TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb567…4d4a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
187
Categories scored
21
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: NHL, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 57 out of 100; worst Ncaa Basketball at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT4332.6%14 W · 29 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-31%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 43 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$194
Spread: Spurs (-6.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$41.63
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$83
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$44.34
Spread: Thunder (-2.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$43.33
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+68.1%+$46.32
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.57
Spread: Rockets (-9.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+83.2%+$9.71
Spread: Celtics (-6.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.85
Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Heat (-18.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.78
Spread: Heat (-17.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.45
Spread: Spurs (-2.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.44
Spread: Celtics (-17.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$43.95
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.41
Spread: Thunder (-11.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.4
Spread: Hawks (-2.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+93.1%+$116.48
Spread: 76ers (-1.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$41.01
76ers vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+124.7%+$122.9
Spread: 76ers (-2.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+90.7%+$81.31
Warriors vs. Nuggetsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.37
Showing 25 of 43 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT3740.5%15 W · 22 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Lorenzo Musetti vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricardbacked Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.26
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Tomas Etcheverry vs Grigor Dimitrovbacked Grigor Dimitrov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.58
Miyazaki: Omar Jasika vs Yu-Hsiou Hsubacked Yu-Hsiou Hsu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+64.2%+$6.42
Bucharest Open: Gabi Boitan vs Elmer Moellerbacked Gabi Boitan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.32
Credit One Charleston Open: Eva Lys vs Katie Volynetsbacked Katie Volynets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+110.4%+$15.91
Grand Prix Hassan II: Karim Bennani vs Quentin Halysbacked Karim Bennani · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+438.3%+$68.64
Grand Prix Hassan II: Aleksandar Vukic vs Taha Baadibacked Taha Baadi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+162.6%+$18.81
Bucharest Open, Qualification: Billy Harris vs Alex Molcanbacked Billy Harris · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.82
Alicante: Sebastian Ofner vs Pablo Carreno Bustabacked Pablo Carreno Busta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+191.7%+$21.68
Miami Open: Tommy Paul vs Arthur Filsbacked Arthur Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+85%+$27.34
Alicante: Samuele Pieri vs Jesper de Jongbacked Samuele Pieri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.48
Dubrovnik: Anhelina Kalinina vs Lucia Bronzettibacked Lucia Bronzetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.79
Dubrovnik: Amarissa Kiara Toth vs Andrea Lazaro Garciabacked Andrea Lazaro Garcia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+29.3%+$3.53
Naples: Francesco Forti vs Vit Koprivabacked Francesco Forti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+72.2%+$7.58
Miami Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.39
Naples: Sumit Nagal vs Henri Squirebacked Henri Squire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.9
Miami Open: Moise Kouame vs Zachary Svajdabacked Zachary Svajda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Miami Open: Alycia Parks vs Sinja Krausbacked Alycia Parks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+44.6%+$5
Zadar: Martin Krumich vs Matej Dodigbacked Martin Krumich · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.79
Miami Open, Qualification: Yannick Hanfmann vs Luca Van Asschebacked Luca Van Assche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.35
Miami Open, Qualification: Kimberly Birrell vs Yue Yuanbacked Yue Yuan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.4
Miami Open, Qualification: Arthur Fery vs Yunchaokete Bubacked Arthur Fery · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+81.1%+$10.34
Zadar: Stefano Travaglia vs Mili Poljicakbacked Mili Poljicak · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.12
Murcia: Jesper de Jong vs Benjamin Hassanbacked Benjamin Hassan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.44
Miami Open, Qualification: Ignacio Buse vs Moez Echarguibacked Moez Echargui · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.33
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT2245.5%10 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Johnny Speeds (BO3) - Journey Playoffsbacked Johnny Speeds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.46
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Johnny Speeds - Map 1 Winnerbacked Johnny Speeds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+114.3%+$14.75
Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs Wildcard (BO1) - Roman Imperium Cup Group Abacked BESTIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+58.1%+$14.3
Counter-Strike: Rune Eaters vs CSDIILIT (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #19 Group Stagebacked CSDIILIT · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+45.3%+$6.8
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs BASEMENT BOYS (BO1) - BC Game Masters Championship Group Bbacked BASEMENT BOYS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+180.1%+$23.68
Counter-Strike: MINLATE vs megoshort - Map 2 Winnerbacked MINLATE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.55
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.71
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs FURIA - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+114.1%+$50.31
Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs UNO MILLE (BO3) - CCT South America Series #10 Playoffsbacked UNO MILLE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.16
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs FURIA - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+102.7%+$14.77
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs NIP (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Bbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+50.2%+$18.58
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs NIP - Map 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+71.8%+$30.37
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs NRG - Map 2 Winnerbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.19
Counter-Strike: K27 vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #18 Playoffsbacked Eternal Fire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Counter-Strike: aimclub vs HyperSpirit (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #2 Playoffsbacked aimclub · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.04
Counter-Strike: HEROIC Academy vs ex-Zero Tenacity - Map 2 Winnerbacked ex-Zero Tenacity · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+253.6%+$116.03
Counter-Strike: HEROIC Academy vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #2 Playoffsbacked HEROIC Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.27
Counter-Strike: CSDIILIT vs Bushido Wildcats - Map 1 Winnerbacked CSDIILIT · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.47
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs OG (BO1) - Roman Imperium Cup Group Dbacked BC.Game Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.73
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winnerbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: Bebop vs The Last Resort (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group Cbacked The Last Resort · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+54.7%+$7.56
All 22 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1735.3%6 W · 11 L-0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid+9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+104.9%+$31.48
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Spread: Canada (-1.5)backed Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$81.82
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Will Spain win on 2026-03-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+609%+$304.49
Will Italy win on 2026-03-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$22.79
Kosovo vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.49
Will Norway win on 2026-03-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$11.53
Will Germany win on 2026-03-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.59
Spread: Germany (-1.5)backed Ghana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+194.3%+$25.59
Germany vs. Ghana: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.65
Spread: Germany (-2.5)backed Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.08
Germany vs. Ghana: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.49
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-03-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.92
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-03-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.12
All 17 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT1520%3 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-52.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.06
Oklahoma Sooners vs. Baylor Bearsbacked Baylor Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.17
Baylor Bears vs. Minnesota Golden Gophersbacked Minnesota Golden Gophers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
Will Iowa State win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Virginia Cavaliers vs. Iowa Hawkeyes (W)backed Iowa Hawkeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.44
Saint Joseph's Hawks vs. Colorado State Ramsbacked Colorado State Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.68
UNLV Runnin' Rebels vs. UC Irvine Anteatersbacked UC Irvine Anteaters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.76
St. Thomas (MN) Tommies vs. Seattle Redhawksbacked St. Thomas (MN) Tommies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.33
North Carolina State Wolfpack vs. Texas Longhornsbacked North Carolina State Wolfpack · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.43
Howard Bison vs. UMBC Retrieversbacked Howard Bison · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+69.3%+$7.89
Iowa State Cyclones vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Iowa State Cyclones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.69
San Jose State Spartans vs. New Mexico Lobosbacked San Jose State Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.91
San Jose State Spartans vs. Boise State Broncosbacked San Jose State Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+214.8%+$42.82
Delaware State Hornets vs. Morgan State Bearsbacked Delaware State Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$26.28
St. Bonaventure Bonnies vs. La Salle Explorersbacked La Salle Explorers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.91
All 15 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.24per pick42cpaid+51%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
NHL — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-4.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-29%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+155.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-21.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+245.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.35per pick32cpaid+105.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Qingdao Eagles vs. Zhejiang Golden Bullsbacked Zhejiang Golden Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+327.1%+$34.12
Guangdong Southern Tigers vs. Xinjiang Flying Tigersbacked Xinjiang Flying Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.32
Zhejiang Golden Bulls vs. Zhejiang Lionsbacked Zhejiang Golden Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+90.7%+$30.83
All 3 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick16cpaid+33.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
West Bromwich Albion FC vs. Southampton FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+84.1%+$15.41
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Panathinaikós AO vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.72
Will AZ win on 2026-03-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+121.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Western Sydney Wanderers FC vs. Adelaide United FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+121.6%+$35.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 25, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+106.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Houston Astros vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+106.9%+$16.04
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+38.7%+$12.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Qingdao Hainiu FC win on 2026-03-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 1. FC Köln win on 2026-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.64
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.