Asian League · resolved market
Will Tōkyō Verdy win on 2026-05-13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeead5b626691e9acc5ab3e522779c80c596453d3a2ce379f84ab00554f77968b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,063
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,158
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,063 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2e5a…0122backed Yes | 20c | 7,500$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 18c | 1,706$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.17 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 7c | 1,178$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.45 | 285 | 32.3%92 W · 193 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes | 19c | 597.13$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.49 | 67 | 29.9%20 W · 47 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 14c | 564.89$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.05 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 80c | 459.68$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.94 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 14c | 317.76$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.13 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Yes | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 226 | 42.5%96 W · 130 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7841…7273backed Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1104…0a11backed Yes | 9c | 244.44$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -31%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c7…1942backed Yes | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 82 | 14.6%12 W · 70 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa4…3409backed Yes | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed Yes | 19c | 131.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 188 | 38.8%73 W · 115 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6479…5e64backed Yes | 20c | 127$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd868…7f60backed Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 74 | 9.5%7 W · 67 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…3d84backed Yes | 20c | 86.11$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 176 | 30.1%53 W · 123 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked Yes | 24c | 76.46$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 147 | 45.6%67 W · 80 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 76c | 61.46$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.75 | 139 | 56.1%78 W · 61 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc73a…105cbacked Yes | 18c | 59.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 18c | 58.22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a1…ea66backed Yes | 19c | 57.53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.93 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 80c | 55$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 405 | 50.6%205 W · 200 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed No | 80c | 21$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 115 | 57.4%66 W · 49 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xced7…b7b5backed No | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked No | 79c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.57 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | -6.1wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Tōkyō Verdy win on 2026-05-13?this page
- Will FC Machida Zelvia vs. Tōkyō Verdy end in a draw?Yes won
- Will FC Machida Zelvia win on 2026-05-13?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.