TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xfa67…d948

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
139
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Lol, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 56 out of 100; worst Mls at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lollast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT10470.2%73 W · 31 L+7.1wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+10.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 104 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth - Game 4 Winnerbacked Kiwoom DRX Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+62%+$13.96
LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth - Game 1 Winnerbacked BNK FearX Youth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.11
LoL: GIANTX vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+59.3%+$15.03
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Fnatic - Game 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+25%+$2.72
LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers - Game 1 Winnerbacked BNK FearX Youth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+34%+$5.16
LoL: Disguised vs Sentinels - Game 2 Winnerbacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+39%+$6.86
LoL: RED Canids vs Fluxo W7M - Game 2 Winnerbacked RED Canids · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$7.08
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$5.92
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+44.1%+$8.29
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.73
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+33%+$4.48
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs GAM Esports - Game 4 Winnerbacked GAM Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.21
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+25%+$3.04
LoL: HANJIN BRION Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Trial Groupbacked HANJIN BRION Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.77
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs DN SOOPers - Game 1 Winnerbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+45.9%+$5.64
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs DN SOOPers - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.22
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs DN SOOPers - Game 1 Winnerbacked DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+37.5%+$8.72
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 1 Winnerbacked KT Rolster Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+55.6%+$8.65
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 2 Winnerbacked KT Rolster Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+47.6%+$9.36
LoL: LYON vs Sentinels (BO3) - LCS Regular Seasonbacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+96.6%+$9.73
LoL: FlyQuest vs Cloud9 - Game 2 Winnerbacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+74.2%+$13.95
LoL: FlyQuest vs Cloud9 - Game 1 Winnerbacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+55.9%+$7.41
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.11
LoL: FURIA Esports vs RED Canids (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Seasonbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+37.8%+$5.01
LoL: SK Gaming vs Fnatic - Game 1 Winnerbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+44.1%+$4.47
Showing 25 of 104 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elche CF vs. Getafe CF end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$4.95
Will Elche CF win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.26
Real Oviedo vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.2
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-05-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$38.7
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-05-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$43.2
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-05-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.5
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$10.89
Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-05-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$34.2
CA Osasuna vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.3
RC Celta de Vigo vs. Levante UD: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.4
All 10 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-28.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Mls — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Seattle Sounders FC win on 2026-05-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.6
Will Real Salt Lake win on 2026-05-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.8
Spread: Seattle Sounders FC (-1.5)backed San Jose Earthquakes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$13.95
Seattle Sounders FC vs. San Jose Earthquakes: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.65
FC Dallas vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$28.35
Sporting Kansas City vs. Los Angeles Galaxy: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.2
Will Los Angeles FC win on 2026-05-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$17.55
CF Montréal vs. Portland Timbers: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
New England Revolution vs. Nashville SC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$12.6
New England Revolution vs. Nashville SC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.95
All 10 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+33.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+17.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.78
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.