Asian League · resolved market
Will Bucheon FC 1995 vs. Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xea9e8bcd5845e56a230914dd1d04837ab725ee7f898daf3fbcebe81af7171ddf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,342
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,344
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,342 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8414…2ddebacked No | 70c | 2,242$1,563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,563.29 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 27c | 1,384$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,011.53 | 1,707 | 50.6%863 W · 844 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0c…5292backed Yes | 24c | 630.1$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.8 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46f0…fe05backed Yes | 65c | 617$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed No | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 162 | 50.6%82 W · 80 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked No | 51c | 493.9$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.11 | 119 | 31.9%38 W · 81 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed No | 73c | 486.48$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.13 | 151 | 50.3%76 W · 75 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 63c | 469.92$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.16 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02f7…dd8fbacked Yes | 28c | 413.36$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.62 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 72c | 405.88$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.23 | 399 | 54.6%218 W · 181 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Yes | 80c | 400$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 90 | 41.1%37 W · 53 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 73c | 400$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292 | 210 | 52.4%110 W · 100 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Yes | 28c | 361.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.57 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd55…c9bfbacked Yes | 29c | 350.53$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.53 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +6.9wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +42%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 69c | 349.23$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.91 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6479…5e64backed Yes | 45c | 302.24$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.79 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed No | 73c | 300$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219 | 161 | 52.2%84 W · 77 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 12c | 230.93$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.48 | 242 | 47.9%116 W · 126 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 18c | 225$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.5 | 1,053 | 41.9%441 W · 612 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 72c | 194.29$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.89 | 2,467 | 40.3%993 W · 1,474 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 59c | 183.55$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.72 | 1,022 | 41.5%424 W · 598 L | -33.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cae…fdc1backed Yes | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.57 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked No | 73c | 156$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.88 | 182 | 56%102 W · 80 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 72c | 154.56$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.78 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…4057backed No | 53c | 149.99$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.5 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 47c | 146$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.58 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d16…4e1fbacked Yes | 71c | 141.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.41 | 19 | 89.5%17 W · 2 L | +3.3wins | +0.17per pick | 72cpaid | +21%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 52c | 137.84$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.94 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…8b3cbacked No | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 126 | 60.3%76 W · 50 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad6…a93cbacked Yes | 66c | 136.09$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.27 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed No | 11c | 111.35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 184 | 42.4%78 W · 106 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fab…9db1backed Yes | 28c | 107.14$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.14 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | +7.1wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4216…b40cbacked Yes | 47c | 103.66$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 32c | 103.57$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.27 | 230 | 52.6%121 W · 109 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24a3…7c66backed No | 34c | 102.94$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd83c…6b83backed Yes | 39c | 102.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.56 | 63 | 34.9%22 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 340 | 50.9%173 W · 167 L | +19.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbad…4f53backed Yes | 31c | 96.92$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.92 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9950…1432backed Yes | 28c | 96.43$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.43 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No | 18c | 96$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.91 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 36c | 88.15$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.64 | 149 | 42.3%63 W · 86 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed No | 73c | 84$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.32 | 115 | 57.4%66 W · 49 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked No | 73c | 80$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.4 | 179 | 53.6%96 W · 83 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 13c | 77.13$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 582 | 43%250 W · 332 L | -26.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 77c | 72.06$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.48 | 1,214 | 50.2%610 W · 604 L | +12.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 29c | 71$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 217 | 54.4%118 W · 99 L | +10.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked No | 34c | 70.66$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.15 | 374 | 59.1%221 W · 153 L | +11.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…a844backed No | 59c | 68.44$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.34 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Yes | 27c | 67.86$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.54 | 186 | 47.3%88 W · 98 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x765d…2e22backed Yes | 68c | 66.21$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.39 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 71cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 73c | 60.63$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.26 | 543 | 54.9%298 W · 245 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa9e…2264backed No | 73c | 59.45$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.4 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 46c | 53.14$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.37 | 464 | 22.6%105 W · 359 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 25c | 47.62$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.57 | 272 | 51.1%139 W · 133 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f9…92e3backed No | 74c | 43.5$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.19 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa67…d948backed No | 74c | 43.5$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.19 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3746…a99fbacked Yes | 52c | 34$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.49 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1e…a29ebacked Yes | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac03…f019backed Yes | 78c | 25.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.62 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Yes | 73c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 136 | 55.9%76 W · 60 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c91…af73backed No | 74c | 24$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe022…7d0fbacked Yes | 56c | 20.72$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.22 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +3.3wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1833…1e48backed No | 79c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc1…580fbacked Yes | 80c | 18.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 72c | 18.19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 165 | 61.2%101 W · 64 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf1…b023backed Yes | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bucheon FC 1995 vs. Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Bucheon FC 1995 win on 2026-05-13?No won
- Will Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC win on 2026-05-13?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.