Other European Leagues · resolved market
Kocaelispor vs. Konyaspor: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x625ea0520d078c666403c62f21ddb908e6ec3a1a66037b50eb2d8a6e44bb4262
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,884
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,884 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 75c | 4,883$3,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,644.52 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 16c | 2,000$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680 | 376 | 41.5%156 W · 220 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Over | 21c | 1,709$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,343.31 | 109 | 20.2%22 W · 87 L | -7.8wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -38%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d11…c449backed Over | 35c | 1,339$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870.35 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x631c…7bfebacked Over | 24c | 966.55$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.04 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Under | 60c | 350.69$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.41 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.58 | 178 | 50.6%90 W · 88 L | -8.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96b4…c2f1backed Over | 12c | 185$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.05 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x400e…374bbacked Over | 20c | 152.38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.38 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2a…a58dbacked Under | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4796…79fcbacked Under | 67c | 123.91$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.35 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 59c | 121.05$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.63 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee26…9dcabacked Over | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…402abacked Over | 14c | 100$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 167 | 25.7%43 W · 124 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf594…bfc1backed Over | 24c | 94.42$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.82 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9796…9032backed Over | 38c | 81.26$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.38 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Over | 38c | 78.95$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.95 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x993a…09fcbacked Over | 38c | 76.32$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.32 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +137.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9e…4c57backed Over | 21c | 71.77$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.77 | 77 | 23.4%18 W · 59 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 20c | 62.92$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.22 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb51f…b7dbbacked Under | 63c | 60$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf514…404cbacked Under | 64c | 54.69$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x874d…7fd8backed Over | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 62c | 52.09$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.3 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb567…4d4abacked Over | 25c | 47.71$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.81 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 16cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 38c | 46.43$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.79 | 435 | 46.7%203 W · 232 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…10c3backed Under | 64c | 38.19$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.44 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Under | 59c | 35.57$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.99 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7753…cf56backed Over | 36c | 35$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7569…1c0abacked Over | 35c | 34$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +188.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Under | 61c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe43a…3de9backed Over | 71c | 26.14$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 76c | 26.01$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 341 | 58.9%201 W · 140 L | +25.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 60c | 25.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 290 | 52.4%152 W · 138 L | +17.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1aaa…0c04backed Over | 42c | 24$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d61…96c5backed Under | 61c | 22.48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96bf…3d48backed Under | 75c | 16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x670f…a1b5backed Under | 78c | 12.97$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kocaelispor vs. Konyaspor: O/U 2.5this page
- Kocaelispor vs. Konyaspor: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Kocaelispor vs. Konyaspor: O/U 1.5Over won
- Kocaelispor vs. Konyaspor: O/U 3.5Under won
- Kocaelispor vs. Konyaspor: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Kocaelispor (-1.5)Konyaspor won
- Spread: Konyaspor (-1.5)Kocaelispor won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.