TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc73a…105c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
140
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Cricket, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Cricket at 53 out of 100; worst Tennis at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT9154.9%50 W · 41 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 91 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Texas Rangers vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Chicago White Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
San Diego Padres vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
KBO: Doosan Bears vs. NC Dinosbacked Doosan Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$9.6
Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangersbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$9.4
KBO: NC Dinos vs. Hanwha Eaglesbacked NC Dinos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
KBO: LG Twins vs. Samsung Lionsbacked LG Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
KBO: Kia Tigers vs. Lotte Giantsbacked Kia Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$9.2
Boston Red Sox vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Atlanta Braves vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
KBO: Kia Tigers vs. Lotte Giantsbacked Kia Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.2
Chicago Cubs vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
KBO: LG Twins vs. Samsung Lionsbacked Samsung Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
New York Mets vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.6
Houston Astros vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$9.4
San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.6
KBO: Samsung Lions vs. SSG Landersbacked Samsung Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$9
KBO: Doosan Bears vs. Kiwoom Heroesbacked Doosan Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$8.6
KBO: NC Dinos vs. Kia Tigersbacked NC Dinos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$8.4
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$8.6
Showing 25 of 91 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT3548.6%17 W · 18 L-4.0wins-0.11per pick60cpaid-19.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Tennis — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wimbledon ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Novak Djokovicbacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$8
Wimbledon WTA: Jasmine Paolini vs Alexandra Ealabacked Alexandra Eala · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.6
Wimbledon ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alexander Bublikbacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Wimbledon WTA: Sorana Cirstea vs Linda Noskovabacked Linda Noskova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$7.2
Wimbledon ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Grigor Dimitrovbacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.2
Wimbledon ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Arthur Filsbacked Arthur Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.8
Wimbledon ATP: Zachary Svajda vs Kamil Majchrzakbacked Kamil Majchrzak · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Wimbledon ATP: Arthur Fery vs Otto Virtanenbacked Otto Virtanen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Wimbledon ATP: Arthur Rinderknech vs Martin Dammbacked Arthur Rinderknech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$8.8
Wimbledon ATP: Mariano Navone vs Flavio Cobollibacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$5.2
Wimbledon ATP: Stan Wawrinka vs Matteo Berrettinibacked Matteo Berrettini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+37%+$5.4
Wimbledon ATP: Kamil Majchrzak vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Kamil Majchrzak · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$7
Wimbledon ATP: Adolfo Vallejo vs Nicolas Mejiabacked Adolfo Vallejo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.2
Wimbledon ATP: Soon-Woo Kwon vs Martin Landalucebacked Martin Landaluce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.6
Wimbledon ATP: Hugo Gaston vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Stefanos Tsitsipas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$7.2
Wimbledon ATP: Michael Zheng vs Cameron Norriebacked Cameron Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Wimbledon ATP: Luca Van Assche vs Marton Fucsovicsbacked Marton Fucsovics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$7.2
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Vilius Gaubas vs Dusan Lajovicbacked Dusan Lajovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
Bad Homburg Open: Emma Navarro vs Gabriela Rusebacked Emma Navarro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.2
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Dane Sweeny vs Tomas Barriosbacked Tomas Barrios · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.8
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Clement Tabur vs Shintaro Mochizukibacked Shintaro Mochizuki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$9.4
Bad Homburg Open: Iga Swiatek vs Emma Navarrobacked Iga Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.2
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Jerome Kym vs August Holmgrenbacked Jerome Kym · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Paul Jubb vs Tomas Barriosbacked Tomas Barrios · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$9.2
Bad Homburg Open: Anna Kalinskaya vs Gabriela Rusebacked Anna Kalinskaya · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.6
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+13.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+40.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Cricket — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
AHL: Toronto Marlies vs. Chicago Wolvesbacked Chicago Wolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
AHL: Colorado Eagles vs. Coachella Valley Firebirdsbacked Coachella Valley Firebirds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$19.08
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tōkyō Verdy win on 2026-05-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.8
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.