Asian League · resolved market
Will FC Machida Zelvia win on 2026-05-13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa3c2b2043aa859d0ff0efb1478f84f10453925934160cfd45ee03fb4ca669040
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $65,527
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $66,034
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,527 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 132 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x83d2…d196backed Yes | 52c | 14,627$7,564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,564.2 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 49c | 7,949$3,895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,053.93 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3102…187cbacked Yes | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,549.96 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -4.1wins | -0.21per pick | 56cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 51c | 3,825$1,958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,866.71 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 49c | 3,382$1,642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,739.93 | 399 | 54.6%218 W · 181 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1103…bb2fbacked Yes | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 65c | 2,044$1,321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.72 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 48c | 1,600$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832 | 183 | 53%97 W · 86 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked No | 48c | 1,200$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624 | 120 | 50%60 W · 60 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb184…b6c6backed Yes | 25c | 1,144$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -4.2wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked No | 53c | 1,111$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.61 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf33e…0ab8backed No | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08c4…e6a5backed Yes | 51c | 981.04$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 57c | 838.53$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.44 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 47c | 765.8$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.36 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed No | 48c | 700$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364 | 131 | 54.2%71 W · 60 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f0b…027fbacked Yes | 44c | 681.82$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed No | 48c | 600$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 172 | 47.1%81 W · 91 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed No | 48c | 592$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.84 | 168 | 56%94 W · 74 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Yes | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc283…b876backed Yes | 53c | 557.44$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.44 | 83 | 18.1%15 W · 68 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed No | 49c | 555.93$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.52 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 48c | 519.91$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.27 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed No | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 153 | 49.7%76 W · 77 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Yes | 51c | 490.2$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59b4…73e0backed Yes | 42c | 464.29$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 64c | 452$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.34 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 48c | 442.29$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.98 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…cfb1backed Yes | 53c | 400$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 48c | 400$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208 | 211 | 52.1%110 W · 101 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed No | 48c | 400$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208 | 144 | 53.5%77 W · 67 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 49c | 332$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.73 | 531 | 48.8%259 W · 272 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8488…588cbacked Yes | 51c | 329$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.79 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -4.2wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 47c | 325.58$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.49 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b6…e762backed Yes | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No | 48c | 300$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 154 | 54.5%84 W · 70 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed No | 48c | 300$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 161 | 52.2%84 W · 77 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 48c | 265$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.85 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 48c | 265$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.85 | 1,117 | 46.2%516 W · 601 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd52c…6c59backed Yes | 50c | 264.96$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.48 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 51c | 262.6$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.36 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed No | 48c | 260$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.2 | 150 | 50.7%76 W · 74 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No | 48c | 260$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.2 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed No | 50c | 230$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 201 | 38.3%77 W · 124 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdba4…1528backed Yes | 42c | 226.1$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.96 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked No | 49c | 214.65$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.47 | 198 | 56.1%111 W · 87 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a66…ae5ebacked No | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked No | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 125 | 50.4%63 W · 62 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ced…9753backed Yes | 44c | 201.35$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.05 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Yes | 51c | 196.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 110 | 30.9%34 W · 76 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Yes | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 174 | 40.2%70 W · 104 L | -12.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x49ab…a1bfbacked Yes | 18c | 187.63$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.65 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1234…3bb3backed Yes | 51c | 179.75$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.67 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed No | 48c | 160$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.2 | 126 | 52.4%66 W · 60 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 49c | 156.92$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.03 | 478 | 60.3%288 W · 190 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked No | 48c | 156$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.12 | 182 | 56%102 W · 80 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked No | 48c | 156$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.12 | 149 | 53.7%80 W · 69 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 49c | 151.25$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.64 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed No | 47c | 139.91$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.66 | 177 | 57.6%102 W · 75 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed No | 47c | 139.34$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.85 | 138 | 49.3%68 W · 70 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb475…978cbacked Yes | 41c | 125$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.25 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +7.6wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +87.6%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed Yes | 51c | 123.73$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.1 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes | 36c | 122.02$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.39 | 67 | 29.9%20 W · 47 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 38c | 121$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.43 | 361 | 42.4%153 W · 208 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Yes | 33c | 120.48$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 263 | 48.7%128 W · 135 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 17c | 119.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 285 | 32.3%92 W · 193 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bff…c8a8backed Yes | 31c | 112.75$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 52c | 105.89$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.85 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed No | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +6.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d18…6f62backed Yes | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.29per pick | 57cpaid | +54%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…4057backed No | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7f…4c60backed No | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed No | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 161 | 54.7%88 W · 73 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed No | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 129 | 51.9%67 W · 62 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 49c | 99.99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 48c | 99.99$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 237 | 55.3%131 W · 106 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 48c | 99.62$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.8 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda39…1865backed Yes | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…2e02backed Yes | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 134 | 63.4%85 W · 49 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4c…ad2fbacked Yes | 53c | 90.91$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.18 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Yes | 37c | 89.19$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 103 | 44.7%46 W · 57 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dec…3302backed Yes | 55c | 88.81$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 28c | 85.71$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 334 | 52.7%176 W · 158 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed No | 47c | 85$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.05 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…c38cbacked No | 48c | 85$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.2 | 116 | 50%58 W · 58 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed No | 48c | 80$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.6 | 162 | 55.6%90 W · 72 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked No | 48c | 80$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.6 | 179 | 53.6%96 W · 83 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa494…4a1fbacked No | 48c | 80$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.6 | 101 | 56.4%57 W · 44 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…4b77backed No | 48c | 64$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.28 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked No | 47c | 64$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.92 | 143 | 51.7%74 W · 69 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5362…d242backed Yes | 42c | 61.9$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -28%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x106f…b8eebacked No | 49c | 59.87$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.53 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -32%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 25c | 59.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0504…3799backed Yes | 51c | 59.4$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked No | 49c | 58.76$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.82 | 162 | 52.5%85 W · 77 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…7eedbacked Yes | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…a844backed No | 56c | 56.9$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.99 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc83…e37bbacked No | 61c | 54.08$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3746…a99fbacked No | 66c | 52.78$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.75 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a7…40f7backed No | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Machida Zelvia win on 2026-05-13?this page
- Will FC Machida Zelvia vs. Tōkyō Verdy end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Tōkyō Verdy win on 2026-05-13?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.