Fifa International · resolved market
Will Germany win on 2026-03-30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x73dd7a378849e6391305ac425d40af0865b6b71b394c78ccabfe2e25ed166114
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $934,723
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,075,789
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $934,723 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 345 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 16c | 54,480$8,743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,743.44 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 16c | 36,315$5,665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,665.09 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe87…6fc0backed No | 14c | 33,262$4,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,769.65 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked No | 13c | 31,249$4,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,055.58 | 52 | 28.8%15 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4108…9e22backed No | 16c | 23,125$3,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,700 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 15c | 20,836$3,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,052.3 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 17c | 18,786$3,227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,227.2 | 465 | 36.1%168 W · 297 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b7…7ffabacked No | 16c | 17,656$2,825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,825 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed No | 17c | 16,472$2,812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,812.03 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 17c | 15,424$2,618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,617.81 | 368 | 50.3%185 W · 183 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9273…fcf8backed No | 16c | 14,985$2,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,354.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 16c | 14,043$2,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,193.5 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…c667backed No | 15c | 9,274$1,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,361.29 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | +145.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…a844backed No | 0c | 8,910$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.01 | 63 | 14.3%9 W · 54 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -67%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 15c | 8,195$1,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,195.59 | 237 | 38.8%92 W · 145 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked No | 2c | 8,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 44 | 6.8%3 W · 41 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 28c | 7,973$2,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,218.89 | 740 | 34.1%252 W · 488 L | -36.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5db5…1a50backed Yes | 52c | 7,578$3,937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,641.05 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 20c | 6,551$1,337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,336.55 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked No | 16c | 6,248$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.6 | 187 | 38%71 W · 116 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35c8…90cbbacked No | 19c | 5,981$1,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,136.3 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 12c | 5,951$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692.32 | 508 | 50%254 W · 254 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed No | 13c | 5,912$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777.68 | 297 | 40.1%119 W · 178 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6cf…6bb8backed No | 15c | 5,285$813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$813.03 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd09…05b2backed No | 14c | 4,884$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.71 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x203b…acd1backed No | 17c | 4,872$828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$827.97 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked No | 17c | 4,689$808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$808.3 | 105 | 58.1%61 W · 44 L | +7.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed No | 17c | 4,333$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.92 | 83 | 57.8%48 W · 35 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +77.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf945…7eb1backed No | 13c | 4,249$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.37 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.28per pick | 15cpaid | +220.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 45c | 4,006$1,815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,815.38 | 420 | 43.1%181 W · 239 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked No | 14c | 3,866$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.27 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49fa…f904backed No | 31c | 3,731$1,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,174.85 | 53 | 18.9%10 W · 43 L | -6.2wins | -0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…e793backed No | 25c | 3,438$851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850.68 | 208 | 56.7%118 W · 90 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7fa…f6dfbacked Yes | 34c | 3,143$1,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,064.97 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked Yes | 70c | 2,955$2,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$878.82 | 175 | 69.1%121 W · 54 L | +14.4wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x85e8…474abacked No | 13c | 2,659$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.47 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 28c | 2,532$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703.43 | 450 | 39.6%178 W · 272 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 19c | 2,242$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.15 | 293 | 43%126 W · 167 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…5104backed Yes | 45c | 2,228$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,228.25 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 6c | 2,011$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.63 | 281 | 33.1%93 W · 188 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 16c | 2,010$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.09 | 550 | 45.1%248 W · 302 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked No | 17c | 2,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 78 | 59%46 W · 32 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46e6…d4cdbacked Yes | 61c | 1,859$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.56 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +17%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 16c | 1,830$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.8 | 259 | 54.8%142 W · 117 L | +17.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked No | 16c | 1,715$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.35 | 407 | 36.6%149 W · 258 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef20…c46abacked Yes | 80c | 1,703$1,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.71 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 17c | 1,687$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.76 | 1,001 | 53.9%540 W · 461 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x363e…ae45backed No | 11c | 1,564$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.51 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 16c | 1,488$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.99 | 214 | 44.9%96 W · 118 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 26c | 1,467$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.16 | 459 | 47.7%219 W · 240 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…d83abacked No | 12c | 1,292$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.02 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 17c | 1,258$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.15 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 80c | 1,249$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.44 | 157 | 63.7%100 W · 57 L | +16.2wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +16%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 47c | 1,237$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.33 | 363 | 49.3%179 W · 184 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 18c | 1,104$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.41 | 864 | 55.3%478 W · 386 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c89…526abacked Yes | 48c | 1,031$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.93 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…5471backed No | 12c | 1,008$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 147 | 32%47 W · 100 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0c…bcebbacked No | 14c | 999.98$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Yes | 40c | 998.14$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.73 | 269 | 49.1%132 W · 137 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked No | 15c | 982.26$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.83 | 227 | 31.7%72 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed Yes | 52c | 961.31$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.81 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed No | 17c | 871.98$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.41 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed No | 16c | 871.13$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.7 | 149 | 48.3%72 W · 77 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 78c | 863.29$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.88 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked No | 18c | 849.54$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.54 | 1,045 | 29.3%306 W · 739 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16dd…adf5backed No | 15c | 841.61$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.11 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d2…a1cdbacked No | 16c | 837.14$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.62 | 217 | 59%128 W · 89 L | +13.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1030…dd7abacked No | 15c | 836.97$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.35 | 109 | 58.7%64 W · 45 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed No | 18c | 833.33$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed No | 24c | 800.89$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.66 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +4.6wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x33c0…aa70backed No | 15c | 799.98$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…6a3dbacked No | 14c | 799.07$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.87 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6598…5f36backed No | 20c | 750$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed No | 14c | 732.28$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.2 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…463dbacked Yes | 59c | 715.05$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.05 | 294 | 63.3%186 W · 108 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked No | 15c | 699.98$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 219 | 57.5%126 W · 93 L | +14.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 12c | 691.86$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.66 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 76c | 687.95$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.73 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 15c | 676.32$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.05 | 237 | 51.1%121 W · 116 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 53c | 661.63$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.63 | 225 | 51.6%116 W · 109 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62ff…5058backed Yes | 49c | 661.59$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.58 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbff4…b609backed Yes | 39c | 657.49$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.46 | 151 | 40.4%61 W · 90 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed No | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed No | 14c | 623.74$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.85 | 246 | 53.3%131 W · 115 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked No | 16c | 602.8$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.03 | 201 | 56.2%113 W · 88 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed No | 15c | 600.21$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.69 | 255 | 54.5%139 W · 116 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d56…a287backed No | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Yes | 50c | 578.98$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.49 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24f1…537cbacked Yes | 53c | 567.74$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.74 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5676…7da7backed No | 15c | 547.01$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.22 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf69c…44dbbacked Yes | 56c | 532.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.24 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Yes | 80c | 526.45$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.29 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5392…d2ecbacked Yes | 38c | 526.29$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.29 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 19c | 518.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.76 | 371 | 44.5%165 W · 206 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf69b…a6ddbacked No | 20c | 510.82$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.3 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc57…f5f4backed Yes | 79c | 506.33$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.33 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked No | 8c | 500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 549 | 17.9%98 W · 451 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6796…453fbacked Yes | 65c | 499.54$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.49 | 107 | 42.1%45 W · 62 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bab…50aabacked No | 60c | 498.54$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301 | 167 | 53.9%90 W · 77 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed No | 16c | 493.71$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.69 | 436 | 53.7%234 W · 202 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Germany win on 2026-03-30?this page
- Will Germany vs. Ghana end in a draw?No won
- Will Ghana win on 2026-03-30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.