MLB · resolved market
Houston Astros vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4f0be4ffe9dc772b3b875e31b7d1c3f29031faf9e98679252fce9d5c637007a3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $98,190
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $113,620
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $98,190 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Under | 48c | 44,444$21,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,333.1 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Over | 53c | 15,142$7,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,142.9 | 435 | 54%235 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 52c | 14,617$7,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,984.72 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 52c | 7,011$3,662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,349.35 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 52c | 7,000$3,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,360 | 447 | 49.2%220 W · 227 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Under | 47c | 6,270$2,947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,946.92 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Over | 53c | 5,000$2,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,340 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 53c | 4,420$2,341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,079.18 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e77…8c33backed Under | 47c | 2,874$1,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350.86 | 283 | 50.9%144 W · 139 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 47c | 2,835$1,337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,337.45 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 46c | 2,659$1,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,223.31 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Under | 47c | 1,111$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.16 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 52c | 989.68$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.04 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 47c | 930.11$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.15 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Over | 55c | 904.59$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.07 | 680 | 53.2%362 W · 318 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 52c | 884$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.32 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Under | 45c | 777.77$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 491 | 58.9%289 W · 202 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Over | 52c | 734.09$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.36 | 169 | 45%76 W · 93 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Under | 48c | 624.5$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.88 | 562 | 53.2%299 W · 263 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Over | 53c | 598.26$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.18 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 46c | 501.07$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.18 | 403 | 41.4%167 W · 236 L | -20.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 53c | 480.53$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.91 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 46c | 472.9$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.61 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Over | 52c | 390$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.2 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…e515backed Over | 53c | 378.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.14 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf15b…000fbacked Over | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 122 | 53.3%65 W · 57 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba62…3e29backed Over | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 221 | 49.3%109 W · 112 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Over | 52c | 299.99$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.99 | 586 | 52.7%309 W · 277 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x789f…2e8abacked Over | 62c | 242.02$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.02 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 38c | 237.02$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.07 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 48c | 215$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.72 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Under | 47c | 212.76$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 349 | 42.7%149 W · 200 L | -19.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 71c | 212.04$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.02 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Under | 43c | 209.08$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.9 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 586 | 49.5%290 W · 296 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over | 52c | 199$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.52 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Over | 52c | 198.08$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.08 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Over | 53c | 191.28$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.9 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…5a9ebacked Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 342 | 55.3%189 W · 153 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafca…92b4backed Over | 52c | 182.48$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.59 | 181 | 54.7%99 W · 82 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 51c | 173.49$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.35 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb1…1002backed Under | 48c | 161.02$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.29 | 213 | 50.2%107 W · 106 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 47c | 143$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.21 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Over | 52c | 140.15$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.27 | 556 | 53.4%297 W · 259 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f46…85c0backed Over | 53c | 128.3$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.3 | 218 | 53.2%116 W · 102 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21bb…c5dbbacked Over | 63c | 112.19$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.03 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Over | 53c | 103$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.41 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4731…addabacked Over | 53c | 101.19$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e50…4b22backed Under | 46c | 99.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked Under | 22c | 90.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | +12.8wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked Over | 55c | 72.19$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.19 | 1,197 | 53.9%645 W · 552 L | +42.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab8b…24ffbacked Over | 52c | 63.23$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.56 | 248 | 43.5%108 W · 140 L | -13.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7be0…ca40backed Over | 59c | 62.84$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.87 | 87 | 75.9%66 W · 21 L | +9.7wins | +0.11per pick | 65cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbd…d0dfbacked Under | 51c | 61$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.11 | 318 | 48.7%155 W · 163 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Over | 53c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 770 | 50.5%389 W · 381 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d69…ab3abacked Over | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 45c | 54.55$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.55 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1465…e0dbbacked Under | 48c | 53.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.48 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Over | 53c | 50.74$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.85 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 47c | 48.47$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.61 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59ab…18c6backed Over | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 111 | 51.4%57 W · 54 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9e…fd82backed Under | 49c | 44.9$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc730…c568backed Under | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 357 | 47.6%170 W · 187 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 61c | 41.27$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 53c | 40.09$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Over | 52c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 738 | 49.3%364 W · 374 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd6…81f6backed Over | 62c | 39.66$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.07 | 108 | 64.8%70 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1164backed Under | 47c | 37$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.39 | 392 | 50.3%197 W · 195 L | +18.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1f…a7d2backed Over | 55c | 36.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.04 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf88b…0ed2backed Over | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0f…2deebacked Over | 53c | 27.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.95 | 179 | 52%93 W · 86 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0b…d29dbacked Over | 52c | 27.5$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 181 | 51.9%94 W · 87 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Over | 53c | 27.06$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.84 | 1,245 | 56.9%708 W · 537 L | +31.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb09c…fe75backed Over | 53c | 24.45$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.49 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 49c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 47c | 23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa662…c8adbacked Over | 53c | 22.64$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 52c | 20.72$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.01 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Over | 53c | 19.87$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.37 | 597 | 49.9%298 W · 299 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Houston Astros vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5this page
- Houston Astros vs. Washington NationalsWashington Nationals won
- Houston Astros vs. Washington Nationals: 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5Over won
- Houston Astros vs. Washington Nationals: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Over won
- Houston Astros vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 10.5Over won
- Houston Astros vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 11.5Over won
- Houston Astros vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 13.5Over won
- Houston Astros vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 15.5Over won
- Houston Astros vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 16.5Over won
- Houston Astros vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 17.5Over won
- Houston Astros vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 18.5Over won
- Houston Astros vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 19.5Over won
- Houston Astros vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 23.5Under won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-2.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-3.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-2.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-4.5)Houston Astros won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Houston Astros vs. Washington NationalsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.