MLB · resolved market
Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa98798a481edca3faff72725e220fceda3e114cef78d8b357c7603d5aaa6058f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Houston Astrosof Houston Astros, Texas Rangers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $263,944
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $271,080
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $263,944 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 159 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Texas Rangers | 0c | 61,983$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.07 | 147 | 24.5%36 W · 111 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Texas Rangers | 0c | 47,610$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.61 | 979 | 44.4%435 W · 544 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Texas Rangers | 21c | 22,500$4,725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,725 | 489 | 52.8%258 W · 231 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Houston Astros | 49c | 15,871$7,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,094.43 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Texas Rangers | 52c | 12,000$6,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,260 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Texas Rangers | 51c | 9,681$4,937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,937.47 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce9…9c2dbacked Texas Rangers | 0c | 9,080$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.24 | 65 | 23.1%15 W · 50 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 18cpaid | +98.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Texas Rangers | 0c | 5,012$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Texas Rangers | 52c | 4,837$2,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,515.08 | 291 | 47.1%137 W · 154 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Houston Astros | 49c | 4,698$2,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,395.93 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Houston Astros | 73c | 4,387$3,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,166.58 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…10dabacked Houston Astros | 48c | 4,199$2,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,183.46 | 199 | 50.3%100 W · 99 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Texas Rangers | 51c | 4,042$2,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,061.42 | 321 | 52%167 W · 154 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Houston Astros | 47c | 3,387$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,786.52 | 515 | 45.2%233 W · 282 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Texas Rangers | 29c | 3,275$939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.38 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Texas Rangers | 51c | 2,506$1,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,277.81 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3f…6deebacked Houston Astros | 48c | 2,053$986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,067.76 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Texas Rangers | 53c | 1,985$1,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,045.22 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Texas Rangers | 52c | 1,930$1,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,003.6 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Texas Rangers | 33c | 1,839$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.32 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Texas Rangers | 32c | 1,808$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.4 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Texas Rangers | 1c | 1,800$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Texas Rangers | 38c | 1,610$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.83 | 718 | 50.1%360 W · 358 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Texas Rangers | 10c | 1,581$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.3 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Houston Astros | 48c | 1,562$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.24 | 556 | 53.4%297 W · 259 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Texas Rangers | 5c | 1,542$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.73 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Texas Rangers | 40c | 1,434$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.59 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81a9…df08backed Houston Astros | 49c | 1,224$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.49 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Houston Astros | 76c | 896.85$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.15 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Texas Rangers | 4c | 864.78$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.52 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Houston Astros | 48c | 779.87$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.43 | 297 | 52.5%156 W · 141 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Texas Rangers | 52c | 769$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.88 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd69a…d57fbacked Houston Astros | 55c | 700$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Houston Astros | 64c | 699.99$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8966…3476backed Texas Rangers | 2c | 657.4$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Houston Astros | 48c | 619.75$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.83 | 562 | 53.2%299 W · 263 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…971fbacked Houston Astros | 48c | 600$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 328 | 50.3%165 W · 163 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Texas Rangers | 33c | 599.03$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.04 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98ba…19b8backed Texas Rangers | 52c | 538.54$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.04 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3603…22edbacked Texas Rangers | 35c | 537.91$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 518 | 49.4%256 W · 262 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Texas Rangers | 35c | 500$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.77 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Houston Astros | 48c | 499.99$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed Texas Rangers | 53c | 471.7$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 262 | 45.8%120 W · 142 L | -17.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Texas Rangers | 52c | 452.42$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.26 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Texas Rangers | 33c | 441.18$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.65 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Texas Rangers | 33c | 430.83$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.9 | 970 | 50.7%492 W · 478 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Texas Rangers | 33c | 414.88$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.91 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd23e…e4a3backed Houston Astros | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Texas Rangers | 33c | 377.45$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.94 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x835b…118fbacked Texas Rangers | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Houston Astros | 67c | 360$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.8 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x537a…7447backed Texas Rangers | 10c | 350$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 106 | 25.5%27 W · 79 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Houston Astros | 79c | 320$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.56 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Houston Astros | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.69 | 812 | 57.3%465 W · 347 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7772…0e56backed Houston Astros | 48c | 299.99$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 208 | 48.6%101 W · 107 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed Texas Rangers | 33c | 291.88$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.32 | 739 | 49.8%368 W · 371 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Texas Rangers | 13c | 267.79$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 920 | 46%423 W · 497 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Texas Rangers | 30c | 258.48$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.93 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5dbe…ea98backed Houston Astros | 67c | 239.64$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.08 | 89 | 68.5%61 W · 28 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14fb…4ecdbacked Texas Rangers | 35c | 231.09$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.88 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c89…57b7backed Houston Astros | 69c | 211.44$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.83 | 130 | 76.2%99 W · 31 L | +8.9wins | +0.07per pick | 69cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a21…4aa9backed Houston Astros | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 144 | 52.8%76 W · 68 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9be…08bebacked Houston Astros | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Houston Astros | 64c | 202.95$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.52 | 434 | 59%256 W · 178 L | +19.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Texas Rangers | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 613 | 52.5%322 W · 291 L | +29.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93a0…6623backed Houston Astros | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 398 | 46.5%185 W · 213 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93d7…c7a6backed Houston Astros | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Texas Rangers | 33c | 196.78$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.58 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Texas Rangers | 53c | 193$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.29 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…ec9dbacked Texas Rangers | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 382 | 52.1%199 W · 183 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Houston Astros | 71c | 188.02$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.57 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58d5…8898backed Houston Astros | 47c | 186.91$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.06 | 1,205 | 43%518 W · 687 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x912f…b25bbacked Houston Astros | 67c | 180$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.4 | 96 | 62.5%60 W · 36 L | +11.7wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Texas Rangers | 35c | 171.71$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 195 | 40%78 W · 117 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Houston Astros | 47c | 161.62$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.85 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Houston Astros | 77c | 153$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.68 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Houston Astros | 48c | 151.78$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.93 | 877 | 50.4%442 W · 435 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Houston Astros | 67c | 142.58$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x967f…a5d9backed Houston Astros | 67c | 128.03$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.25 | 143 | 72.7%104 W · 39 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ae…2103backed Houston Astros | 48c | 126.77$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.92 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Houston Astros | 67c | 125$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.25 | 520 | 53.8%280 W · 240 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff68…8379backed Texas Rangers | 12c | 122.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 269 | 40.5%109 W · 160 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd72d…0dbbbacked Houston Astros | 67c | 119.4$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.4 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked Houston Astros | 47c | 106.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.67 | 1,310 | 43.6%571 W · 739 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Houston Astros | 49c | 105$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.55 | 214 | 49.5%106 W · 108 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84b8…d83abacked Texas Rangers | 52c | 101.14$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.59 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Houston Astros | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4b74backed Texas Rangers | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 449 | 49.2%221 W · 228 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x186a…559dbacked Houston Astros | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 144 | 57.6%83 W · 61 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Houston Astros | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff1…4ec0backed Houston Astros | 67c | 99.57$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.86 | 122 | 71.3%87 W · 35 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Houston Astros | 49c | 93.85$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.2 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…2dd7backed Houston Astros | 47c | 90$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.7 | 1,277 | 43.1%550 W · 727 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36f4…0eb2backed Houston Astros | 48c | 89.31$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.44 | 859 | 49.1%422 W · 437 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Houston Astros | 48c | 89$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.28 | 539 | 50.6%273 W · 266 L | +16.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…5d84backed Houston Astros | 75c | 85$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 1,100 | 79.6%876 W · 224 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Texas Rangers | 33c | 75$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 477 | 43%205 W · 272 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x334f…0d32backed Houston Astros | 67c | 74$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.42 | 378 | 68.8%260 W · 118 L | +25.1wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Houston Astros | 68c | 74$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.68 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Texas Rangers | 33c | 72.55$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.94 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangersthis page
- Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 10.5Over won
- Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 11.5Over won
- Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 12.5Under won
- Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 8.5Over won
- Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-2.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-5.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-6.5)Texas Rangers won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-7.5)Texas Rangers won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5)Houston Astros won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Houston Astros vs. Texas RangersYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.