Fifa International · resolved market
Will Germany vs. Ghana end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xebd31dc963fa3f83464b4efb4d1e415b752e31e2203f99e757098881db65a5a1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $89,744
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $83,535
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $89,744 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 135 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Yes | 9c | 9,898$869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$868.56 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 80c | 4,988$3,966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,021.5 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 10c | 4,695$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.9 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9186…fad1backed Yes | 14c | 3,504$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b57…71d6backed Yes | 10c | 2,100$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 8cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 76c | 1,965$1,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.25 | 450 | 39.6%178 W · 272 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46e6…d4cdbacked No | 68c | 1,909$1,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.96 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +17%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6cf…6bb8backed Yes | 10c | 1,749$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.51 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 77c | 1,717$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.95 | 459 | 47.7%219 W · 240 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 12c | 1,567$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.71 | 465 | 36.1%168 W · 297 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5104…a114backed Yes | 10c | 1,500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 65 | 35.4%23 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 55c | 1,481$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.27 | 293 | 43%126 W · 167 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 68c | 1,465$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.93 | 420 | 43.1%181 W · 239 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49fa…f904backed Yes | 47c | 1,412$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663.65 | 53 | 18.9%10 W · 43 L | -6.2wins | -0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6996…cf9abacked Yes | 2c | 1,127$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.02 | 127 | 29.9%38 W · 89 L | +7.3wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x348a…9c6bbacked Yes | 30c | 1,117$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.49 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Yes | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 63 | 11.1%7 W · 56 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…39e7backed Yes | 7c | 931.72$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +3.8wins | +0.21per pick | 23cpaid | +62.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef2…79f9backed Yes | 60c | 882.45$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 7c | 881$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.55 | 112 | 21.4%24 W · 88 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde31…304cbacked Yes | 5c | 806$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9869…1a45backed Yes | 10c | 782.9$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.29 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc5…28a8backed Yes | 13c | 766.51$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 56c | 703.7$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.77 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e88…df66backed Yes | 44c | 687.81$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 110 | 29.1%32 W · 78 L | -6.7wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed Yes | 15c | 630$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.18 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…bf20backed Yes | 41c | 595.71$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.95 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…ed6abacked Yes | 33c | 560$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.81 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf945…7eb1backed Yes | 9c | 519.28$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.74 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.28per pick | 15cpaid | +220.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -4.6wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 549 | 17.9%98 W · 451 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e14…82a5backed Yes | 10c | 487.68$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1430…a753backed Yes | 9c | 484.5$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.61 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x471c…3b43backed Yes | 44c | 456.69$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01d7…5fd2backed Yes | 53c | 454.62$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.95 | 73 | 63%46 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca0d…2602backed Yes | 10c | 439.54$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.95 | 114 | 50%57 W · 57 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…8e1dbacked Yes | 10c | 400$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +107.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Yes | 51c | 378.43$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193 | 279 | 51.6%144 W · 135 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x503a…860abacked Yes | 8c | 375$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | +8.7wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Yes | 10c | 360$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 245 | 37.1%91 W · 154 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d6…bdc2backed Yes | 49c | 357$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.08 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d6d…6b36backed Yes | 51c | 356.51$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.37 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaed4…09afbacked Yes | 3c | 350.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed Yes | 65c | 337$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.75 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked No | 68c | 301.49$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.65 | 227 | 31.7%72 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…1821backed Yes | 5c | 298.31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 30cpaid | +61.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes | 21c | 289$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.65 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68bf…459fbacked Yes | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 78 | 24.4%19 W · 59 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5daa…df63backed Yes | 8c | 256.64$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.51 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a24…98a7backed Yes | 9c | 250$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 56c | 247.73$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.1 | 163 | 41.1%67 W · 96 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 11c | 246.8$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.82 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0592…49aabacked No | 46c | 220$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Yes | 30c | 214$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.15 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed Yes | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.98 | 154 | 48.7%75 W · 79 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4078…a7f7backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 514 | 29.4%151 W · 363 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…f012backed Yes | 52c | 197.95$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.1 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70af…5847backed Yes | 52c | 194$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.88 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +4.2wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…cea5backed Yes | 6c | 193.69$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 20cpaid | -92.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…2b3abacked Yes | 65c | 192.31$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc58c…8b7fbacked Yes | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked No | 57c | 183.08$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.55 | 464 | 45.5%211 W · 253 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…c249backed Yes | 57c | 175.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x806c…4b08backed Yes | 12c | 173.88$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 45c | 172.36$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.8 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc667…e68dbacked Yes | 14c | 156.13$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.76 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a1e…21a1backed Yes | 60c | 154.53$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.72 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43ba…6f8abacked Yes | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 40 | 22.5%9 W · 31 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c0…dadabacked Yes | 56c | 151.13$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.1 | 112 | 30.4%34 W · 78 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c29…87dcbacked Yes | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 14c | 149$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.46 | 396 | 21%83 W · 313 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc37…fa31backed Yes | 7c | 145.16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked No | 56c | 142.84$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.73 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…1639backed Yes | 50c | 141.13$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 47 | 27.7%13 W · 34 L | -5.2wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Yes | 32c | 125$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 260 | 47.3%123 W · 137 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc1…580fbacked Yes | 9c | 124.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +8.6wins | +0.15per pick | 34cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked Yes | 40c | 123.61$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed No | 44c | 122.8$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.21 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +4.6wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa427…f87fbacked Yes | 10c | 116.52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.17 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49d…91a8backed No | 47c | 112.78$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.53 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…535dbacked Yes | 10c | 110$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 273 | 27.5%75 W · 198 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7609…4094backed Yes | 66c | 101.97$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 198 | 59.6%118 W · 80 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x807f…9659backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 261 | 46%120 W · 141 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…0220backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 88 | 36.4%32 W · 56 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc551…cec1backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 105 | 24.8%26 W · 79 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x612e…8427backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x741c…bf80backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.17per pick | 23cpaid | -82%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe828…82d1backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9e…f40abacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d37…aa73backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Yes | 14c | 99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.61 | 202 | 50%101 W · 101 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99cb…f629backed Yes | 60c | 98.33$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a05…8573backed Yes | 18c | 96.33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe14a…7bafbacked Yes | 50c | 96$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 67c | 89.87$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.22 | 277 | 45.1%125 W · 152 L | -19.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9787…37dfbacked Yes | 59c | 85.02$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +4.2wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 51c | 83.1$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.38 | 178 | 51.1%91 W · 87 L | -8.1wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 53c | 79.31$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.64 | 864 | 55.3%478 W · 386 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Germany vs. Ghana end in a draw?this page
- Will Germany win on 2026-03-30?Yes won
- Will Ghana win on 2026-03-30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.