WNBA · resolved market
Spread: New York Liberty (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbef4282243183c669f34a201b953e3070c7e55389eed3f3f7dd8b37f369f9105
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Golden State Valkyriesof New York Liberty, Golden State Valkyries
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,713
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,322
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,713 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x70dc…1dfdbacked Golden State Valkyries | 67c | 1,298$864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.89 | 65 | 67.7%44 W · 21 L | +5.9wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed New York Liberty | 33c | 1,045$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.55 | 1,632 | 50.2%819 W · 813 L | +37.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed New York Liberty | 22c | 305$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 348 | 26.4%92 W · 256 L | -21.2wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed New York Liberty | 45c | 220.26$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 657 | 51.4%338 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9aca…61fdbacked Golden State Valkyries | 54c | 200.85$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.39 | 141 | 48.9%69 W · 72 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa61…7f3bbacked Golden State Valkyries | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 287 | 58.5%168 W · 119 L | +20.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed New York Liberty | 48c | 172.18$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.4 | 796 | 48.7%388 W · 408 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked New York Liberty | 44c | 156$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.89 | 1,787 | 51.7%924 W · 863 L | +54.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed New York Liberty | 45c | 147.76$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.49 | 427 | 49.4%211 W · 216 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd68d…959abacked Golden State Valkyries | 80c | 145.42$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc81a…c368backed Golden State Valkyries | 56c | 120$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.8 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x363e…6e71backed New York Liberty | 46c | 105$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Golden State Valkyries | 56c | 102$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.88 | 173 | 50.3%87 W · 86 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Golden State Valkyries | 56c | 99.99$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.5 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked New York Liberty | 44c | 73.55$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.36 | 327 | 49.5%162 W · 165 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed New York Liberty | 46c | 70.4$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.38 | 327 | 43.7%143 W · 184 L | -23.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked New York Liberty | 33c | 65.98$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.57 | 414 | 46.6%193 W · 221 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Golden State Valkyries | 55c | 62.46$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.42 | 333 | 47.7%159 W · 174 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed New York Liberty | 32c | 59.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.36 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Golden State Valkyries | 56c | 53.29$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.45 | 932 | 48.8%455 W · 477 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Golden State Valkyries | 67c | 41.24$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.69 | 370 | 54.1%200 W · 170 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c2…5509backed New York Liberty | 40c | 40.63$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed New York Liberty | 47c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 904 | 49.4%447 W · 457 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7497…18cebacked Golden State Valkyries | 56c | 35.91$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.91 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | -6.1wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Golden State Valkyries | 67c | 33$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.89 | 321 | 48.6%156 W · 165 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Golden State Valkyries | 67c | 33$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 187 | 46%86 W · 101 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Golden State Valkyries | 67c | 33$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.89 | 312 | 49.4%154 W · 158 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Golden State Valkyries | 68c | 33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.43 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Golden State Valkyries | 55c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Golden State Valkyries | 67c | 23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.59 | 242 | 55.4%134 W · 108 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8116…815ebacked Golden State Valkyries | 57c | 19.27$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.27 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Golden State Valkyries | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.85 | 89 | 60.7%54 W · 35 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc593…ea8cbacked Golden State Valkyries | 69c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.7 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +5.2wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +30%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: New York Liberty (-1.5)this page
- New York Liberty vs. Golden State ValkyriesGolden State Valkyries won
- New York Liberty vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 163.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.