Other European Leagues · resolved market
Kocaelispor vs. Konyaspor: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa751b164418d7d50550621b6132f17356859cd25513ba1c7dbd02afbdcd826d0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,461
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,461 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x631c…7bfebacked Over | 12c | 2,536$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.29 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Over | 17c | 1,259$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.97 | 109 | 20.2%22 W · 87 L | -7.8wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -38%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 20c | 841.65$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.5 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 19c | 559.81$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.31 | 435 | 46.7%203 W · 232 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 6c | 306.42$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.31 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 19c | 271.01$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.58 | 290 | 52.4%152 W · 138 L | +17.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba49…e8acbacked Over | 7c | 235.95$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.88 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +107.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf594…bfc1backed Over | 10c | 203.91$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…f3c4backed Over | 21c | 187$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.1 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 19c | 183.92$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.08 | 478 | 42.9%205 W · 273 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 20c | 152.83$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.57 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb567…4d4abacked Over | 9c | 123.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 16cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Over | 19c | 78.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x816e…2663backed Under | 28c | 60$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +57.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6894…59d8backed Under | 80c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 41 | 68.3%28 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 72cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 80c | 33.33$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kocaelispor vs. Konyaspor: O/U 3.5this page
- Kocaelispor vs. Konyaspor: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Kocaelispor vs. Konyaspor: O/U 1.5Over won
- Kocaelispor vs. Konyaspor: O/U 2.5Over won
- Kocaelispor vs. Konyaspor: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Kocaelispor (-1.5)Konyaspor won
- Spread: Konyaspor (-1.5)Kocaelispor won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.