MLB · resolved market
Houston Astros vs. Washington Nationals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4692415c33db73c5ddcc7b0c94079fb3abf29c9b51678d451c0208719e4cab77
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Washington Nationalsof Houston Astros, Washington Nationals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $390,489
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $375,015
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $390,489 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 238 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Houston Astros | 48c | 80,000$38,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,720 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Washington Nationals | 52c | 73,945$38,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,789.51 | 436 | 47%205 W · 231 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Washington Nationals | 25c | 32,933$8,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,726.04 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Houston Astros | 48c | 29,686$14,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,308.21 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Washington Nationals | 52c | 25,000$12,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,099.98 | 489 | 52.8%258 W · 231 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Washington Nationals | 31c | 24,289$7,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,855.33 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Houston Astros | 74c | 16,288$11,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,996.26 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Houston Astros | 68c | 15,538$10,637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,637.35 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Washington Nationals | 52c | 14,962$7,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,185.39 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Washington Nationals | 52c | 10,000$5,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,840 | 362 | 46.1%167 W · 195 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Houston Astros | 59c | 9,485$5,584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,584.36 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Houston Astros | 59c | 8,896$5,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,224.96 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Houston Astros | 45c | 8,647$3,877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,876.65 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Houston Astros | 37c | 6,789$2,513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,513.39 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Houston Astros | 66c | 6,200$4,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,099.48 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Washington Nationals | 50c | 6,109$3,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,073.77 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…8c4cbacked Washington Nationals | 28c | 5,454$1,522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,932.27 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Houston Astros | 48c | 5,032$2,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,435.38 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…10dabacked Houston Astros | 49c | 4,778$2,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,318.79 | 199 | 50.3%100 W · 99 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf438…9559backed Houston Astros | 48c | 4,476$2,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,162.14 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Houston Astros | 48c | 4,134$2,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000.86 | 167 | 47.9%80 W · 87 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Washington Nationals | 32c | 3,858$1,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,616 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6082…3323backed Houston Astros | 6c | 3,486$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -38%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Washington Nationals | 48c | 2,852$1,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,477.41 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb01…7dfbbacked Houston Astros | 2c | 2,800$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.7 | 174 | 17.2%30 W · 144 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Washington Nationals | 56c | 2,692$1,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,186.55 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Washington Nationals | 52c | 2,428$1,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,172.07 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Houston Astros | 44c | 2,282$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008.21 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked Houston Astros | 33c | 2,100$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703.23 | 266 | 18.4%49 W · 217 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x418d…88a3backed Houston Astros | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 122 | 55.7%68 W · 54 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Washington Nationals | 52c | 1,934$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$934.24 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Washington Nationals | 54c | 1,845$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$856.76 | 340 | 44.4%151 W · 189 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Houston Astros | 46c | 1,674$773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$773.29 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Washington Nationals | 52c | 1,599$823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775.35 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…971fbacked Houston Astros | 45c | 1,527$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693.47 | 328 | 50.3%165 W · 163 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x914a…920fbacked Houston Astros | 49c | 1,235$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Houston Astros | 16c | 1,158$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.63 | 406 | 29.1%118 W · 288 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Washington Nationals | 63c | 1,152$726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.55 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5400…8a89backed Houston Astros | 4c | 1,053$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 68 | 1.5%1 W · 67 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -81.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Washington Nationals | 74c | 999.52$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.11 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Washington Nationals | 52c | 858.17$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.36 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Houston Astros | 48c | 722.5$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 347 | 56.5%196 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Houston Astros | 36c | 717.68$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.2 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75a7…2d61backed Washington Nationals | 21c | 710.81$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.28 | 132 | 25%33 W · 99 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Houston Astros | 50c | 700.82$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.41 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Houston Astros | 47c | 661.9$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.79 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked Washington Nationals | 43c | 660.31$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.52 | 170 | 47.1%80 W · 90 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Houston Astros | 48c | 620.56$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.35 | 562 | 53.2%299 W · 263 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Washington Nationals | 45c | 614.66$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.2 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Washington Nationals | 42c | 598.89$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.79 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed Houston Astros | 2c | 593.04$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.69 | 218 | 41.3%90 W · 128 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Houston Astros | 48c | 585$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.14 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Washington Nationals | 61c | 567.75$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.22 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Houston Astros | 52c | 548.67$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.12 | 979 | 44.4%435 W · 544 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Houston Astros | 22c | 456.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 639 | 43.3%277 W · 362 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Houston Astros | 48c | 416$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.1 | 1,137 | 46.3%526 W · 611 L | +36.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa384…3c9fbacked Houston Astros | 48c | 416$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.1 | 281 | 47.7%134 W · 147 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54d0…8e20backed Houston Astros | 48c | 413.22$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 321 | 57%183 W · 138 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11ee…e6c6backed Houston Astros | 48c | 412.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +5.5wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +32%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…0171backed Washington Nationals | 57c | 409.24$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.97 | 194 | 53.6%104 W · 90 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68e1…b2fabacked Washington Nationals | 51c | 407.24$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.45 | 147 | 52.4%77 W · 70 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Houston Astros | 74c | 385.49$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.38 | 718 | 50.1%360 W · 358 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36cc…48dcbacked Houston Astros | 34c | 379$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.93 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc6…4b55backed Washington Nationals | 51c | 368.93$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.93 | 90 | 62.2%56 W · 34 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a6…6991backed Houston Astros | 17c | 368.47$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.64 | 397 | 39.5%157 W · 240 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Washington Nationals | 37c | 336.26$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.16 | 259 | 50.2%130 W · 129 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Washington Nationals | 52c | 320$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.2 | 716 | 50.7%363 W · 353 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Washington Nationals | 52c | 318.96$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.57 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f6…bab8backed Houston Astros | 48c | 307.22$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149 | 139 | 51.8%72 W · 67 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Houston Astros | 48c | 300$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.6 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Houston Astros | 48c | 290.97$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.1 | 575 | 48%276 W · 299 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Houston Astros | 77c | 286.74$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.9 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9af…359cbacked Washington Nationals | 33c | 270$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.9 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Washington Nationals | 43c | 266.44$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.87 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcd…c367backed Houston Astros | 49c | 263.59$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.84 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe8…72bcbacked Washington Nationals | 33c | 256.46$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.98 | 242 | 52.9%128 W · 114 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Houston Astros | 69c | 255$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.4 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Houston Astros | 48c | 253.88$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.03 | 515 | 45.2%233 W · 282 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52de…8f92backed Washington Nationals | 80c | 246.91$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.88 | 144 | 69.4%100 W · 44 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13d0…4a70backed Houston Astros | 27c | 244$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.75 | 346 | 39.6%137 W · 209 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb6…a2fcbacked Washington Nationals | 21c | 238.19$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.19 | 75 | 14.7%11 W · 64 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Houston Astros | 35c | 235.18$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.78 | 1,218 | 55.6%677 W · 541 L | +94.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4c10…5d44backed Houston Astros | 15c | 226.65$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 87 | 33.3%29 W · 58 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35fa…2bd4backed Houston Astros | 52c | 215$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.8 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Washington Nationals | 55c | 213.02$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.98 | 346 | 58.1%201 W · 145 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Washington Nationals | 68c | 212.67$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.9 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1884…b7a5backed Houston Astros | 67c | 207.51$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.96 | 577 | 58.6%338 W · 239 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Houston Astros | 47c | 207.03$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.97 | 970 | 50.7%492 W · 478 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Houston Astros | 48c | 206.61$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 586 | 49.5%290 W · 296 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8d…7688backed Houston Astros | 48c | 206.61$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 241 | 49%118 W · 123 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7693…470fbacked Houston Astros | 49c | 205.76$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 213 | 54.5%116 W · 97 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6986…3369backed Houston Astros | 48c | 202.7$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.86 | 245 | 47.3%116 W · 129 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1405…9882backed Houston Astros | 48c | 201.02$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.04 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Houston Astros | 78c | 200.65$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.93 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Houston Astros | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.4 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd73a…0f4ebacked Washington Nationals | 52c | 200$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.6 | 411 | 52.3%215 W · 196 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Washington Nationals | 54c | 199$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.54 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc72…2888backed Washington Nationals | 45c | 197.37$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.1 | 129 | 24.8%32 W · 97 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78eb…9a2bbacked Houston Astros | 51c | 196.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0289…cb50backed Washington Nationals | 54c | 184.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.19 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Houston Astros vs. Washington Nationalsthis page
- Houston Astros vs. Washington Nationals: 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5Over won
- Houston Astros vs. Washington Nationals: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Over won
- Houston Astros vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 10.5Over won
- Houston Astros vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 11.5Over won
- Houston Astros vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 13.5Over won
- Houston Astros vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 15.5Over won
- Houston Astros vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 16.5Over won
- Houston Astros vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 17.5Over won
- Houston Astros vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 18.5Over won
- Houston Astros vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 19.5Over won
- Houston Astros vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 23.5Under won
- Houston Astros vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-2.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-3.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-2.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-4.5)Houston Astros won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Houston Astros vs. Washington NationalsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.