TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

WNBA · resolved market

New York Liberty vs. Golden State Valkyries

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Golden State Valkyriesof New York Liberty, Golden State Valkyries
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$551,796
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$611,359

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $551,796 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 260 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in WNBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked New York Liberty1c121,851$1,587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,587.2810923.9%26 W · 83 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-46.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaed0…6f18backed Golden State Valkyries79c42,773$33,780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,992.83250%16 W · 16 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa569…08dfbacked New York Liberty42c40,000$16,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,799.9430%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed New York Liberty22c30,813$6,841 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,841.0578548.8%383 W · 402 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed New York Liberty47c24,069$11,328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,328.3523245.7%106 W · 126 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed New York Liberty19c15,995$3,081 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,080.9599548.1%479 W · 516 L+2.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Golden State Valkyries59c15,419$9,059 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,359.641,76551.7%912 W · 853 L+53.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed New York Liberty21c13,831$2,910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,909.9434726.5%92 W · 255 L-20.7wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-39.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Golden State Valkyries52c12,489$6,535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,953.2540550.9%206 W · 199 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed New York Liberty20c11,887$2,362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,362.0521440.7%87 W · 127 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked New York Liberty21c11,878$2,507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50710340.8%42 W · 61 L-0.4wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc308…7b09backed New York Liberty0c10,397$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.9244915.6%70 W · 379 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick15cpaid-29.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x55fd…b51abacked New York Liberty49c10,204$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0001442.9%6 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+29.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8718…5040backed Golden State Valkyries79c9,696$7,618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,077.961154.5%6 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-19.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Golden State Valkyries54c8,840$4,813 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,027.389349.4%441 W · 452 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Golden State Valkyries64c8,745$5,554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,191.521,61150.2%809 W · 802 L+37.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1316…48a4backed Golden State Valkyries55c8,158$4,487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,670.913746%63 W · 74 L-6.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2509…e4dbbacked New York Liberty45c6,808$3,065 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,065.073938.5%15 W · 24 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5400…8a89backed New York Liberty10c6,536$635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$634.85214.8%1 W · 20 L-0.1wins0.00per pick5cpaid-83%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0570…465ebacked New York Liberty45c6,494$2,922 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,922.31338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.18per pick57cpaid-37.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Golden State Valkyries57c5,656$3,232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,423.9636750.7%186 W · 181 L+15.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Golden State Valkyries63c5,234$3,284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,949.5226147.1%123 W · 138 L+15.7wins+0.06per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Golden State Valkyries54c5,000$2,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,3006154.1%33 W · 28 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd51…1041backed Golden State Valkyries54c4,635$2,503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,132.194763.8%30 W · 17 L+5.5wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+19.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Golden State Valkyries70c4,259$2,992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,267.2474942.3%317 W · 432 L-21.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Golden State Valkyries52c3,530$1,831 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,699.941145.7%188 W · 223 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ab1…1975backed New York Liberty46c3,474$1,598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,598.041330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-49.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6982…a165backed Golden State Valkyries79c3,388$2,668 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$720.435466.7%36 W · 18 L+0.1wins0.00per pick66cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc2e5…b3a5backed Golden State Valkyries65c3,029$1,956 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,073.0212144.6%54 W · 67 L-0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-16.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd162…0d24backed New York Liberty42c2,438$1,036 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,035.6320%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd864…497ebacked New York Liberty48c2,343$1,115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,115.1520%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x91b6…4b40backed New York Liberty22c2,300$515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51512234.4%42 W · 80 L+0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid+7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ec7…2b6bbacked Golden State Valkyries56c2,295$1,285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,009.731471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.13per pick59cpaid+28.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbc65…96c8backed New York Liberty47c2,132$1,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0027236.1%26 W · 46 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94bb…77eebacked New York Liberty32c1,924$621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$620.617520%15 W · 60 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-13.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ae1…8c1bbacked New York Liberty36c1,886$681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$680.532615.4%4 W · 22 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick24cpaid-61.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Golden State Valkyries58c1,715$995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$720.4437850%189 W · 189 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed Golden State Valkyries54c1,679$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$779.2723049.6%114 W · 116 L-13.8wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-14.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Golden State Valkyries74c1,634$1,208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.8455255.1%304 W · 248 L+25.1wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xafe4…f3f7backed New York Liberty49c1,460$715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$715.3827449.6%136 W · 138 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32e3…3a5cbacked Golden State Valkyries58c1,448$836 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611.646746.3%31 W · 36 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd546…657bbacked New York Liberty9c1,406$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.130%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1208…0160backed New York Liberty2c1,384$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.823234.5%80 W · 152 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-17.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf9f…f6a3backed Golden State Valkyries54c1,268$684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$583.069354.8%51 W · 42 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe55c…7ba7backed Golden State Valkyries79c1,132$894 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.491100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked New York Liberty1c1,100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15960%0 W · 96 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb3a1…3529backed Golden State Valkyries57c1,086$619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Golden State Valkyries58c1,045$607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.6285158.4%497 W · 354 L+70.2wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6770…5bdfbacked New York Liberty39c1,033$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.415642.9%24 W · 32 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4748…9666backed Golden State Valkyries61c1,021$626 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.87580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.32per pick48cpaid+41.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbe78…edacbacked New York Liberty49c1,020$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed New York Liberty24c1,004$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.7419428.9%56 W · 138 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47f4…936bbacked Golden State Valkyries52c1,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3e1…97bcbacked New York Liberty13c1,000$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-36.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e47…34a2backed New York Liberty47c966.75$454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454.3710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf836…f39cbacked Golden State Valkyries53c923.99$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434.281752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed New York Liberty47c868$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.9636154%195 W · 166 L+0.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9217…ce22backed New York Liberty37c806.73$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.820%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x51da…a701backed New York Liberty50c800$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40016153.4%86 W · 75 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed New York Liberty47c761.45$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.767746.8%36 W · 41 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+20.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Golden State Valkyries63c750$469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.7930649%150 W · 156 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0c4…989abacked New York Liberty49c746.43$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3632060%12 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xeef6…cd4cbacked Golden State Valkyries54c739.98$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.699445.7%43 W · 51 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x00ed…0a9fbacked New York Liberty48c729.17$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3501241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-15.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7e…c00abacked Golden State Valkyries55c727.27$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.271457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed New York Liberty48c725.28$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.5364152%333 W · 308 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Golden State Valkyries67c725.25$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.4710634.9%37 W · 69 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-30.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40f7…1f5ebacked New York Liberty40c700$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2804020%8 W · 32 L-10.5wins-0.26per pick46cpaid-63.2%equal weight32-0.16 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Golden State Valkyries62c697.39$431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.1918746%86 W · 101 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x34b8…81afbacked Golden State Valkyries58c684.02$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.025844.8%26 W · 32 L-6.1wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-21.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8ec6…d9edbacked New York Liberty9c599.28$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.719318.3%17 W · 76 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick16cpaid-30%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Golden State Valkyries62c581.49$358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.8136454.1%197 W · 167 L+15.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid0%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked Golden State Valkyries68c580.08$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.8713844.9%62 W · 76 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed New York Liberty45c577.24$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.7614060%84 W · 56 L+13.7wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+20.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Golden State Valkyries60c559.05$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.2113358.6%78 W · 55 L+8.2wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1378…dbd2backed Golden State Valkyries53c552.17$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.521936.8%7 W · 12 L-3.2wins-0.17per pick54cpaid-30.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x124e…1c58backed Golden State Valkyries76c547.84$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.483548.6%17 W · 18 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Golden State Valkyries61c535.01$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.2811351.3%58 W · 55 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Golden State Valkyries63c513.76$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.0216633.1%55 W · 111 L-10.1wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-39.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf333…038cbacked Golden State Valkyries54c505.89$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.713265.6%21 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x992b…5053backed Golden State Valkyries53c500$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-34.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c8e…a316backed Golden State Valkyries51c500$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2458145.7%37 W · 44 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9b2…8e7dbacked New York Liberty34c500$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick26cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0273…46ddbacked Golden State Valkyries50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2501100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc50…f8debacked Golden State Valkyries53c494.22$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.062944.8%13 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8bd…478fbacked New York Liberty35c490$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.52634.6%9 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Golden State Valkyries62c485.3$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.0331448.4%152 W · 162 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd654…45c2backed Golden State Valkyries53c479.98$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.594060%24 W · 16 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd092…9a30backed New York Liberty28c433.53$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.28per pick42cpaid-53.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Golden State Valkyries52c422.97$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.8492248.8%450 W · 472 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x999a…9a25backed Golden State Valkyries65c410.07$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.7510538.1%40 W · 65 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-31.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc367…a0b4backed Golden State Valkyries61c368.49$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.712152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c5c…91fcbacked Golden State Valkyries59c350.85$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.85850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed New York Liberty13c332$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.1621446.3%99 W · 115 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6557…ec12backed New York Liberty30c320.63$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$972254.5%12 W · 10 L+2.6wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+25.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed New York Liberty47c319.15$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1509554.7%52 W · 43 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf903…de2fbacked New York Liberty29c318.67$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.293243.8%14 W · 18 L+3.1wins+0.10per pick34cpaid+18%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd190…e445backed New York Liberty47c317.6$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.271241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-24.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x35bd…c7c0backed New York Liberty10c308.22$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.7810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5f2…042ebacked Golden State Valkyries53c304.72$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.221266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.