked Germany | 68c | 71.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.26 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 73cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Germany | 70c | 70$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.3 | 97 | 59.8%58 W · 39 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Ghana | 36c | 69$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.16 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed Ghana | 36c | 69$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.16 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8c…31c3backed Ghana | 38c | 68.51$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.3 | 154 | 48.1%74 W · 80 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0fc…b74bbacked Ghana | 34c | 61.16$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.48 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2c…32bcbacked Germany | 69c | 59.38$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.97 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 69cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0115…ac79backed Germany | 68c | 58.6$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.01 | 95 | 63.2%60 W · 35 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6bb…288cbacked Ghana | 39c | 56.34$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…745dbacked Ghana | 36c | 56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.84 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Germany (-1.5)this page
- Germany vs. Ghana: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Germany vs. Ghana: O/U 1.5Over won
- Germany vs. Ghana: O/U 2.5Over won
- Germany vs. Ghana: O/U 3.5Under won
- Germany vs. Ghana: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Germany (-2.5)Ghana won
- Spread: Ghana (-1.5)Germany won
- Spread: Ghana (-2.5)Germany won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.