Fifa International · resolved market
Germany vs. Ghana: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x085913996f1ebc3a72d619f6ea5b829fc4d2ed869f899e7ec0901ce063755995
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $133,341
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $141,182
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $133,341 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x224a…d4bfbacked Over | 80c | 51,620$41,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,338.94 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 17c | 27,747$4,735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,735.07 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 16c | 24,195$3,932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,932 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 20c | 6,315$1,263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,263.02 | 831 | 53.3%443 W · 388 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 21c | 6,120$1,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,266 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc482…b505backed Under | 11c | 4,720$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.74 | 49 | 67.3%33 W · 16 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 17c | 3,735$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.93 | 508 | 50%254 W · 254 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 17c | 3,448$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.17 | 864 | 55.3%478 W · 386 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 15c | 3,283$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.32 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under | 15c | 3,241$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.6 | 219 | 53.4%117 W · 102 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…cea5backed Under | 15c | 2,607$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.97 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 20cpaid | -92.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Under | 11c | 1,956$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.3 | 246 | 53.3%131 W · 115 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4266…0e08backed Under | 11c | 1,919$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.74 | 91 | 7.7%7 W · 84 L | -9.8wins | -0.11per pick | 18cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1030…dd7abacked Under | 11c | 1,772$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.01 | 109 | 58.7%64 W · 45 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 9c | 1,635$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.12 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 80c | 1,556$1,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.2 | 104 | 38.5%40 W · 64 L | -6.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Under | 12c | 1,376$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.53 | 237 | 49.8%118 W · 119 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7333…ca16backed Under | 1c | 985.13$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.85 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 80c | 915$732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 16c | 798.43$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.91 | 237 | 51.1%121 W · 116 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 13c | 791.42$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.71 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under | 10c | 777.86$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.79 | 171 | 58.5%100 W · 71 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Under | 20c | 671.31$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.21 | 255 | 54.5%139 W · 116 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed Under | 20c | 619.99$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 128 | 53.9%69 W · 59 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc667…e68dbacked Under | 20c | 618.29$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.5 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 17c | 520.32$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.57 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 14c | 504.12$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.48 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf429…969ebacked Under | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 116 | 31.9%37 W · 79 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5625…6c2abacked Under | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6496…09d0backed Under | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7fa…f6dfbacked Over | 70c | 481.89$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.05 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1650…42f6backed Under | 11c | 462.91$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.92 | 71 | 22.5%16 W · 55 L | -8.2wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Under | 11c | 439.02$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.29 | 63 | 11.1%7 W · 56 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 10c | 352.92$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.29 | 371 | 44.5%165 W · 206 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 20c | 300$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 387 | 45%174 W · 213 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b14…5301backed Under | 21c | 283.19$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.09 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8c…31c3backed Under | 10c | 277.46$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.75 | 154 | 48.1%74 W · 80 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd49b…abffbacked Under | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -51%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0fc…b74bbacked Under | 19c | 203.72$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.05 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Under | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 260 | 47.3%123 W · 137 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 73c | 190.89$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.86 | 97 | 59.8%58 W · 39 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Under | 11c | 172.73$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a1e…5349backed Over | 80c | 172.66$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.72 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Under | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7be…908dbacked Under | 18c | 153.21$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.24 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Under | 21c | 152.97$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.65 | 84 | 56%47 W · 37 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Under | 11c | 139.84$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 201 | 56.2%113 W · 88 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade7…9d34backed Over | 78c | 139.61$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.68 | 222 | 58.6%130 W · 92 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb7f…0abbbacked Over | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Under | 21c | 118$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.09 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb659…48e5backed Under | 13c | 111$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.34 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e5…c638backed Under | 11c | 109.07$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.27 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +6.2wins | +0.14per pick | 37cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed Under | 16c | 105.77$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.38 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | +6.4wins | +0.12per pick | 20cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xedf1…5776backed Under | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26fc…c07cbacked Under | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6325…cfaabacked Over | 80c | 95$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 95 | 55.8%53 W · 42 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Under | 16c | 91.94$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.71 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +5.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc9…c555backed Under | 28c | 89.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab7…0409backed Under | 20c | 75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | -4.9wins | -0.15per pick | 30cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb567…4d4abacked Under | 15c | 70.12$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae02…7ed0backed Under | 20c | 63.3$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.66 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf13d…6b6ebacked Under | 16c | 62.81$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under | 20c | 60.95$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 637 | 45.4%289 W · 348 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd51…ce69backed Under | 24c | 57.78$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.66 | 233 | 55.4%129 W · 104 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed Under | 19c | 53.46$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -6.0wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Under | 21c | 51.9$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 195 | 40%78 W · 117 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf9…1646backed Over | 79c | 50.53$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.53 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 57cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9d…7d9ebacked Under | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee62…bc6abacked Under | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed Over | 69c | 49.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 93 | 47.3%44 W · 49 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed Over | 79c | 47.13$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 177 | 60.5%107 W · 70 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…a81bbacked Over | 80c | 23.7$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6951…e6e6backed Over | 78c | 22.26$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9a9…7876backed Over | 79c | 14.95$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.07 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Germany vs. Ghana: O/U 1.5this page
- Germany vs. Ghana: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Germany vs. Ghana: O/U 2.5Over won
- Germany vs. Ghana: O/U 3.5Under won
- Germany vs. Ghana: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Germany (-1.5)Ghana won
- Spread: Germany (-2.5)Ghana won
- Spread: Ghana (-1.5)Germany won
- Spread: Ghana (-2.5)Germany won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.