MLB · resolved market
San Diego Padres vs. Kansas City Royals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x09f234d4b2601ba2cd02169c0ca1620bf8559093ab063e29b58416a7ff5e41b4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kansas City Royalsof San Diego Padres, Kansas City Royals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $479,267
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $485,765
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $479,267 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 329 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked San Diego Padres | 53c | 78,165$41,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,427.22 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Kansas City Royals | 48c | 47,179$22,449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,729.7 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked San Diego Padres | 46c | 22,330$10,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,193.72 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Kansas City Royals | 58c | 19,949$11,593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,356.34 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Kansas City Royals | 49c | 18,106$8,849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,256.8 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Kansas City Royals | 47c | 15,000$7,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,950 | 489 | 52.8%258 W · 231 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Kansas City Royals | 57c | 13,118$7,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,588.69 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked San Diego Padres | 51c | 11,215$5,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,719.83 | 716 | 50.7%363 W · 353 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Kansas City Royals | 26c | 11,025$2,863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,161.27 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed San Diego Padres | 49c | 10,953$5,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,313.08 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Kansas City Royals | 54c | 9,998$5,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,629.21 | 163 | 47.9%78 W · 85 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed San Diego Padres | 62c | 9,613$5,953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,953.16 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1c…82c6backed Kansas City Royals | 47c | 9,000$4,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,769.95 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked San Diego Padres | 50c | 8,533$4,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,257.23 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked San Diego Padres | 41c | 7,763$3,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,157.6 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb1…95b6backed San Diego Padres | 75c | 6,000$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,499.9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e2…4b92backed Kansas City Royals | 44c | 5,957$2,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,324.35 | 122 | 44.3%54 W · 68 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed San Diego Padres | 18c | 5,475$987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$986.91 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed San Diego Padres | 46c | 4,506$2,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,092.16 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed San Diego Padres | 26c | 4,404$1,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,139.07 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Kansas City Royals | 54c | 4,026$2,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,859.48 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x48e0…826dbacked San Diego Padres | 25c | 4,000$1,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,017.71 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Kansas City Royals | 53c | 3,962$2,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,866.66 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Kansas City Royals | 49c | 3,810$1,848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,961.18 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Kansas City Royals | 47c | 3,774$1,784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,989.58 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Kansas City Royals | 54c | 2,816$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,286.47 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Kansas City Royals | 65c | 2,627$1,716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$910.82 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe558…dcd2backed Kansas City Royals | 16c | 2,624$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,204.35 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | +9.9wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed San Diego Padres | 52c | 2,467$1,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,282.65 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd47d…322bbacked Kansas City Royals | 48c | 2,300$1,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,196 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | +9.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16ad…b33bbacked San Diego Padres | 52c | 2,295$1,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.48 | 119 | 69.7%83 W · 36 L | +18.2wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2002…a75ebacked San Diego Padres | 25c | 2,245$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.81 | 157 | 51.6%81 W · 76 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…a656backed Kansas City Royals | 47c | 2,128$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127.84 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked San Diego Padres | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce7…3150backed San Diego Padres | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 154 | 47.4%73 W · 81 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed San Diego Padres | 11c | 1,853$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.65 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed San Diego Padres | 52c | 1,828$951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950.56 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbb…f8a3backed San Diego Padres | 53c | 1,792$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 302 | 42.4%128 W · 174 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed San Diego Padres | 1c | 1,751$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.81 | 979 | 44.4%435 W · 544 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x270c…f66fbacked San Diego Padres | 2c | 1,616$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.16 | 28 | 7.1%2 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | +133.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Kansas City Royals | 74c | 1,576$1,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.16 | 370 | 32.7%121 W · 249 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Kansas City Royals | 53c | 1,569$831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$737.26 | 383 | 53.5%205 W · 178 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Kansas City Royals | 41c | 1,500$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.05 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Kansas City Royals | 57c | 1,487$848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.5 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb88…0e4cbacked San Diego Padres | 54c | 1,481$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 104 | 65.4%68 W · 36 L | +8.2wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Kansas City Royals | 48c | 1,427$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$747.64 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42ab…0d2dbacked San Diego Padres | 53c | 1,425$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755 | 112 | 55.4%62 W · 50 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3572…9d39backed San Diego Padres | 30c | 1,370$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.9 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Kansas City Royals | 50c | 1,358$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.22 | 157 | 49.7%78 W · 79 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Kansas City Royals | 39c | 1,276$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$776.49 | 970 | 50.7%492 W · 478 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Kansas City Royals | 44c | 1,227$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.24 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Kansas City Royals | 48c | 1,170$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.4 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Kansas City Royals | 60c | 1,100$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed San Diego Padres | 27c | 1,100$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.78 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked San Diego Padres | 46c | 1,100$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.38 | 161 | 35.4%57 W · 104 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Kansas City Royals | 61c | 1,078$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.12 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2805…76edbacked Kansas City Royals | 7c | 1,070$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$994.03 | 212 | 42%89 W · 123 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Kansas City Royals | 47c | 1,031$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.43 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Kansas City Royals | 63c | 1,003$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.59 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a9…b216backed San Diego Padres | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.22per pick | 5cpaid | +411.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa689…15fcbacked Kansas City Royals | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 243 | 46.9%114 W · 129 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed San Diego Padres | 48c | 985.4$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.31 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed San Diego Padres | 53c | 946.98$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 346 | 50.9%176 W · 170 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63ec…3b76backed Kansas City Royals | 48c | 930.75$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.99 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc934…215fbacked San Diego Padres | 72c | 900$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.7 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Kansas City Royals | 51c | 870.01$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.75 | 520 | 53.8%280 W · 240 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed San Diego Padres | 53c | 841$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.73 | 449 | 53.7%241 W · 208 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed Kansas City Royals | 49c | 758.41$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.32 | 130 | 54.6%71 W · 59 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed San Diego Padres | 50c | 754.13$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.42 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Kansas City Royals | 48c | 695.29$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.27 | 515 | 45.2%233 W · 282 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49e…e5e8backed San Diego Padres | 54c | 694.44$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | -8.6wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed San Diego Padres | 41c | 688.68$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.99 | 349 | 52.7%184 W · 165 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Kansas City Royals | 40c | 653.3$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.15 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Kansas City Royals | 48c | 643.99$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.88 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef84…6872backed San Diego Padres | 2c | 599.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed San Diego Padres | 45c | 577.28$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.13 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd065…93e8backed Kansas City Royals | 9c | 568.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.58 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed San Diego Padres | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x472e…812bbacked San Diego Padres | 41c | 532.14$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21c6…bc1cbacked San Diego Padres | 42c | 516.65$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.49 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked Kansas City Royals | 25c | 505.07$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.8 | 445 | 56.9%253 W · 192 L | +27.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed San Diego Padres | 53c | 501$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.53 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7677…37c0backed Kansas City Royals | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 328 | 50%164 W · 164 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc78a…ea34backed San Diego Padres | 54c | 496.76$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.25 | 43 | 67.4%29 W · 14 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Kansas City Royals | 47c | 488.23$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.81 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked San Diego Padres | 41c | 487.26$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.9 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Kansas City Royals | 51c | 486.35$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.31 | 1,000 | 58.8%588 W · 412 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa64…9dcdbacked San Diego Padres | 52c | 484.42$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed San Diego Padres | 53c | 483$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.99 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68cb…0000backed San Diego Padres | 45c | 465.42$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.43 | 486 | 60.5%294 W · 192 L | +40.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x13d0…4a70backed San Diego Padres | 43c | 464.03$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.61 | 346 | 39.6%137 W · 209 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed San Diego Padres | 31c | 445.53$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.54 | 547 | 15.9%87 W · 460 L | -40.7wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed San Diego Padres | 58c | 445$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.67 | 400 | 43%172 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Kansas City Royals | 35c | 424.84$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.18 | 497 | 62.2%309 W · 188 L | +38.4wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked San Diego Padres | 45c | 420.35$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.71 | 1,056 | 44.3%468 W · 588 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Kansas City Royals | 50c | 417.75$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.16 | 733 | 55.3%405 W · 328 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9519…9c28backed San Diego Padres | 52c | 415.87$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.25 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab8b…24ffbacked San Diego Padres | 48c | 414.03$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.96 | 248 | 43.5%108 W · 140 L | -13.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Kansas City Royals | 49c | 413.45$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.88 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed Kansas City Royals | 46c | 401.85$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.33 | 739 | 49.8%368 W · 371 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- San Diego Padres vs. Kansas City Royalsthis page
- 1st 5 Innings Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5)San Diego Padres won
- San Diego Padres vs. Kansas City Royals: 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5Under won
- San Diego Padres vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 10.5Over won
- San Diego Padres vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 6.5Over won
- San Diego Padres vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 7.5Over won
- San Diego Padres vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 8.5Over won
- San Diego Padres vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Diego Padres vs. Kansas City RoyalsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.