Cricket · resolved market
T20 Blast: Northamptonshire vs Gloucestershire
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc78a4025cf3f7a7e45ca8c72861a3d16a20a3eb48cd35f58e2a7d6478baea697
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Northamptonshireof Northamptonshire, Gloucestershire
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,209
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,164
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,209 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Gloucestershire | 15c | 1,169$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172 | 569 | 37.1%211 W · 358 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Gloucestershire | 31c | 839$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.39 | 438 | 40.9%179 W · 259 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Gloucestershire | 16c | 700.29$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.88 | 296 | 31.1%92 W · 204 L | -16.9wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Gloucestershire | 14c | 440$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.42 | 505 | 47.5%240 W · 265 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01af…7bc2backed Northamptonshire | 78c | 400.13$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.03 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbad4…f62bbacked Gloucestershire | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 117 | 41%48 W · 69 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Gloucestershire | 12c | 243.26$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.08 | 199 | 50.8%101 W · 98 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x675f…aa0bbacked Gloucestershire | 40c | 215.1$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.04 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce2…d48cbacked Gloucestershire | 45c | 208.91$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.44 | 187 | 45.5%85 W · 102 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Northamptonshire | 75c | 161.28$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.14 | 641 | 43.1%276 W · 365 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…a6edbacked Gloucestershire | 9c | 137.19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 58 | 22.4%13 W · 45 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Northamptonshire | 75c | 124.92$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.98 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -7.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Northamptonshire | 66c | 110.02$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.34 | 419 | 47.5%199 W · 220 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5885…87d2backed Northamptonshire | 73c | 102.16$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.16 | 27 | 77.8%21 W · 6 L | +4.2wins | +0.15per pick | 62cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Northamptonshire | 75c | 81.59$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.48 | 249 | 40.6%101 W · 148 L | -15.6wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa99…9459backed Northamptonshire | 76c | 80.79$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.79 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Northamptonshire | 58c | 77.3$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.12 | 492 | 47.2%232 W · 260 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Northamptonshire | 56c | 65.61$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.61 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Northamptonshire | 80c | 60.02$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 310 | 50%155 W · 155 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29ef…7dfbbacked Gloucestershire | 28c | 48.79$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.66 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3101…e57fbacked Northamptonshire | 50c | 46.35$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +6.4wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed Northamptonshire | 61c | 46$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.94 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +5.9wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…3ccbbacked Northamptonshire | 61c | 46$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.94 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +3.3wins | +0.36per pick | 53cpaid | +82.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Northamptonshire | 61c | 46$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.94 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +6.0wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Northamptonshire | 61c | 46$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.94 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +8.3wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Gloucestershire | 25c | 44.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.19 | 159 | 36.5%58 W · 101 L | -12.5wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Northamptonshire | 76c | 36.09$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.79 | 271 | 41.3%112 W · 159 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd93d…27a0backed Northamptonshire | 60c | 35.27$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.97 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Northamptonshire | 55c | 33.75$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.21 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Northamptonshire | 68c | 24.92$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Gloucestershire | 45c | 22.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 258 | 48.4%125 W · 133 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a2…8ff7backed Northamptonshire | 59c | 20.34$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.34 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +28%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc73a…105cbacked Northamptonshire | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Northamptonshire | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 159 | 66%105 W · 54 L | +16.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Northamptonshire | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 182 | 57.1%104 W · 78 L | +11.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Northamptonshire | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.