TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9dc1…580f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
96
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 62 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 62 out of 100; worst Commodities at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT5749.1%28 W · 29 L+8.6wins+0.15per pick34cpaid+15.3%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 57 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$1,116Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,116.29
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$983Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+491.6%+$4,832.59
Will a player representing France be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+343.3%+$78.96
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+291.5%+$331.86
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$367Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$366.72
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+150%+$306.41
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$154
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$998Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$997.54
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$16.68
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.41
Will Argentina reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+64.7%+$79.55
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.95
Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.41
Will France reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$25.85
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$5,356Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,355.56
Will Bruno Fernandes be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.6
Portugal vs. Spain: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$342Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$342.36
Portugal vs. Spain: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$318Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$317.8
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$227Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$226.9
Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 57 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT156.7%1 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick14cpaid+15.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Stuttgart Open: Nick Kyrgios vs Corentin Moutetbacked Corentin Moutet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+1,632.7%+$1,096.05
Will Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.52
Will Jakub Mensik win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
Will Felix Auger Aliassime win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Will Rafael Jodar win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Alexander Zverevbacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
Will Casper Ruud win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.62
Will Alex De Minaur win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.22
Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$130.26
Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 15 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick28cpaid-76%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Commodities — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.37per pick30cpaid+118.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.44per pick22cpaid+376.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Ciryl Gane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$25.03
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump say "Fentanyl" during events with Xi Jinping?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$38.57
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bucheon FC 1995 vs. Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+25.7%+$3.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Burnley FC win on 2026-05-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.